Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>With long-term structural factors supporting growth, healthcare services market is expected to have a low double-digit CAGR over the next five years.</li>
<li>Most of the leading hospitals are operating with high occupancies, which justifies their aggressive plans. Profitable revenue growth and low leverage support their expansion plans.</li>
<li>With expanding scale, the players are well positioned to report faster revenue growth and better margins in coming years than their respective historical figures.</li>
</ul>


With long-term structural factors supporting growth, healthcare services market is expected to have a low double-digit CAGR over the next five years.
Most of the leading hospitals are operating with high occupancies, which justifies their aggressive plans. Profitable revenue growth and low leverage support their expansion plans.
With expanding scale, the players are well positioned to report faster revenue growth and better margins in coming years than their respective historical figures.


Indian Hospitals on Expansion Spree; Sectoral Tailwinds and Financial Stability Provide Impetus

Market & Forensics Analyst, Beat the Street

Nimish Maheshwari

Market & Forensics Analyst

Beat the Street

Beat The Street was founded by Nimish Maheshwari and Sudarshan Bhandari, both of whom are Chartered Accountants by Profession, known for their expert analysis in the fields of Business, Sectoral analysis, and Corporate governance.

With a strong social media presence of 45,000+ Subscribers across various platforms, they are considered trusted voices in the industry. Their insights and analysis have been featured in some of India’s most prominent publications, including the Economic Times, Dalal Street Investment Journal, The Morning Context, and The Ken.

Their analysis on Bankrupt & Insolvent companies has been instrumental in saving investors from significant losses. They have a keen eye for identifying red flags and has identified exclusive redflags earlier in Vedanta, Nykaa, Dhani Services, Adani and many more.

Read Business Not Stock Prices

<ul>
<li>Supreme Court's warning to enforce CGHS rates on private hospitals sparks market concerns, leading to a significant correction in hospital company stock prices.</li>
<li>Failure to standardize hospital pricing raises questions about patient affordability, quality of healthcare, and financial viability of private hospitals, impacting investors and healthcare consumers alike.</li>
<li>Explore the complexities of healthcare regulation, implications for hospital companies, and potential investment opportunities amid the evolving landscape of standardized medical treatment costs.</li>
</ul>


Supreme Court's warning to enforce CGHS rates on private hospitals sparks market concerns, leading to a significant correction in hospital company stock prices.
Failure to standardize hospital pricing raises questions about patient affordability, quality of healthcare, and financial viability of private hospitals, impacting investors and healthcare consumers alike.
Explore the complexities of healthcare regulation, implications for hospital companies, and potential investment opportunities amid the evolving landscape of standardized medical treatment costs.


SC on Standardisation Rate for Medical Procedures: Likely Impact on Listed Hospital Players

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ihh-healthcare-bhd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:876:1" rel="noopener">IHH Healthcare (IHH MK)</a> reports 11% YoY increase in 4Q23 revenue, due to higher patient volumes and revenue intensity across all markets, with all business segments and markets registering growth.</li>
<li>4Q23 EBITDA remained flat at RM1.1B and PATMI (excluding extraordinary income) fell 22% YoY.</li>
<li>The company remains on track to add close to 4,000 beds across all its major markets, including Malaysia, India, Europe, and Hong Kong to its existing 12,000 beds by 2028.</li>
</ul>



IHH Healthcare (IHH MK) reports 11% YoY increase in 4Q23 revenue, due to higher patient volumes and revenue intensity across all markets, with all business segments and markets registering growth.
4Q23 EBITDA remained flat at RM1.1B and PATMI (excluding extraordinary income) fell 22% YoY.
The company remains on track to add close to 4,000 beds across all its major markets, including Malaysia, India, Europe, and Hong Kong to its existing 12,000 beds by 2028.


IHH Healthcare (IHH MK): Patient Volume Driven Revenue Growth in 4Q; Profitability Remains Subdued

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

iShares MSCI ACWI ETF / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We see global equities (MSCI ACWI) going through a pause/pullback amid short-term breakouts in the U.S. dollar (DXY) and global sovereign 10-year yields.</li>
<li>A rising DXY and climbing yields is a near-term headwind, and we could continue to see more choppy price action in the weeks ahead.</li>
<li>With that said, as long as the DXY remains below $106, the 10-year Treasury yield remains below 4.35%, and ACWI-US is <em>above</em> $98, we would view pullbacks as buying opportunities.</li>
</ul>


We see global equities (MSCI ACWI) going through a pause/pullback amid short-term breakouts in the U.S. dollar (DXY) and global sovereign 10-year yields.
A rising DXY and climbing yields is a near-term headwind, and we could continue to see more choppy price action in the weeks ahead.
With that said, as long as the DXY remains below $106, the 10-year Treasury yield remains below 4.35%, and ACWI-US is above $98, we would view pullbacks as buying opportunities.


