Taiwan Tech Focused Senior Analyst

Patrick Liao

Equity Bottom-Up

King Yuan Electronics Co, Ltd. / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>It was declined by 5% for 2023 verses 2022, which was not a surprise because the overall sentiment should be dim in 2023.</li>
<li>For the coming 1Q24F, it could be a bit downside by 5%, assumed as a normal seasonality.</li>
<li>AI demand remain the biggest driving force, and all eyes are on the CoWoS. </li>
</ul>


It was declined by 5% for 2023 verses 2022, which was not a surprise because the overall sentiment should be dim in 2023.
For the coming 1Q24F, it could be a bit downside by 5%, assumed as a normal seasonality.
AI demand remain the biggest driving force, and all eyes are on the CoWoS. 


KYEC (2449.TT): 2024F Could Be a Prosperous Year Although 4Q23 Saw a 5% Decline QoQ.

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>TSMC expects the foundry, semiconductor, electronics, industrial technology, and global GDP to be $0.25 trillion, $1 trillion, $3 trillion, $12 trillion, and $145 trillion, respectively, in 2030F</li>
<li>Transistor technology is constantly evolving, and FinFET architecture will be followed by Nanosheet and others.</li>
<li>In the transition, the automotive market belongs to IDM companies, but the utility of ADAS (Advanced Driver Assistance Systems) could fall under Foundry territory.  </li>
</ul>


TSMC expects the foundry, semiconductor, electronics, industrial technology, and global GDP to be $0.25 trillion, $1 trillion, $3 trillion, $12 trillion, and $145 trillion, respectively, in 2030F
Transistor technology is constantly evolving, and FinFET architecture will be followed by Nanosheet and others.
In the transition, the automotive market belongs to IDM companies, but the utility of ADAS (Advanced Driver Assistance Systems) could fall under Foundry territory.  


TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): Foundry Market Forecast in 2030F; TSMC Had Developed The 2nm Nanosheet.

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Feb 23rd which has an aggregated holding worth USD3,723.6bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD4,330mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign instutions.</li>
<li>We highlight foreign changes in Mediatek, TSMC, Evergreen Marine, Unimicron Tech, Novatek, Wistron, Faraday Tech, Umc, Global Unichip, Quanta Computer.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Feb 23rd which has an aggregated holding worth USD3,723.6bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD4,330mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign instutions.
We highlight foreign changes in Mediatek, TSMC, Evergreen Marine, Unimicron Tech, Novatek, Wistron, Faraday Tech, Umc, Global Unichip, Quanta Computer.


TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Feb 23rd): Mediatek, TSMC, Evergreen Marine, Unimicron Tech, Novatek

<ul>
<li>Usually, February is typically the month with the fewest working days of the year, and therefore, revenue is likely to be at its lowest as well.</li>
<li>We consider that the Taiwanese government may desire TSMC to build fabs in countries aligned with those who signed the "Wassenaar Arrangement." </li>
<li>The price hike of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nvidia-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5891:1" rel="noopener">NVIDIA Corp (NVDA US)</a> by US$785.38 on February 22 in the US market could signal an important development in the AI sector.</li>
</ul>


Usually, February is typically the month with the fewest working days of the year, and therefore, revenue is likely to be at its lowest as well.
We consider that the Taiwanese government may desire TSMC to build fabs in countries aligned with those who signed the "Wassenaar Arrangement." 
The price hike of NVIDIA Corp (NVDA US) by US$785.38 on February 22 in the US market could signal an important development in the AI sector.


TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): The Implications of Feb Sales, TSMC 2nd Japanese Fab and NVDA Stock Price.

Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

Silicon Motion Technology / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Silicon Motion reported results last week that beat consensus; Moreover, the company expects strong growth not just in 2024E, but also in 2025E.</li>
<li>The company's growth will significantly exceed PC and mobile phone market growth thanks to strong memory demand trends within these segments.</li>
<li>The company sees NAND Flash in shortage into 2025E based on visibility into its client ecosystem. We continue to view SIMO as a next-wave play on the Memory recovery.</li>
</ul>


Silicon Motion reported results last week that beat consensus; Moreover, the company expects strong growth not just in 2024E, but also in 2025E.
The company's growth will significantly exceed PC and mobile phone market growth thanks to strong memory demand trends within these segments.
The company sees NAND Flash in shortage into 2025E based on visibility into its client ecosystem. We continue to view SIMO as a next-wave play on the Memory recovery.


Silicon Motion Memory Readthrough: NAND Flash to Remain In Shortage; Up-Cycle to Persist

Taiwan

ASE Technology Holding Co., Ltd. offers assembly and testing services. The Company provides outsourced assembly, semiconductor testing, semiconductor packaging, and other related services. ASE Technology Holding operates in Taiwan.

United Microelectronics Corporation designs, manufactures, and markets integrated circuits (ICs) and related electronic products.  The Company's main products are consumer electronic ICs, memory ICs, personal computer peripheral ICs, and communication ICs.

eMemory Technology, Inc. develops and provides logic non-volatile memory (LogicNVM) technology. The company licenses its intellectual property to semiconductor foundries, integrated devices manufacturers (IDMs), and fabless design houses around the world.

Nanya Technology Corp. manufactures and markets dynamic random access memories (DRAMs).  The Company sells its products in Taiwan and exports worldwide.

Realtek Semiconductor Corp. designs, tests, and distributes integrated circuits which are used in consumer electronics, computer systems and peripherals, and communication network hardware.  The Company also provides technical counseling and systems software services.

Global Unichip Corporation designs and produces a wide variety of silicon chips.

Novatek Microelectronics Corporation designs, manufactures, and markets integrated circuits (ICs).  The Company's products are used in telecommunication, computer peripherals, and LCD (liquid crystal display) drivers.

ASPEED Technology Inc. is a fabless IC-design house that specializes in server management, PC/AV extensions solution, desktop virtualization and security enhancement. The Company's products range from silicon chips, IPs to software products that enable sophisticated SOC- centric multimedia, praphics and new work applications.

Vanguard International Semiconductor Corporation offers integrated circuit foundry services.  The Company manufactures 0.18um logic, mixed-signal, analog, high voltage, low power, CMOS RF, flash, embedded memory, and bipolar CMOS DMOS semiconductors.

Tokyo Electron Limited manufactures and sells industrial electronics products, such as semiconductor manufacturing machines, computer system, and electronic components.  The Company products are sold in US, Taiwan, and others as well as in Japan.

KLA-Tencor Corporation manufactures yield management and process monitoring systems for the semiconductor industry.  The Company's systems are used to analyze product and process quality at critical steps in the manufacture of circuits and provide feedback so that fabrication problems can be identified. KLA-Tencor operates sales, service, and application centers worldwide.

Monolithic Power Systems Inc specializes in high-performance, integrated power solutions. The Company provides small, highly energy efficient, easy-to-use power solutions for systems found in industrial applications, telecom infrastructures, cloud computing, automotive, and consumer applications.

ON Semiconductor Corporation supplies analog, standard logic, and discrete semiconductors for data and power management. The Company's products include integrated circuits, and analog ICs. ON also offers discrete semiconductors in a variety of surface mount and standard packages.

Lasertec Corporation develops, designs, manufactures and markets photomask inspection systems to make semiconductor devices, confocal scanning laser microscopes and liquid crystal display (LCD) inspection systems.

Skyworks Solutions, Inc., a wireless semiconductor company, designs and manufactures radio frequency and complete semiconductor system solutions for mobile communications applications.  The Company provides front-end modules, radio frequency subsystems, and system solutions to wireless handset and infrastructure customers worldwide.

Microchip Technology Incorporated designs, manufactures, and markets microcontrollers, related mixed-signal and memory products, and application development systems for high-volume embedded control applications. The Company also designs, develops, and markets linear/mixed-signal, power management, and thermal management products.

