Senior Credit Analyst, Lucror Analytics

Leonard Law, CFA

Senior Credit Analyst

High Yield Experts

Lucror Analytics

Lucror Analytics is a leading credit and ESG research specialist and a provider of technology solutions for differentiated fixed income strategies. Our roots are in bottom-up fundamental credit analysis with a specialization in high yield corporate credits from Europe, Asia and Latin America. We are one of few research specialists integrating ESG considerations with fundamental credit research through a dedicated ESG platform. Our ESG assessment covers five key criteria: Disclosure, E,S, & G Pillars, Controversies, ESG Impact on Credit and ESG Momentum.

Recognizing the importance and value-add of Factor Investing in fixed income, Lucror developed the Smart Quant Navigator (SQN), an intuitive platform that helps clients devise and implement factor-based strategies ranging from pure quant to active fundamental, with integrated ESG.

Our company has been at the forefront of developments in the fixed income markets, identifying opportunities and consistently delivering new products and value-adding solutions to clients. Lucror has close relationships with the largest and most reputable asset managers, family offices, hedge funds, investment and wealth managers globally.

Credit

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.<ul><li><a href='#lucror-entity-20844'>Medco Energi</a></li><li><a href='#lucror-entity-182'>Sands China</a></li></ul>

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.Medco EnergiSands China

Morning Views Asia: Medco Energi, Sands China

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), BRI Danareksa Research

BRI Danareksa Research

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

As a one-stop financial solution with the vision to be the most valuable securities house, BRI Danareksa Sekuritas (BRIDS) has maintained an excellent track record and extensive experience in the capital market as an underwriter, broker, and financial advisor for individual, institutional, foreign and domestic, private and government clients. Established in 1992, PT Danareksa Sekuritas is a securities company that performs activities as a securities broker, underwriter, or arranger and financial advisor.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>The possibility of petroleum supply disruptions and slower-than-expected replenishment of SPR inventory may act to sustain oil prices at high levels (above USD70/bbl), in our view.</li><li>Against such a backdrop, we continue to like MEDC (Buy, TP IDR1,900) as our top pick in the sector.</li><li>OPEC+ measures undermine the impact of soaring US oil production. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

The possibility of petroleum supply disruptions and slower-than-expected replenishment of SPR inventory may act to sustain oil prices at high levels (above USD70/bbl), in our view.Against such a backdrop, we continue to like MEDC (Buy, TP IDR1,900) as our top pick in the sector.OPEC+ measures undermine the impact of soaring US oil production. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Adani Ports & Special Economic Zone / Credit

Lucror Analytics Weekly Wraps provide an overview of all Morning Views comments and reports published by our analyst team in the past week, and also showcase a list of the most-read reports.In this Insight:<ol><li><a href='/entities/shui-on-land-ltd' target='_blank' rel='noopener'>Shui On Land</a></li><li><a href='/entities/seazen' target='_blank' rel='noopener'>Seazen (Formerly Future Land)</a></li><li><a href='/entities/yuexiu-property-co-ltd' target='_blank' rel='noopener'>Yuexiu Property </a></li><li><a href='/entities/china-hongqiao-group-ltd' target='_blank' rel='noopener'>China Hongqiao</a></li><li><a href='/entities/longfor-properties' target='_blank' rel='noopener'>Longfor Properties</a></li></ol>and more...

Lucror Analytics Weekly Wraps provide an overview of all Morning Views comments and reports published by our analyst team in the past week, and also showcase a list of the most-read reports.In this Insight:Shui On LandSeazen (Formerly Future Land)Yuexiu Property China HongqiaoLongfor Propertiesand more...

