Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mesoblast-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:769:1" rel="noopener">Mesoblast Ltd (MSB AU)</a> has announced pricing for Ryoncil in the U.S. in tandem with the economic value of treatment with product availability planned for the current quarter.</li>
<li>Wholesale acquisition cost of Ryoncil has been set at $194K per infusion. Ryoncil infusion is given twice per week for 4 weeks. This brings the full treatment cost to $1.55M.</li>
<li>The pricing is strategically determined against the cost of treating a child who dies of SR-aGvHD of $2.5M and calculated total benefits of patient outcomes using Ryoncil of $3.2–4.1M.</li>
</ul>



Mesoblast Ltd (MSB AU) has announced pricing for Ryoncil in the U.S. in tandem with the economic value of treatment with product availability planned for the current quarter.
Wholesale acquisition cost of Ryoncil has been set at $194K per infusion. Ryoncil infusion is given twice per week for 4 weeks. This brings the full treatment cost to $1.55M.
The pricing is strategically determined against the cost of treating a child who dies of SR-aGvHD of $2.5M and calculated total benefits of patient outcomes using Ryoncil of $3.2–4.1M.


Mesoblast (MSB AU): ‘Comparable’ Pricing for Ryoncil; US Commercialization Is Progressing

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There could be ad hoc change for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX)</a> prior to the announcement of the changes at the March rebalance.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/arcadium-lithium-plc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40438:1" rel="noopener">Arcadium Lithium (LTM AU)</a> could stop trading next week following the acquisition by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/rio-tinto-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13:1" rel="noopener">Rio Tinto Ltd (RIO AU)</a>. The Royal Court of Jersey could sanction the scheme on 5 March.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mesoblast-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:769:1" rel="noopener">Mesoblast (MSB AU)</a> is a high probability inclusion to the index, followed by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/digico-infrastructure-reit" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44091:1" rel="noopener">DigiCo Infrastructure REIT (DGT AU)</a>. The stock that misses out will be added at the regular rebalance. </li>
</ul>


There could be ad hoc change for the S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX) prior to the announcement of the changes at the March rebalance.

Arcadium Lithium (LTM AU) could stop trading next week following the acquisition by Rio Tinto Ltd (RIO AU). The Royal Court of Jersey could sanction the scheme on 5 March.

Mesoblast (MSB AU) is a high probability inclusion to the index, followed by DigiCo Infrastructure REIT (DGT AU). The stock that misses out will be added at the regular rebalance. 


ASX200 Index AdHoc Rebalance Preview: Mesoblast (MSB) Could Replace Arcadium Lithium (LTM) Next Week

<ul>
<li>Nearing a few days left in the review period, there could be 39 adds/deletes across the S&amp;P/ASX family of indices in March.</li>
<li>Passive trackers will need to trade a lot of stock in the forecast changes, with the impact being especially large for the changes to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX 200</a> and S&amp;P/ASX 300.</li>
<li>Except for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX)</a> that is heavily tracked, the performance of the forecast changes to the other indices has been very stable with adds outperforming deletes bigly.</li>
</ul>


Nearing a few days left in the review period, there could be 39 adds/deletes across the S&amp;P/ASX family of indices in March.
Passive trackers will need to trade a lot of stock in the forecast changes, with the impact being especially large for the changes to the S&amp;P/ASX 200 and S&amp;P/ASX 300.
Except for the S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX) that is heavily tracked, the performance of the forecast changes to the other indices has been very stable with adds outperforming deletes bigly.


S&P/​​​​​​​​​ASX Index Rebalance Preview: Changes Stable as Adds Outperform Deletes Bigly

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mesoblast-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:769:1" rel="noopener">Mesoblast Ltd (MSB AU)</a> got FDA approval for Ryoncil for steroid-refractory acute graft versus host disease (SR-aGvHD) in pediatric patients 2 months of age and older.</li>
<li>Following approval in pediatric patients, Mesoblast intends to commence a Phase 3 trial of Ryoncil in adults and adolescents, which has larger market size.</li>
<li>FDA approval enhances conviction on the commercial prospect of the other late-stage product candidates of the company, including Revascor for advanced chronic heart failure and rexlemestrocel-L for inflammatory pain indications.</li>
</ul>



Mesoblast Ltd (MSB AU) got FDA approval for Ryoncil for steroid-refractory acute graft versus host disease (SR-aGvHD) in pediatric patients 2 months of age and older.
Following approval in pediatric patients, Mesoblast intends to commence a Phase 3 trial of Ryoncil in adults and adolescents, which has larger market size.
FDA approval enhances conviction on the commercial prospect of the other late-stage product candidates of the company, including Revascor for advanced chronic heart failure and rexlemestrocel-L for inflammatory pain indications.


