Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist, Trudence Capital Advisors

Pranav Bhavsar

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist

Trudence Capital Advisors

Trudence Capital Advisors Private Limited is a SEBI-registered Research Analyst, holding SEBI registration number INH000015747. Our firm is dedicated to providing independent and unbiased research on Indian mid to large-cap companies. Trudence Capital is known for its counter-consensus views, with a focus on forensic research and on-ground primary investigations. Our research approach is thorough, involving detailed analysis of accounting practices and governance, alongside extensive channel checks.

Independent & Unbiased Research

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>One of our routine channels is suggesting the possibility of some of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mahindra-mahindra-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16441:1" rel="noopener">Mahindra &amp; Mahindra (MM IN)</a> 's Scorpio-N bookings being fake.</li>
<li>This channel (an online auto forum) has been a trusted source of information followed by various industry veterans including the company's chairman.</li>
<li>While the rationalisation of fake bookings as a recent industry practice could solace some, the fallacy of the bookings narrative only gets stronger. </li>
</ul>


One of our routine channels is suggesting the possibility of some of Mahindra &amp; Mahindra (MM IN) 's Scorpio-N bookings being fake.
This channel (an online auto forum) has been a trusted source of information followed by various industry veterans including the company's chairman.
While the rationalisation of fake bookings as a recent industry practice could solace some, the fallacy of the bookings narrative only gets stronger. 


Mahindra & Mahindra (MM IN) | Scorpio-N Fake Bookings

Global Emerging Market Equities, Propitious Research

Wium Malan, CFA

Global Emerging Market Equities

Independent, Fundamental Quantitative Research

Propitious Research

Fully independent, fundamental and quantitative equity research, focused on companies in the Telecommunication, Media, Technology, Internet and Healthcare sectors in the Global Emerging Markets. Idea generation focused on Quality stocks, trading below their intrinsic Value, with sound Corporate Governance.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>An overview (and output) of our machine learning-driven GEM screening model, which seeks to find the best medium-term long ideas within the top 100 stocks in the MSCI GEM Index.</li>
<li>The model is based on 1) a quantitative multifactor screening model, enhanced by two AI Technology-based approaches; 2) a Deep Neural Network model, and 3) a Recurrent Neural Network model.</li>
<li>Developed over roughly 4 years and implemented in its current state for over 2 years, the model has a solid real-world alpha-generating performance track record, discussed in detail below.</li>
</ul>


An overview (and output) of our machine learning-driven GEM screening model, which seeks to find the best medium-term long ideas within the top 100 stocks in the MSCI GEM Index.
The model is based on 1) a quantitative multifactor screening model, enhanced by two AI Technology-based approaches; 2) a Deep Neural Network model, and 3) a Recurrent Neural Network model.
Developed over roughly 4 years and implemented in its current state for over 2 years, the model has a solid real-world alpha-generating performance track record, discussed in detail below.


External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Axis Direct

Axis Direct

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Axis Direct is the flagship brand under Axis Securities Limited, a subsidiary of Axis Bank in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Axis Top Picks basket delivered impressive returns of 18%/19% in the last 6M/1YR respectively, outperforming the benchmark Index NIFTY 50 by an encouraging margin.</li><li>In Nov’22, the basket inched up further by 1%.</li><li>Furthermore, It has delivered an impressive return of 153% since its inception (May'20), which stands significantly higher than the 102% returns delivered by NIFTY 50 over the same period.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Axis Top Picks basket delivered impressive returns of 18%/19% in the last 6M/1YR respectively, outperforming the benchmark Index NIFTY 50 by an encouraging margin.In Nov’22, the basket inched up further by 1%.Furthermore, It has delivered an impressive return of 153% since its inception (May'20), which stands significantly higher than the 102% returns delivered by NIFTY 50 over the same period.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Axis Top Picks for the Month of December 2022

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mahindra-mahindra-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16441:1" rel="noopener">Mahindra &amp; Mahindra (MM IN)</a> 's production data provides more questions than answers.</li>
<li>The drop in production for Thar and XUV 700 in October in spite of the high order backlog is surprising. </li>
<li>Considering the industry outlook and the existing sales and production for these two models, we believe this demand forecast may not materialise</li>
</ul>



Mahindra &amp; Mahindra (MM IN) 's production data provides more questions than answers.
The drop in production for Thar and XUV 700 in October in spite of the high order backlog is surprising. 
Considering the industry outlook and the existing sales and production for these two models, we believe this demand forecast may not materialise


Mahindra & Mahindra (MM IN) | Wake up and Smell the Coffee

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

HDFC securities is the best online trading platform for stocks, IPOs, mutual fund in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

<ul><li>Q2FY23 earnings season saw an overall in-line performance, with wide divergences across sectors and companies</li><li>Aggregate revenue/PAT grew by 31%/4% YoY across the HSIE coverage universe (~206 stocks), their three-year CAGR being 17%/13%</li><li>Our coverage universe saw strong YoY growth in auto, banking, consumer discretionary, industrials, chemicals, and real estate segments</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Q2FY23 earnings season saw an overall in-line performance, with wide divergences across sectors and companiesAggregate revenue/PAT grew by 31%/4% YoY across the HSIE coverage universe (~206 stocks), their three-year CAGR being 17%/13%Our coverage universe saw strong YoY growth in auto, banking, consumer discretionary, industrials, chemicals, and real estate segmentsContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

India Equity Strategy: Cost inflation peaked out; margin recovery on the horizon

India

Maruti Suzuki India Limited manufactures and exports automobiles. Maruti collaborated with Suzuki of Japan to produce affordable cars for the average Indian.

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Maruti Suzuki India (MSIL IN)

Mahindra & Mahindra (MM IN) | Scorpio-N Fake Bookings

One of our routine channels is suggesting the possibility of some of the Mahindra & Mahindra (MM IN) 's Scorpio-N bookings being fake.

Pranav Bhavsar

Screening for GEMs: December 2022

This insight provides an overview of our, machine learning-driven, proprietary GEM screening model, based on a Multifactor model, a Deep Neural...

Wium Malan, CFA

Axis Top Picks for the Month of December 2022

Axis Top Picks basket delivered impressive returns of 18%/19% in the last 6M/1YR respectively, outperforming the benchmark Index NIFTY 50 by an...

Axis Direct

Mahindra & Mahindra (MM IN) | Wake up and Smell the Coffee

MM's production, sales and order backlog and monthly run rate do not seem to be in sync with more questions than answers.

Pranav Bhavsar

India Equity Strategy: Cost inflation peaked out; margin recovery on the horizon

Q2FY23 earnings season saw an overall in-line performance, with wide divergences across sectors and companiesAggregate revenue/PAT grew by 31%/4% YoY

HDFC Securities

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