IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

Yashili International Holdings / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>We summarise the latest spreads and newsflow of merger arb situations covered by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore and the US (Chinese ADRs only). </li>
<li>This week, the highest gross spreads are <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yashili-international-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3397:1" rel="noopener">Yashili International Holdings (1230 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/razer-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24380:1" rel="noopener">Razer Inc (1337 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/51-job-inc-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:532:1" rel="noopener">51 Job Inc Adr (JOBS US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sezzle-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30969:1" rel="noopener">Sezzle Inc (SZL AU)</a>
</li>
<li>Lowest gross spreads <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cimic-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20030:1" rel="noopener">CIMIC Group Ltd (CIM AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/z-energy-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9838:1" rel="noopener">Z Energy Ltd (ZEL NZ)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-logistics-property-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22799:1" rel="noopener">China Logistics Property Holdings (1589 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/virtus-health-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14776:1" rel="noopener">Virtus Health (VRT AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mapletree-north-asia-commercial-trust" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5127:1" rel="noopener">Mapletree North Asia Commercial Trust (MAGIC SP)</a>     </li>
</ul>


We summarise the latest spreads and newsflow of merger arb situations covered by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore and the US (Chinese ADRs only). 
This week, the highest gross spreads are Yashili International Holdings (1230 HK), Razer Inc (1337 HK), 51 Job Inc Adr (JOBS US), Sezzle Inc (SZL AU)

Lowest gross spreads CIMIC Group Ltd (CIM AU), Z Energy Ltd (ZEL NZ), China Logistics Property Holdings (1589 HK), Virtus Health (VRT AU), Mapletree North Asia Commercial Trust (MAGIC SP)     


Merger Arb Mondays - Yashili, Razer, 51job, Sezzle, Link, Uniti, Guodian, Jin Jiang

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Mapletree Pan Asia Commercial Trust / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The MNACT/MCT deal has weird parameters which make it complicated as a risk arb situation, and as a way to think about relative value of MCT and MNACT vs Peers</li>
<li>Relative buying and selling pressure changes between the two names and their peer baskets depending on a) the May vote, b) index provider discretion, and c) MCT's price in July. </li>
<li>Then it may depend on relative price movement before then too. It's complicated. </li>
</ul>


The MNACT/MCT deal has weird parameters which make it complicated as a risk arb situation, and as a way to think about relative value of MCT and MNACT vs Peers
Relative buying and selling pressure changes between the two names and their peer baskets depending on a) the May vote, b) index provider discretion, and c) MCT's price in July. 
Then it may depend on relative price movement before then too. It's complicated. 


Noodling MNACT Vs MCT Deal Risk... Even the Complications Have Complications.

Equity Capital Markets

Lendlease Global Commercial REIT / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>In mid-February, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lendlease-global-commercial-reit" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28292:1" rel="noopener">Lendlease Global Commercial REIT (LREIT SP)</a> which owned 31.8% of the Jurong East MRT Station "Jem" complex announced it would buy the rest. </li>
<li>They announced they would issue new equity to pay for some of it. Predictably, the units fell, and fell vs Office/Retail Mixed-Use SREIT peers. </li>
<li>Now you can buy units of Singapore asset quality, acceptable leverage, high divi and something well cheap of peer-measured fair. </li>
</ul>


In mid-February, Lendlease Global Commercial REIT (LREIT SP) which owned 31.8% of the Jurong East MRT Station "Jem" complex announced it would buy the rest. 
They announced they would issue new equity to pay for some of it. Predictably, the units fell, and fell vs Office/Retail Mixed-Use SREIT peers. 
Now you can buy units of Singapore asset quality, acceptable leverage, high divi and something well cheap of peer-measured fair. 


Lendlease Global Offering to Buy the Rest of JEM - Big Deal, Cheap, Cheaper Than Peers

Mapletree North Asia Commercial Trust / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mapletree-commercial-trust" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:106:1" rel="noopener">Mapletree Commercial Trust (MCT SP)</a> has introduced a new cash-only consideration of S$1.1949 per MNACT unit. The scheme meeting is at the end-May with an effective date of end-August. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mapletree-north-asia-commercial-trust" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5127:1" rel="noopener">Mapletree North Asia Commercial Trust (MAGIC SP)</a>/MNACT will continue to be able to pay permitted distributions – consensus 2HFY21/22 DPU of 3.57 cents to be paid in June.</li>
<li>Quarz Capital now supports the merger. Including potential permitted 2H MNACT DPU and at last close, the gross spread to the cash-only consideration is 0.9%. </li>
</ul>



Mapletree Commercial Trust (MCT SP) has introduced a new cash-only consideration of S$1.1949 per MNACT unit. The scheme meeting is at the end-May with an effective date of end-August. 

Mapletree North Asia Commercial Trust (MAGIC SP)/MNACT will continue to be able to pay permitted distributions – consensus 2HFY21/22 DPU of 3.57 cents to be paid in June.
Quarz Capital now supports the merger. Including potential permitted 2H MNACT DPU and at last close, the gross spread to the cash-only consideration is 0.9%. 


MCT and MNACT’s New Cash-Only Scheme Option Gets Quarz Onside

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>Lendlease REIT is looking to raise up to US$427m via a private placement and a preferential offering.</li>
<li>The deal is very well flagged as the acquisition was announced in Feb 2022 and the EGM approval for the same was received earlier this month.</li>
<li>In this note, we will run the deal through our ECM framework and talk about the recent updates.</li>
</ul>


Lendlease REIT is looking to raise up to US$427m via a private placement and a preferential offering.
The deal is very well flagged as the acquisition was announced in Feb 2022 and the EGM approval for the same was received earlier this month.
In this note, we will run the deal through our ECM framework and talk about the recent updates.


Lendlease Global REIT Placement - Very Well Flagged but Still Quite a Large One to Digest

Singapore

Mapletree North Asia Commercial Trust operates as a real estate investment trust. The Company manages and invests in commercial properties, including logistics, industrial spaces, and office buildings. Mapletree North Asia Commercial Trust serves customers in Asia.

Mapletree North Asia Commercial Trust (MAGIC SP)

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Mapletree North Asia Commercial Trust (MAGIC SP)

Merger Arb Mondays - Yashili, Razer, 51job, Sezzle, Link, Uniti, Guodian, Jin Jiang

This week, the highest gross spreads are Yashili (22.4%), Razer (16.5%), 51 Job (12.9%), Sezzle (10.3%), Link (6.6%), Uniti Group (5.3%), Guodian...

Arun George

Noodling MNACT Vs MCT Deal Risk... Even the Complications Have Complications.

The MNACT vs MCT Deal has weirder than it appears at first glance. Bigger picture, historical relationships should matter, but there are...

Travis Lundy

Lendlease Global Offering to Buy the Rest of JEM - Big Deal, Cheap, Cheaper Than Peers

Well-signalled and well-prepared equity placement takes place at a 10+% discount to peers and more if you count the div uplift. Buy the deal, or...

Travis Lundy

MCT and MNACT’s New Cash-Only Scheme Option Gets Quarz Onside

MCT has introduced a new cash-only consideration of S$1.1949 per MNACT unit, which Quarz considers fair. Including potential permitted 2H DPU, the...

Arun George

Lendlease Global REIT Placement - Very Well Flagged but Still Quite a Large One to Digest

Lendlease REIT is looking to raise up to US$427m via a private placement and a preferential offering. The deal is very well flagged.

Sumeet Singh

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)