External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Bell Potter Securities

Bell Potter

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Bell Potter Securities

Bell Potter Securities is a leading Australian stockbroking, investment and financial advisory firm that provides a comprehensive offering of financial services to individuals, institutions and corporations. Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>FY24 result: 4% EPSA beat with good cash generationMMS released a very strong result, with FY24 Normalised Revenue/EBITDA/UNPATA growth of +12%/+35%/+38% vs pcp, respectively from continuing operations, lapping on weaker new car supply and delivery.</li><li>Core EPSA of 154.5¢ps came in +2% above BPe (+4% vs VA cons).</li><li>Divisionally, GRS delivered a beat at EBITDA, headlined by a 12-month contribution from EV demand and productivity benefits, while PPS missed expectations.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

FY24 result: 4% EPSA beat with good cash generationMMS released a very strong result, with FY24 Normalised Revenue/EBITDA/UNPATA growth of +12%/+35%/+38% vs pcp, respectively from continuing operations, lapping on weaker new car supply and delivery.Core EPSA of 154.5¢ps came in +2% above BPe (+4% vs VA cons).Divisionally, GRS delivered a beat at EBITDA, headlined by a 12-month contribution from EV demand and productivity benefits, while PPS missed expectations.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

McMillan Shakespeare Ltd (MMS): More Lovely and More Temperate

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/seven-group-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:803:1" rel="noopener">Seven Group Holdings (SVW AU)</a>'s holding in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/boral-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1487:1" rel="noopener">Boral Ltd (BLD AU)</a> continues to increase and that could lead to an index change at the June rebalance, if not earlier.</li>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/silver-lake-resources-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6529:1" rel="noopener">Silver Lake Resources (SLR AU)</a>/ <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/red-5-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7940:1" rel="noopener">Red 5 Ltd (RED AU)</a> merger could lead to an index change early June.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cie-de-saint-gobain" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21547:1" rel="noopener">Cie De Saint-Gobain (SGO FP)</a>'s acquisition of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/csr-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17380:1" rel="noopener">CSR Ltd (CSR AU)</a> could lead to another index change just ahead of the regular June rebalance.</li>
</ul>



Seven Group Holdings (SVW AU)'s holding in Boral Ltd (BLD AU) continues to increase and that could lead to an index change at the June rebalance, if not earlier.
The Silver Lake Resources (SLR AU)/ Red 5 Ltd (RED AU) merger could lead to an index change early June.

Cie De Saint-Gobain (SGO FP)'s acquisition of CSR Ltd (CSR AU) could lead to another index change just ahead of the regular June rebalance.


ASX200 Index Rebalance Preview: Potential Changes Prior to the June Rebalance

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>On the 25 November 2024, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sg-fleet-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13984:1" rel="noopener">SG Fleet (SGF AU)</a> (SGF), an Aussie provider of fleet leasing services, announced a A$3.50/share non-binding/indicative proposal from Sydney PE outfit Pacific Equity Partners (PEP).</li>
<li>On the 4th December, both parties entered into a SID on the same terms. SGF's largest shareholder, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/super-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20972:1" rel="noopener">Super Group (SUPER SP)</a> (53.58%), was supportive. </li>
<li>
The Scheme Booklet is now <a href="https://announcements.asx.com.au/asxpdf/20250221/pdf/06fsctwmjwcj5f.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">out</a>, with a Scheme Meeting on the 8th April. Expected implementation on the 30th April. The IE (Grant Thornton) says fair &amp; reasonable.</li>
</ul>


On the 25 November 2024, SG Fleet (SGF AU) (SGF), an Aussie provider of fleet leasing services, announced a A$3.50/share non-binding/indicative proposal from Sydney PE outfit Pacific Equity Partners (PEP).
On the 4th December, both parties entered into a SID on the same terms. SGF's largest shareholder, Super Group (SUPER SP) (53.58%), was supportive. 

