APAC IPOs & Placements

Zhen Zhou, Toh

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<div><p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jd-logistics" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31500:1" rel="noopener">JD Logistics (JDL HK)</a> is looking to raise US$4bn in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO. </p></div><div><p>JD Logistics (JDL) was the leading supply chain solutions and logistics services provider in China in terms of revenue in 2018 and 2019. The company offers a full spectrum of supply chain solutions and logistics services ranging from warehousing to distribution, spanning across manufacturing to end-customers, covering regular and specialized items. </p></div><div><p>In this note, we briefly look at the JDL’s PHIP filing which includes FY2020 numbers and fine-tune our valuation model.</p></div><div><p>We had previously covered the IPO in:</p></div><div><ul style="list-style-type: disc;">
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/jd-logistics-pre-ipo-peer-comparison-shielded-from-price-war" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:50575" rel="noopener">JD Logistics (京东物流) Pre-IPO - Peer Comparison - Shielded from Price War</a> </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/jd-logistics-pre-ipo-tethered-to-jd-group-and-looking-beyond" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:48396" rel="noopener">JD Logistics (京东物流) Pre-IPO - Tethered to JD Group and Looking Beyond</a> </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/jd-logistics-pre-ipo-thoughts-on-valuation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:50953" rel="noopener">JD Logistics (京东物流) Pre-IPO - Thoughts on Valuation</a> </li>
</ul></div>

JD Logistics (JDL HK) is looking to raise US$4bn in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO. JD Logistics (JDL) was the leading supply chain solutions and logistics services provider in China in terms of revenue in 2018 and 2019. The company offers a full spectrum of supply chain solutions and logistics services ranging from warehousing to distribution, spanning across manufacturing to end-customers, covering regular and specialized items. In this note, we briefly look at the JDL’s PHIP filing which includes FY2020 numbers and fine-tune our valuation model.We had previously covered the IPO in:

JD Logistics (京东物流) Pre-IPO - Peer Comparison - Shielded from Price War 

JD Logistics (京东物流) Pre-IPO - Tethered to JD Group and Looking Beyond 

JD Logistics (京东物流) Pre-IPO - Thoughts on Valuation 


JD Logistics (京东物流) Pre-IPO - PHIP Updates and Fine-Tuning Valuation

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

<p>Last week, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jd-logistics" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31500:1" rel="noopener">JD Logistics (JDL HK)</a> received the regulatory approval for an IPO on the Hong Kong stock exchange that could raise up to $4 billion. According to <a href="https://asia.nikkei.com/Business/Markets/IPO/JD.com-logistics-unit-on-track-to-deliver-4bn-Hong-Kong-IPO" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Nikkei Asia</a>, JD Logistics is seeking a valuation of about $40 billion. This valuation level is the same as the level the company was seeking in<a href="https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-11-24/jd-s-logistics-unit-said-to-mull-ipo-at-40-billion-valuation" target="_blank" rel="noopener"> late 2020. </a></p><p>Although the valuation level that JD Logistics is seeking through this IPO has not changed, what has changed so much in the past 10 weeks is the valuation of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/maanshan-dingtai-rare-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4128:1" rel="noopener">S.F. Holding (002352 CH)</a> in this period. SF Holding is one of the key comparable companies for JD Logistics in China. SF Holdings' share price has crashed by 45% from 18 February to 2 May 2021. </p><div class="content-highlight"><p><strong>Our base case valuation of JD Logistics is EV of 289 billion RMB and implied market cap of 314 billion RMB (US$48.6 billion). At an implied market cap of $48.6 billion, this represents a 21% higher level than the recent valuation of $40 billion that the company is seeking.</strong> Despite this solid upside, this base case valuation is 15% lower than our previous base case valuation. This is mainly due to the much lower price of its comp SF Holding and the greater competitive pressures in the local logistics and parcel delivery services in China. </p></div>

Last week, JD Logistics (JDL HK) received the regulatory approval for an IPO on the Hong Kong stock exchange that could raise up to $4 billion. According to Nikkei Asia, JD Logistics is seeking a valuation of about $40 billion. This valuation level is the same as the level the company was seeking in late 2020. Although the valuation level that JD Logistics is seeking through this IPO has not changed, what has changed so much in the past 10 weeks is the valuation of S.F. Holding (002352 CH) in this period. SF Holding is one of the key comparable companies for JD Logistics in China. SF Holdings' share price has crashed by 45% from 18 February to 2 May 2021. Our base case valuation of JD Logistics is EV of 289 billion RMB and implied market cap of 314 billion RMB (US$48.6 billion). At an implied market cap of $48.6 billion, this represents a 21% higher level than the recent valuation of $40 billion that the company is seeking. Despite this solid upside, this base case valuation is 15% lower than our previous base case valuation. This is mainly due to the much lower price of its comp SF Holding and the greater competitive pressures in the local logistics and parcel delivery services in China. 