Mesoblast (MSB AU): What Lies Ahead After FDA Approval

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Nippon Shinyaku filed NDA of tagraxofusp for a rare aggressive hematologic malignancy in Japan. Shionogi initiated rolling NDA submission to the FDA for Xocova for COVID-19 post-exposure prophylaxis.</li>
<li>Beigene is discontinuing clinical development program for ociperlimab, as a potential treatment for lung cancer. Celltrion received positive CHMP opinion for the addition of the Omlyclo autoinjector formulation.  </li>
<li>The first three children with SR-aGvHD will receive a course of Mesoblast’s Ryoncil commencing this week. Lupin is acquiring UK-based Renascience Pharma, a sole supplier of 4 specialty products.</li>
</ul>


Nippon Shinyaku filed NDA of tagraxofusp for a rare aggressive hematologic malignancy in Japan. Shionogi initiated rolling NDA submission to the FDA for Xocova for COVID-19 post-exposure prophylaxis.
Beigene is discontinuing clinical development program for ociperlimab, as a potential treatment for lung cancer. Celltrion received positive CHMP opinion for the addition of the Omlyclo autoinjector formulation.  
The first three children with SR-aGvHD will receive a course of Mesoblast’s Ryoncil commencing this week. Lupin is acquiring UK-based Renascience Pharma, a sole supplier of 4 specialty products.


APAC Healthcare Weekly (April 6)- Nippon Shinyaku, Shionogi, Beigene, Celltrion, Mesoblast, Lupin

Australia

Mesoblast Limited provides biomedical services. The Company develops drugs for cardiovascular diseases, oncology, hematology, and spine orthopedic disorders treatment. Mesoblast conducts its business worldwide.

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Mesoblast Ltd (MSB AU)

Mesoblast (MSB AU): ‘Comparable’ Pricing for Ryoncil; US Commercialization Is Progressing

Mesoblast has set the U.S. pricing of Ryoncil at $194K per infusion with total treatment cost of $1.55M, strategically positioned against the cost...

Tina Banerjee

ASX200 Index AdHoc Rebalance Preview: Mesoblast (MSB) Could Replace Arcadium Lithium (LTM) Next Week

Arcadium Lithium could stop trading next week. Mesoblast could be added to the ASX200 Index. There is a lot for passive trackers to buy and...

Brian Freitas

S&P/ASX Index Rebalance Preview: Changes Stable as Adds Outperform Deletes Bigly

There could be 39 changes for the S&P/ASX family in March. The forecast adds continue to outperform the forecast deletes in all indices. Huge...

Brian Freitas

Mesoblast (MSB AU): What Lies Ahead After FDA Approval

Mesoblast receives FDA approval for Ryoncil in pediatric patients with acute graft versus host disease. FDA approval enhances conviction on the...

Tina Banerjee

APAC Healthcare Weekly (April 6)- Nippon Shinyaku, Shionogi, Beigene, Celltrion, Mesoblast, Lupin

Nippon Shinyaku and Shionogi are filing for new drugs. Beigene dropped a phase 3 oncology asset. Mesoblast is about to start treatment with...

Tina Banerjee

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52-week Range

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Mesoblast (MSB AU): ‘Comparable’ Pricing for Ryoncil; US Commercialization Is Progressing

​Mesoblast has set the U.S. pricing of Ryoncil at $194K per infusion with total treatment cost of $1.55M, strategically positioned against the cost...

Tina Banerjee

ASX200 Index AdHoc Rebalance Preview: Mesoblast (MSB) Could Replace Arcadium Lithium (LTM) Next Week

Arcadium Lithium could stop trading next week. Mesoblast could be added to the ASX200 Index. There is a lot for passive trackers to buy and...

Brian Freitas

S&P/​​​​​​​​​ASX Index Rebalance Preview: Changes Stable as Adds Outperform Deletes Bigly

There could be 39 changes for the S&P/ASX family in March. The forecast adds continue to outperform the forecast deletes in all indices. Huge...

Brian Freitas

Mesoblast (MSB AU): What Lies Ahead After FDA Approval

​Mesoblast receives FDA approval for Ryoncil in pediatric patients with acute graft versus host disease. FDA approval enhances conviction on the...

Tina Banerjee

APAC Healthcare Weekly (April 6)- Nippon Shinyaku, Shionogi, Beigene, Celltrion, Mesoblast, Lupin

Nippon Shinyaku and Shionogi are filing for new drugs. Beigene dropped a phase 3 oncology asset. Mesoblast is about to start treatment with...

Tina Banerjee

Mesoblast has set the U.S. pricing of Ryoncil at $194K per infusion with total treatment cost of $1.55M, strategically positioned against the cost...

S&P/ASX Index Rebalance Preview: Changes Stable as Adds Outperform Deletes Bigly

Mesoblast receives FDA approval for Ryoncil in pediatric patients with acute graft versus host disease. FDA approval enhances conviction on the...