Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>In its 14th May quarterly review, MSCI <a href="https://app2.msci.com/eqb/gimi/stdindex/MSCI_May24_STPublicList.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">announced</a>  <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jardine-cycle-carriage-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:347:1" rel="noopener">Jardine Cycle &amp; Carriage (JCNC SP)</a> will be removed from its index effective 31 May. Shares closed down 4.3% on the 15th.</li>
<li>JCNC announced yesterday that <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jardine-matheson-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19718:1" rel="noopener">Jardine Matheson Holdings (JM SP)</a> has lifted its stake to 81.058% from 79.866%. </li>
<li>JCNC is trading rich to its NAV. The simple ratio (JCNC/<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/astra-international-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:46:1" rel="noopener">Astra International (ASII IJ)</a>) is around its highest level outside the 2008 GFC. A takeover from parent Matheson is unlikely.</li>
</ul>


In its 14th May quarterly review, MSCI announced  Jardine Cycle &amp; Carriage (JCNC SP) will be removed from its index effective 31 May. Shares closed down 4.3% on the 15th.
JCNC announced yesterday that Jardine Matheson Holdings (JM SP) has lifted its stake to 81.058% from 79.866%. 
JCNC is trading rich to its NAV. The simple ratio (JCNC/Astra International (ASII IJ)) is around its highest level outside the 2008 GFC. A takeover from parent Matheson is unlikely.


Jardines Bumps JCNC Stake Post MSCI Deletion

Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport, Tracking Traffic

Daniel Hellberg

Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport

Tracking Traffic

Focusing on Asian logistics, transportation, and travel companies

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Growth of outbound Chinese travel demand strong in May as HK, Macau slow</li>
<li>Domestic travel demand also showed solid growth in May and early June</li>
<li>Trip.com appears reasonably cheap now that it's dipped below US$50, BUY</li>
</ul>


Growth of outbound Chinese travel demand strong in May as HK, Macau slow
Domestic travel demand also showed solid growth in May and early June
Trip.com appears reasonably cheap now that it's dipped below US$50, BUY


Monthly Chinese Tourism Tracker | Outbound Recovery Expands | Domestic Solid Too | (June 2024)

<ul>
<li>Q124 showed solid top-line growth, impressive improvement in core margins</li>
<li>We are not too concerned about moderating domestic hotel, air pricing</li>
<li>After consensus EPS raised, TCOM a BUY below US$50 per ADS, in our view</li>
</ul>


Q124 showed solid top-line growth, impressive improvement in core margins
We are not too concerned about moderating domestic hotel, air pricing
After consensus EPS raised, TCOM a BUY below US$50 per ADS, in our view


Trip.com Q124 Review: Solid Top-Line Growth | Progress on Margins | BUY Below US$50

<ul>
<li>Chinese outbound travel demand continued its gradual recovery in April </li>
<li>Moderating domestic demand? It's not new, and outbound matters more </li>
<li>On a pullback to below US$50, we would again BUY Trip.com's ADRs</li>
</ul>


Chinese outbound travel demand continued its gradual recovery in April 
Moderating domestic demand? It's not new, and outbound matters more 
On a pullback to below US$50, we would again BUY Trip.com's ADRs


Monthly Chinese Tourism Tracker | Outbound Grinds Forward | Domestic Weakness Not New | (May 2024)

<ul>
<li>Outbound continues to improve, March load factor matched pre-Covid level</li>
<li>Appears Chinese tourists are "spreading their wings", travelling farther afield</li>
<li>Trip.com has been best YTD performer in the space; can airlines catch up?</li>
</ul>


Outbound continues to improve, March load factor matched pre-Covid level
Appears Chinese tourists are "spreading their wings", travelling farther afield
Trip.com has been best YTD performer in the space; can airlines catch up?


Monthly Chinese Tourism Tracker | Outbound Recovery Continues, but Some Regional Destinations Lag

Singapore

Mandarin Oriental International Limited is an owner and operator of luxury hotels, resorts, and residences. The Group now operates, or has under development, hotels in the Americas, Europe, Middle East, and North Africa. Mandarin Oriental International also operates, or has under development, residences at Mandarin Oriental.

Mandarin Oriental International (MAND SP)

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Mandarin Oriental International (MAND SP)

Jardines Bumps JCNC Stake Post MSCI Deletion

Jardine Matheson clears 83% in JCNC, up from ~78% at the beginning of the year. I see JCNC's NAV PREMIUM at 17%, down from a recent high of 29%....

David Blennerhassett

Monthly Chinese Tourism Tracker | Outbound Recovery Expands | Domestic Solid Too | (June 2024)

May outbound Chinese travel demand was strong, apparently driven by tourists shifting flying outside the Asian region. Domestic demand growth also...

Tracking Traffic

Trip.com Q124 Review: Solid Top-Line Growth | Progress on Margins | BUY Below US$50

Trip.com's Q124 earnings results showed solid top-ine growth and strong core margin improvement. We believe the company's ADSs are attractive below...

Tracking Traffic

Monthly Chinese Tourism Tracker | Outbound Grinds Forward | Domestic Weakness Not New | (May 2024)

Outbound Chinese travel demand continued its recovery in April. Chinese travel-linked shares have pulled back over concerns about hotel and air...

Tracking Traffic

Monthly Chinese Tourism Tracker | Outbound Recovery Continues, but Some Regional Destinations Lag

The recovery in Chinese outbound tourism demand continued in March, but certain data suggest the pace of growth for some regional destinations is...

Tracking Traffic

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