Medco Energi's tender offers are positive for existing bondholders in our view, as the early tender considerations are 2-3 pts above the last traded prices before the announcement. Conversely, we doubt the repurchases will provide significant interest savings for the company. Still, we view the proposed new notes issuance as credit positive for Medco, as it will lengthen the debt maturity profile and enable the company to finance a Middle East acquisition using long-term funding. We recommend that holders of the MEDCIJ 6.75 25 tender before the early tender deadline, but are neutral on the tender offer for the remaining notes. We see fair value for the proposed 2029 notes at 9.2-9.7%.

  Medco Energi's tender offers are positive for existing bondholders in our view, as the early tender considerations are 2-3 pts above the last traded prices before the announcement. Conversely, we doubt the repurchases will provide significant interest savings for the company. Still, we view the proposed new notes issuance as credit positive for Medco, as it will lengthen the debt maturity profile and enable the company to finance a Middle East acquisition using long-term funding.   We recommend that holders of the MEDCIJ 6.75 25 tender before the early tender deadline, but are neutral on the tender offer for the remaining notes. We see fair value for the proposed 2029 notes at 9.2-9.7%.  

Medco Energi - Event Flash - Tender Offer And Potential Notes Issuance - Lucror Analytics

ASEAN Insight Provider, CrossASEAN Research

Angus Mackintosh

ASEAN Insight Provider

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>The past week saw insights published onn <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pt-selamat-sempurna-tbk" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10909:1" rel="noopener">Selamat Sempurna (SMSM IJ)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/barito-renewables" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40150:1" rel="noopener">Barito Renewables</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/boustead-plantations-bhd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11418:1" rel="noopener">Boustead Plantations (BPLANT MK)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vertex-technology-acquisition-corporation-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35394:1" rel="noopener">Vertex Technology Acquisition Corporation (VTAC SP).</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/united-overseas-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:113:1" rel="noopener">UOB (UOB SP)</a>.</li>
<li>There were also insights in the 3Q2023 performance in Singapore, as well as a look at Singapore's monthly balance sheet, and a credit insight looking at <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/medco-energi-internasional-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20844:1" rel="noopener">Medco Energi (MEDC IJ)</a>. </li>
<li>The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma is filled with an eclectic mix of differentiated, substantive, and actionable insights, macro and equity bottom-up, from across Southeast Asia.</li>
</ul>


The past week saw insights published onn Selamat Sempurna (SMSM IJ), Barito Renewables, Boustead Plantations (BPLANT MK), and Vertex Technology Acquisition Corporation (VTAC SP). and UOB (UOB SP).
There were also insights in the 3Q2023 performance in Singapore, as well as a look at Singapore's monthly balance sheet, and a credit insight looking at Medco Energi (MEDC IJ). 
The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma is filled with an eclectic mix of differentiated, substantive, and actionable insights, macro and equity bottom-up, from across Southeast Asia.


The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma - Filters, Barito Renewables, and Vertex Technology SPAC.

Indonesia

PT Medco Energi Internasional Tbk is an integrated energy company. The Company explores for and produces oil and gas both in Indonesia and internationally, operates gas-fired power plants in Panaran I, Batam Island, and develops renewable fuels such as Bio-fuel.

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Medco Energi (MEDC IJ)

Morning Views Asia: Medco Energi, Sands China

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region,...

Lucror Analytics

Oil & Gas - Oil on Fire

The possibility of petroleum supply disruptions and slower-than-expected replenishment of SPR inventory may act to sustain oil prices at high...

BRI Danareksa Research

Weekly Wrap - 13 Oct 2023

Lucror Analytics Weekly Wraps provide an overview of all Morning Views comments and reports published by our analyst team in the past week, and...

Lucror Analytics

Medco Energi - Event Flash - Tender Offer And Potential Notes Issuance - Lucror Analytics

Medco Energi's tender offers are positive for existing bondholders in our view, as the early tender considerations are 2-3 pts above the last...

Lucror Analytics

The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma - Filters, Barito Renewables, and Vertex Technology SPAC.

The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma is filled with an eclectic mix of differentiated, substantive, and actionable insights, macro and equity...

Angus Mackintosh

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