External broker reports(aggregated public sources), BRI Danareksa Research

BRI Danareksa Research

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

As a one-stop financial solution with the vision to be the most valuable securities house, BRI Danareksa Sekuritas (BRIDS) has maintained an excellent track record and extensive experience in the capital market as an underwriter, broker, and financial advisor for individual, institutional, foreign and domestic, private and government clients. Established in 1992, PT Danareksa Sekuritas is a securities company that performs activities as a securities broker, underwriter, or arranger and financial advisor.

Equity Bottom-Up

Merdeka Copper Gold Tbk PT / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>We slash our FY24-25F net profit estimates by -74%/-62% to reflect higher-than-expected interest expenses and the 1Q24 net loss.</li><li>The mgmt expects Wetar to only breakeven in FY24 despite posting a positive cash margin in 1Q24. Thisimplies higher costsin 2Q24 onwards.</li><li>We maintain our Buy rating with an unchanged TP of Rp3,100 on upside potential from growth projects, but prefer its subsidiary MBMA.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We slash our FY24-25F net profit estimates by -74%/-62% to reflect higher-than-expected interest expenses and the 1Q24 net loss.The mgmt expects Wetar to only breakeven in FY24 despite posting a positive cash margin in 1Q24. Thisimplies higher costsin 2Q24 onwards.We maintain our Buy rating with an unchanged TP of Rp3,100 on upside potential from growth projects, but prefer its subsidiary MBMA.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Merdeka Copper Gold - Lowering Our FY24-25F Estimates on Higher Interest Expenses

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Fund manager <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/saratoga-investama-sedaya-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13714:1" rel="noopener">Saratoga Investama Sedaya (SRTG IJ)</a> is up 107% yoy, buoyed by its investment holdings in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/merdeka-copper-gold-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28447:1" rel="noopener">Merdeka Copper Gold (MDKA IJ)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/adaro-energy-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6061:1" rel="noopener">Adaro Energy (ADRO IJ)</a>.</li>
<li>The discount to NAV is ~31% against a one-year average of 37%.</li>
<li>Potential large divestments, such as its holding in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tower-bersama-infrastructure" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3537:1" rel="noopener">Tower Bersama Infrastructure (TBIG IJ)</a>, could causer investors to substantially narrow the NAV discount. </li>
</ul>


Fund manager Saratoga Investama Sedaya (SRTG IJ) is up 107% yoy, buoyed by its investment holdings in Merdeka Copper Gold (MDKA IJ) and Adaro Energy (ADRO IJ).
The discount to NAV is ~31% against a one-year average of 37%.
Potential large divestments, such as its holding in Tower Bersama Infrastructure (TBIG IJ), could causer investors to substantially narrow the NAV discount. 


Unlocking Saratoga Investama (SRTG IJ)'s Holdco

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

<ul>
<li>The review period for the LQ45 Index ended on 31 December. The changes should be announced in the last week of January, becoming effective after the close on 31 January.</li>
<li>We see <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/waskita-karya-persero-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15739:1" rel="noopener">Waskita Karya (Persero) (WSKT IJ)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bfi-finance-indonesia-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8447:1" rel="noopener">BFI Finance Indonesia (BFIN IJ)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/harum-energy-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1604:1" rel="noopener">Harum Energy (HRUM IJ)</a> as higher probability inclusions in the LQ45 Index.</li>
<li>Given the focus is on liquidity, we see <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jasa-marga-persero-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12747:1" rel="noopener">Jasa Marga (Persero) (JSMR IJ)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bumi-serpong-damai-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15498:1" rel="noopener">Bumi Serpong Damai (BSDE IJ)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/akr-corporindo-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13338:1" rel="noopener">AKR Corporindo (AKRA IJ)</a> as higher probability deletion candidates.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the LQ45 Index ended on 31 December. The changes should be announced in the last week of January, becoming effective after the close on 31 January.
We see Waskita Karya (Persero) (WSKT IJ), BFI Finance Indonesia (BFIN IJ) and Harum Energy (HRUM IJ) as higher probability inclusions in the LQ45 Index.
Given the focus is on liquidity, we see Jasa Marga (Persero) (JSMR IJ), Bumi Serpong Damai (BSDE IJ) and AKR Corporindo (AKRA IJ) as higher probability deletion candidates.


LQ45 Index Rebalance Preview (Feb 2022): Potential Changes Later This Month

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>We estimate the sector’s 2Q earnings to proliferate on the back of a stronger ASP and volume, yet still leading to a slightly below 1H.</li><li>We expect TINS to be the best performer in 2Q24 as its ASP and volume improve, while NCKL has the least growth as it already had a solid 1Q24</li><li>We reiterate our Overweight rating on the sector with TINS and NCKL as our top picks due to their stronger earnings visibility</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We estimate the sector’s 2Q earnings to proliferate on the back of a stronger ASP and volume, yet still leading to a slightly below 1H.We expect TINS to be the best performer in 2Q24 as its ASP and volume improve, while NCKL has the least growth as it already had a solid 1Q24We reiterate our Overweight rating on the sector with TINS and NCKL as our top picks due to their stronger earnings visibilityContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Metal Mining: Strong Qoq Earnings Growth on Higher ASP, Expect 1H24 to Be Mixed

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>On 4 June, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mmg-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13961:1" rel="noopener">MMG (1208 HK)</a> announced plans to raise HK$9.1bn (US$1.2bn) through 2 rights shares for every five existing shares rights offering, with a rights price of HK$2.62.</li>
<li>Since the rights issue announcement, MMG shares have declined by 16.2% to the undisturbed price and by 8.0% compared to the TERP of HK$3.48 per share. </li>
<li>MMG’s trading pattern has diverged from Link REIT/Yuexiu’s rights trading due to the statement on 18 May that the Peruvian mine is not liable for a 30% withholding tax.</li>
</ul>


On 4 June, MMG (1208 HK) announced plans to raise HK$9.1bn (US$1.2bn) through 2 rights shares for every five existing shares rights offering, with a rights price of HK$2.62.
Since the rights issue announcement, MMG shares have declined by 16.2% to the undisturbed price and by 8.0% compared to the TERP of HK$3.48 per share. 
MMG’s trading pattern has diverged from Link REIT/Yuexiu’s rights trading due to the statement on 18 May that the Peruvian mine is not liable for a 30% withholding tax.