Pause/Pullback Underway; Downgrading Europe and Mexico; Buys in Services, Tech, Comm, Healthcare

Max Healthcare Institute / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>In Q2FY24, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/max-healthcare-institute-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35275:1" rel="noopener">Max Healthcare Institute (MAXHEALT IN)</a> reported revenue growth of 17% YoY and 6% QoQ to INR18.3B, driven by higher ARPOB and occupied bed days.</li>
<li>EBITDA grew 21% YoY and 14% QoQ to INR4.5B, leading to a 100 basis point YoY and 190 basis point QoQ margin expansion to 28.7%.</li>
<li>MHIL expect greenfield 300 bed hospital in Dwarka, South-west Delhi will be commissioned in later half of Q4FY24. It was originally expected to be commissioned in Q2FY24.</li>
</ul>


In Q2FY24, Max Healthcare Institute (MAXHEALT IN) reported revenue growth of 17% YoY and 6% QoQ to INR18.3B, driven by higher ARPOB and occupied bed days.
EBITDA grew 21% YoY and 14% QoQ to INR4.5B, leading to a 100 basis point YoY and 190 basis point QoQ margin expansion to 28.7%.
MHIL expect greenfield 300 bed hospital in Dwarka, South-west Delhi will be commissioned in later half of Q4FY24. It was originally expected to be commissioned in Q2FY24.


Max Healthcare (MAXHEALTH IN): Robust Financial Performance in Q2; Expansion Projects Are On Track

India

Max Healthcare Institute Limited operates a chain of hospitals. The Hospital offers urology, oncology, orthopaedics, eye care, dermatology, lung transplant, nutrition and dietetics, dental care, ganstroenterology, and rehabilitation services. Max Healthcare Institute serves patients in India.

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Max Healthcare Institute (MAXHEALT IN)

Indian Hospitals on Expansion Spree; Sectoral Tailwinds and Financial Stability Provide Impetus

Leading Indian hospitals are operating with high occupancies. Most of them chalked out major expansion plans over the next three years to benefit...

Tina Banerjee

SC on Standardisation Rate for Medical Procedures: Likely Impact on Listed Hospital Players

Supreme Court's push for CGHS rates on private hospitals triggers stock market turmoil, highlighting issues of pricing, patient affordability, and...

Nimish Maheshwari

IHH Healthcare (IHH MK): Patient Volume Driven Revenue Growth in 4Q; Profitability Remains Subdued

IHH Healthcare reported 11% YoY revenue growth to RM5.5 billion in 4Q23, driven by higher patient volumes and revenue intensity across all...

Tina Banerjee

Pause/Pullback Underway; Downgrading Europe and Mexico; Buys in Services, Tech, Comm, Healthcare

Pause/pullback underway in $ACWI, but as long as the $DXY remains below $106, the 10-year Treasury yield remains below 4.35%, and $ACWI is above...

Vermilion Research

Max Healthcare (MAXHEALTH IN): Robust Financial Performance in Q2; Expansion Projects Are On Track

Max Health reported Q2 revenue growth of 17% YoY and 6% QoQ to INR18.3B, driven by higher ARPOB and OBDs. EBITDA grew 21% YoY and 14% QoQ to...

Tina Banerjee

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Indian Hospitals on Expansion Spree; Sectoral Tailwinds and Financial Stability Provide Impetus

​Leading Indian hospitals are operating with high occupancies. Most of them chalked out major expansion plans over the next three years to benefit...

Tina Banerjee

SC on Standardisation Rate for Medical Procedures: Likely Impact on Listed Hospital Players

​Supreme Court's push for CGHS rates on private hospitals triggers stock market turmoil, highlighting issues of pricing, patient affordability, and...

Nimish Maheshwari

IHH Healthcare (IHH MK): Patient Volume Driven Revenue Growth in 4Q; Profitability Remains Subdued

​IHH Healthcare reported 11% YoY revenue growth to RM5.5 billion in 4Q23, driven by higher patient volumes and revenue intensity across all...

Tina Banerjee

Pause/Pullback Underway; Downgrading Europe and Mexico; Buys in Services, Tech, Comm, Healthcare

Pause/pullback underway in $ACWI, but as long as the $DXY remains below $106, the 10-year Treasury yield remains below 4.35%, and $ACWI is above...

Vermilion Research

Max Healthcare (MAXHEALTH IN): Robust Financial Performance in Q2; Expansion Projects Are On Track

​Max Health reported Q2 revenue growth of 17% YoY and 6% QoQ to INR18.3B, driven by higher ARPOB and OBDs. EBITDA grew 21% YoY and 14% QoQ to...

Tina Banerjee

Leading Indian hospitals are operating with high occupancies. Most of them chalked out major expansion plans over the next three years to benefit...

Supreme Court's push for CGHS rates on private hospitals triggers stock market turmoil, highlighting issues of pricing, patient affordability, and...

IHH Healthcare reported 11% YoY revenue growth to RM5.5 billion in 4Q23, driven by higher patient volumes and revenue intensity across all...

Max Health reported Q2 revenue growth of 17% YoY and 6% QoQ to INR18.3B, driven by higher ARPOB and OBDs. EBITDA grew 21% YoY and 14% QoQ to...