NXP Semiconductors NV operates as a global semiconductor company. The Company designs semiconductors and software for mobile communications, consumer electronics, security applications, in-car entertainment, and networking.  NXP offers its products to the automotive, identification, wireless infrastructure, lighting, mobile, and computing applications.

Entegris Inc. provides materials management products and services to the microelectronics industry on a worldwide basis.  The Company provides products such as wafer shippers, wafer transport and process carriers, pods, and work-in-process boxes.  Entegris also provides chemical delivery products such as valves, fittings, tubing, pipe, and containers.

LONGi Green Energy Technology Co., Ltd. develops, manufactures and sells silicon rods and silicon wafers. The Company's main products include 6 inch, 6.5 inch and 8 inch monocrystalline silicon rods and wafers.

LONGi Green Energy Technology (601012 CH)

MediaTek Inc. is a fabless semiconductor company for wireless communications and digital multimedia solutions. The company provides SOC system solutions for wireless communications, high-definition TV, optical storage, DVD and Blu-ray products.

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Mediatek Inc (2454 TT)

KYEC (2449.TT): 2024F Could Be a Prosperous Year Although 4Q23 Saw a 5% Decline QoQ.

Despite a 5% decline in 2023, the outlook remains dim due to normal seasonality in 1Q24F. AI demand continues to drive the industry, with focus on...

Patrick Liao

TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): Foundry Market Forecast in 2030F; TSMC Had Developed The 2nm Nanosheet.

TSMC predicts significant growth in various industries by 2030F, with evolving transistor technology and potential shifts in market ownership for...

Patrick Liao

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Feb 23rd): Mediatek, TSMC, Evergreen Marine, Unimicron Tech, Novatek

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in Mediatek, TSMC, Evergreen Marine, Unimicron...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): The Implications of Feb Sales, TSMC 2nd Japanese Fab and NVDA Stock Price.

February's few working days may lead to low revenue; Taiwanese government may want TSMC to build fabs in Wassenaar Arrangement countries; NVIDIA's...

Patrick Liao

Silicon Motion Memory Readthrough: NAND Flash to Remain In Shortage; Up-Cycle to Persist

Silicon Motion beats expectations and predicts strong growth for NAND flash in 2024E and 2025E plus new enterprise data center products....

Vincent Fernando, CFA

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

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KYEC (2449.TT): 2024F Could Be a Prosperous Year Although 4Q23 Saw a 5% Decline QoQ.

​Despite a 5% decline in 2023, the outlook remains dim due to normal seasonality in 1Q24F. AI demand continues to drive the industry, with focus on...

Patrick Liao

TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): Foundry Market Forecast in 2030F; TSMC Had Developed The 2nm Nanosheet.

​TSMC predicts significant growth in various industries by 2030F, with evolving transistor technology and potential shifts in market ownership for...

Patrick Liao

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Feb 23rd): Mediatek, TSMC, Evergreen Marine, Unimicron Tech, Novatek

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in Mediatek, TSMC, Evergreen Marine, Unimicron...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): The Implications of Feb Sales, TSMC 2nd Japanese Fab and NVDA Stock Price.

​February's few working days may lead to low revenue; Taiwanese government may want TSMC to build fabs in Wassenaar Arrangement countries; NVIDIA's...

Patrick Liao

Silicon Motion Memory Readthrough: NAND Flash to Remain In Shortage; Up-Cycle to Persist

​Silicon Motion beats expectations and predicts strong growth for NAND flash in 2024E and 2025E plus new enterprise data center products....

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Despite a 5% decline in 2023, the outlook remains dim due to normal seasonality in 1Q24F. AI demand continues to drive the industry, with focus on...

TSMC predicts significant growth in various industries by 2030F, with evolving transistor technology and potential shifts in market ownership for...

February's few working days may lead to low revenue; Taiwanese government may want TSMC to build fabs in Wassenaar Arrangement countries; NVIDIA's...

Silicon Motion beats expectations and predicts strong growth for NAND flash in 2024E and 2025E plus new enterprise data center products....