Indonesia

Aneka Tambang Persero Tbk PT is a diversified mining and metals company. The Company produces ferronickel, nickel ore, gold, silver, bauxite and coal. Aneka Tambang is currently building a chemical grade alumina smelter and is looking to build  a smelter grade alumina smelter as well as a nickel pig iron smelter.

PT Vale Indonesia Tbk produces nickel in matte, an intermediate product, from lateritic ores at its integrated mining and processing facilities near Soroako, Sulawesi

Bumi Resources Minerals Tbk PT is an exploration and exploitation mining company.

PT Cita Mineral Investindo Tbk is a mineral exploration company. The Company mines for and produces bauxite.

PT Archi Indonesia Tbk operates as a mining company. The Company explores and develops silver and gold projects. Archi Indonesia serves customers worldwide.

PT Timah (Persero) Tbk operates tin mines on Indonesian islands such as Bangka and Karimun, and coastal areas of Sumatra. The Company, through its subsidiaries, also provides consultancy, shipping dockyard and workshop, transportation, exploration, and research and development services.

PT J Resources Asia Pasifik Tbk explores for and produces gold.  The Company operates in the Australasian region.

PT Krakatau Steel Persero Tbk is the iron and steel producer in Indonesia. The Company is a  state-owned enterprise and located in Cilegon, Indonesia. Krakatau Steel consists of production plants that produce hot rolled coils, plates and sheets.

PT Steel Pipe Industry Of Indonesia Tbk manufactures steel pipes. The Company produces ERW pipes, spiral welded pipes, stainless steel welded pipes, electric poles, lighting poles, scaffolding and other related products.

Steel Pipe Industry of Indonesia (ISSP IJ)

PT Darma Henwa Tbk is a coal mining company. The Company also provides machinery leasing and energy consultancy services.

Angang Steel Company Limited produces steel products which include cold rolled sheets, steel rail, pipe billets, wire rods, thick plates, and other steel products.

IGO Limited operates as an exploration company. The Company explores and mines copper, ore, nickel, gold, and other mineral resources. IGO serves customers worldwide.

Alumina Limited is an Australian resource company that produces alumina.  The Company owns about 40% of Alcoa World Alumina and Chemicals through a joint venture with Alcoa.

Hyundai Steel Company is an electric furnace steel maker.  The Company manufactures concrete reinforcing bars, H beams, stainless steel sheets, cast steel, and other steel products.  Hyundai Steel sells its products to the domestic and overseas markets.

Shanxi Taigang Stainless Steel Co., Ltd. manufactures and markets stainless steel ingots and billets.  The Company also processes and produces other steel products including hot rolled steel plates and tandem steel plates.

National Aluminium Co. Ltd. is an integrated aluminum manufacturer. The Company mines for bauxite, refines bauxite into aluminum and manufactures and sells aluminum and aluminum products. National Aluminium Company's products include bauxite, aluminum hydrate, calcined aluminum, aluminum ingots and aluminum wire rods, as well as electricity which is generated for captive consumption.

Yunnan Chihong Zinc & Germanium Co., Ltd. mines and produces a variety of non-ferrous metals including zinc, lead, and germanium. The Company also produces silver and sulfuric acid.

Yunnan Chihong Zinc&Germanium Co, Ltd. (600497 CH)

China Minmetals Rare Earth Co Ltd engages in south ionic rare earth separation and processing. The Company mainly focuses on the production and distribution of rare earth oxide, rare earth metal, and highly processed products of rare earth, as well as the research and consult service of rare earth techniques.

Yunnan Tin Co., Ltd. produces and markets tin, tin alloy products, and tin chemicals.  The Company sells its tin products under the YT trade mark.

Nanjing Iron & Steel Co., Ltd. produces a variety of iron and steel products. The Company's products include steel plates, steel belts, structure steel, concrete iron, steel billets, cast iron, and related by-products.

PT Merdeka Copper Gold Tbk is a mineral and mining company.  The Company mines for gold and copper.

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Merdeka Copper Gold Tbk PT (MDKA IJ)

Merdeka Copper Gold - Lowering Our FY24-25F Estimates on Higher Interest Expenses

We slash our FY24-25F net profit estimates by -74%/-62% to reflect higher-than-expected interest expenses and the 1Q24 net loss.

BRI Danareksa Research

Unlocking Saratoga Investama (SRTG IJ)'s Holdco

I'd be inclined to buy Saratoga outright. Or hedge against index futures. I think Tower Bersama is a possible privatisation play.

David Blennerhassett

LQ45 Index Rebalance Preview (Feb 2022): Potential Changes Later This Month

Changes to the LQ45 Index will be announced soon & become effective after the close on 31 Jan. We see three potential changes. The adds outperform...

Brian Freitas

Metal Mining: Strong Qoq Earnings Growth on Higher ASP, Expect 1H24 to Be Mixed

We estimate the sector’s 2Q earnings to proliferate on the back of a stronger ASP and volume, yet still leading to a slightly below 1H.

BRI Danareksa Research

MMG (1208 HK): Rights Trade Playbook

The rights start trading on 24 June. We expect MMG shares to claw back some losses over the rights trading period, particularly towards the end.

Arun George

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