JD Logistics IPO - Looking to Raise $4 Billion but Valuation Pulled Down by SF Holding

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jd-logistics" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31500:1" rel="noopener">JD Logistics (JDL HK)</a> is the largest player in China’s integrated supply chain logistics services market, with a 2.7% revenue market share in 2020, according to CIC. JD Logistics was founded with the formation of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jd-com-inc-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:446:1" rel="noopener">JD.com Inc (ADR) (JD US)</a>’s in-house logistics department in 2007. JD Group is the controlling shareholder with a 79.12% stake. JD Logistics has won approval for an HKEx IPO to raise $3-4 billion, according to press reports. </p><p>In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/jd-logistics-ipo-initiation-the-flow-of-things" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:48279" rel="noopener">JD Logistics IPO Initiation: The Flow of Things</a>, we stated that JD Logistics is an indirect play on the shift of some customer behaviour permanently to online shopping, particularly in fast-moving consumer goods. We concluded that JD Logistics fundamentals are attractive and it remains well-placed to address consumers demand for faster and more flexible supply chain logistics services. </p><p>In this note, we look at the PHIP which discloses the 2020 results and recent developments. The results underscore the positives which are strong growth, rising margin and cash generation. However, the outlook is mixed as JD Logistics cautions that it will pursue market share gains at the cost of profitability over the medium term. </p><div class="content-highlight"><p>The Chinese logistics market is highly price-competitive, and scale is crucial to sustained profitable growth. In a consolidating market, the eventual winners will be companies that can invest in infrastructure and capacity to gain market share and economies of scale benefits. We think that JD Logistics has the right ingredients to ride out the industry’s current price-competitive dynamics and deliver good shareholder returns over the medium term. </p></div>

JD Logistics (JDL HK) is the largest player in China’s integrated supply chain logistics services market, with a 2.7% revenue market share in 2020, according to CIC. JD Logistics was founded with the formation of JD.com Inc (ADR) (JD US)’s in-house logistics department in 2007. JD Group is the controlling shareholder with a 79.12% stake. JD Logistics has won approval for an HKEx IPO to raise $3-4 billion, according to press reports. In JD Logistics IPO Initiation: The Flow of Things, we stated that JD Logistics is an indirect play on the shift of some customer behaviour permanently to online shopping, particularly in fast-moving consumer goods. We concluded that JD Logistics fundamentals are attractive and it remains well-placed to address consumers demand for faster and more flexible supply chain logistics services. In this note, we look at the PHIP which discloses the 2020 results and recent developments. The results underscore the positives which are strong growth, rising margin and cash generation. However, the outlook is mixed as JD Logistics cautions that it will pursue market share gains at the cost of profitability over the medium term. The Chinese logistics market is highly price-competitive, and scale is crucial to sustained profitable growth. In a consolidating market, the eventual winners will be companies that can invest in infrastructure and capacity to gain market share and economies of scale benefits. We think that JD Logistics has the right ingredients to ride out the industry’s current price-competitive dynamics and deliver good shareholder returns over the medium term. 

JD Logistics IPO: Prioritizing Market Share Gains over Margins

<div><p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jd-logistics" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31500:1" rel="noopener">JD Logistics (JDL HK)</a> is looking to raise US$4bn in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO. </p></div><div>
<p>JD Logistics (JDL) was the leading supply chain solutions and logistics services provider in China in terms of revenue in 2018 and 2019. The company offers a full spectrum of supply chain solutions and logistics services ranging from warehousing to distribution, spanning across manufacturing to end-customers, covering regular and specialized items. </p>
<p>In this note, we will share our forecast and assumptions as well as thoughts on where JDL should trade.</p>
<p>We had previously covered the IPO in:</p>
<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/jd-logistics-pre-ipo-peer-comparison-shielded-from-price-war" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:50575" rel="noopener">JD Logistics (京东物流) Pre-IPO - Peer Comparison - Shielded from Price War</a> </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/jd-logistics-pre-ipo-tethered-to-jd-group-and-looking-beyond" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:48396" rel="noopener">JD Logistics (京东物流) Pre-IPO - Tethered to JD Group and Looking Beyond</a> </li>
</ul>
</div>