The Scheme Booklet is now out, with a Scheme Meeting on the 8th April. Expected implementation on the 30th April. The IE (Grant Thornton) says fair &amp; reasonable.


IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<ul>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sg-fleet-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13984:1" rel="noopener">Sg Fleet (SGF AU)</a> IE considers Pacific Equity Partners’ A$3.50 offer fair and reasonable. </li>
<li>The key conditions are shareholder (<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/super-group-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44114:1" rel="noopener">Super Group (SPG SJ)</a> and SG Fleet) and regulatory (FIRB, OIO and FCA) approval. </li>
<li>The offer is attractive compared to peer multiples and represents an all-time high. At the last close and for a 30 April payment, the gross/annualised spread is 1.5%/8.5%.  </li>
</ul>


The Sg Fleet (SGF AU) IE considers Pacific Equity Partners’ A$3.50 offer fair and reasonable. 
The key conditions are shareholder (Super Group (SPG SJ) and SG Fleet) and regulatory (FIRB, OIO and FCA) approval. 
The offer is attractive compared to peer multiples and represents an all-time high. At the last close and for a 30 April payment, the gross/annualised spread is 1.5%/8.5%.  


SG Fleet (SGF AU): Scheme Vote on 8 April

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sg-fleet-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13984:1" rel="noopener">Sg Fleet (SGF AU)</a> has entered a scheme implementation deed with Pacific Equity Partners (PEP) at A$3.50 per share, a 31.1% premium to the undisturbed price. </li>
<li>The key conditions are shareholder and regulatory approvals (FIRB, OIO and UK FCA). <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/super-group-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44114:1" rel="noopener">Super Group (SPG SJ)</a>, the largest shareholder with a 53.58% stake, will support the offer. </li>
<li>The offer is attractive compared to peer multiples and represents an all-time high. At the last close and for a March 2025-end payment, the gross/annualised spread is 2.3%/7.6%.</li>
</ul>



Sg Fleet (SGF AU) has entered a scheme implementation deed with Pacific Equity Partners (PEP) at A$3.50 per share, a 31.1% premium to the undisturbed price. 
The key conditions are shareholder and regulatory approvals (FIRB, OIO and UK FCA). Super Group (SPG SJ), the largest shareholder with a 53.58% stake, will support the offer. 
The offer is attractive compared to peer multiples and represents an all-time high. At the last close and for a March 2025-end payment, the gross/annualised spread is 2.3%/7.6%.


SG Fleet (SGF AU): Pacific Equity Partners’ Binding Offer a Done Deal

Australia

McMillan Shakespeare Limited provides salary packaging services.  The Company also offers services like procurement of motor vehicles, insurance, finance and fuel and service maintenance programs.

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Mcmillan Shakespeare (MMS AU)

McMillan Shakespeare Ltd (MMS): More Lovely and More Temperate

FY24 result: 4% EPSA beat with good cash generationMMS released a very strong result, with FY24 Normalised Revenue/EBITDA/UNPATA growth of +12%...

Bell Potter

ASX200 Index Rebalance Preview: Potential Changes Prior to the June Rebalance

Upcoming M&A activity will result in ad hoc inclusions to the ASX200 prior to the June rebal. There could be 2-3 adds in the first few weeks of...

Brian Freitas

SG Fleet (SGF AU): 8th April Scheme Vote

This is done and trading tight. Currently trading at 1.4%/8.4% gross/annualised spread. Get involved here and on (any) dips.

David Blennerhassett

SG Fleet (SGF AU): Scheme Vote on 8 April

The offer is attractive compared to peer multiples and represents an all-time high. At the last close and for a 30 April payment, the gross...

Arun George

SG Fleet (SGF AU): Pacific Equity Partners’ Binding Offer a Done Deal

This is done. The offer is attractive compared to peer multiples and represents an all-time high. At the last close and for a March 2025-end...

Arun George

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