JD Logistics (JDL HK) is looking to raise US$4bn in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO. 
JD Logistics (JDL) was the leading supply chain solutions and logistics services provider in China in terms of revenue in 2018 and 2019. The company offers a full spectrum of supply chain solutions and logistics services ranging from warehousing to distribution, spanning across manufacturing to end-customers, covering regular and specialized items. 
In this note, we will share our forecast and assumptions as well as thoughts on where JDL should trade.
We had previously covered the IPO in:


JD Logistics (京东物流) Pre-IPO - Peer Comparison - Shielded from Price War 

JD Logistics (京东物流) Pre-IPO - Tethered to JD Group and Looking Beyond 



JD Logistics (京东物流) Pre-IPO - Thoughts on Valuation

<p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sf-real-estate-investment-trust" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31496:1" rel="noopener">SF Real Estate Investment Trust (SF HK)</a> is a REIT formed with an initial focus on income-generating logistics properties in Hong Kong and China. The sponsor is <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/maanshan-dingtai-rare-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4128:1" rel="noopener">S.F. Holding (002352 CH)</a>. SF REIT will be the first logistics-focused REIT to be listed in Hong Kong. It will start pre-marketing an HKEx IPO to raise $300 million, according to press reports. </p><div class="content-highlight"><p>SF REIT’s portfolio comprises three properties which are modern logistics properties in Hong Kong and China. The properties are Hong Kong Property, Foshan Property and Wuhu Property. SF REIT’s largest property by value is the Hong Kong Property, which accounts for 87% of the portfolio value. Overall, we believe that SF REIT offers an attractive proposition for investors willing to invest in a niche segment of the Asian REIT sector.</p></div>

SF Real Estate Investment Trust (SF HK) is a REIT formed with an initial focus on income-generating logistics properties in Hong Kong and China. The sponsor is S.F. Holding (002352 CH). SF REIT will be the first logistics-focused REIT to be listed in Hong Kong. It will start pre-marketing an HKEx IPO to raise $300 million, according to press reports. SF REIT’s portfolio comprises three properties which are modern logistics properties in Hong Kong and China. The properties are Hong Kong Property, Foshan Property and Wuhu Property. SF REIT’s largest property by value is the Hong Kong Property, which accounts for 87% of the portfolio value. Overall, we believe that SF REIT offers an attractive proposition for investors willing to invest in a niche segment of the Asian REIT sector.

SF REIT IPO Initiation: The REIT Flow of Things

China

S.F. Holding Co., Ltd operates as a holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, provides logistics, order tracking, supply chain management, and warehousing services. S.F. Holding operates worldwide.

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S.F. Holding (002352 CH)

JD Logistics (京东物流) Pre-IPO - PHIP Updates and Fine-Tuning Valuation

JD Logistics is looking to raise US$4bn in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO. JD Logistics (JDL) was the leading supply chain solutions and logistics...

Zhen Zhou, Toh

JD Logistics IPO - Looking to Raise $4 Billion but Valuation Pulled Down by SF Holding

Our base case valuation of JD Logistics is implied market cap of $48.6 billion which represents a 21% higher level than the recent valuation of $40...

Douglas Kim

JD Logistics (京东物流) Pre-IPO - Thoughts on Valuation

JD Logistics (JDL HK) is looking to raise US$4bn in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO. JD Logistics (JDL) was the leading supply chain solutions and...

Zhen Zhou, Toh

SF REIT IPO Initiation: The REIT Flow of Things

SF REIT will start pre-marketing an HKEx IPO to raise $300 m. SF REIT offers an attractive proposition for investors willing to invest in a niche...

Arun George

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JD Logistics (京东物流) Pre-IPO - PHIP Updates and Fine-Tuning Valuation

JD Logistics is looking to raise US$4bn in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO. JD Logistics (JDL) was the leading supply chain solutions and logistics...

Zhen Zhou, Toh

JD Logistics IPO - Looking to Raise $4 Billion but Valuation Pulled Down by SF Holding

Our base case valuation of JD Logistics is implied market cap of $48.6 billion which represents a 21% higher level than the recent valuation of $40...

Douglas Kim

JD Logistics IPO: Prioritizing Market Share Gains over Margins

JD Logistics has won approval for an HKEx IPO to raise $3-4 bn. JD Logistics has the right ingredients to ride out the industry’s price-competitive...

Arun George

JD Logistics (京东物流) Pre-IPO - Thoughts on Valuation

JD Logistics (JDL HK) is looking to raise US$4bn in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO. JD Logistics (JDL) was the leading supply chain solutions and...

Zhen Zhou, Toh

SF REIT IPO Initiation: The REIT Flow of Things

SF REIT will start pre-marketing an HKEx IPO to raise $300 m. SF REIT offers an attractive proposition for investors willing to invest in a niche...

Arun George