Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>China recently escalated restrictions on the export of rare earths. Not just to the US as the two global players go toe-to-toe on tariffs; but to all countries.</li>
<li>China’s latest round of restrictions target critical materials used in defense, electronics, and EVs.</li>
<li>Apart from China, the world's largest refining - not just the largest miner - who else refines rare earth elements, specifically heavy rare earths?</li>
</ul>


China recently escalated restrictions on the export of rare earths. Not just to the US as the two global players go toe-to-toe on tariffs; but to all countries.
China’s latest round of restrictions target critical materials used in defense, electronics, and EVs.
Apart from China, the world's largest refining - not just the largest miner - who else refines rare earth elements, specifically heavy rare earths?


Know Your Rare Earth Elements As China Restricts Exports

Breaking Down the Mining News of the Day, Money of Mine

Money of Mine

Breaking Down the Mining News of the Day

An ex-underground miner, an ex-investment banker, and an ex-equity research guy breaking down the mining news of the day. It's a bit of entertainment, information, and occasionally some alpha.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Lynas, a six and a half billion dollar mining company, faced challenges in their half yearly results with higher unit costs and a significant decrease in cash position.</li><li>The company's cash reserves have diminished by over $200 million, raising concerns about the sustainability of their operations in the current rare earths price environment.</li><li>Expansion projects in Mount Weld and Kalgoorlie are ongoing, with potential impacts on future financial performance and the need for additional financing options.</li></ul><p><em>This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.</em></p>

Lynas, a six and a half billion dollar mining company, faced challenges in their half yearly results with higher unit costs and a significant decrease in cash position.The company's cash reserves have diminished by over $200 million, raising concerns about the sustainability of their operations in the current rare earths price environment.Expansion projects in Mount Weld and Kalgoorlie are ongoing, with potential impacts on future financial performance and the need for additional financing options.This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Will depressed prices force a Lynas raising?

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>With 4 days left to review cutoff, there is 1 close add and 3 potential deletions for the MV Australia Equal Weight Index at the December rebalance.</li>
<li>Even if there are no constituent changes, capping changes will lead to one-way turnover of 4.6% and a round-trip trade of A$243m.</li>
<li>The final list of inclusions/exclusions will depend on price movements till Friday and whether the index provider makes any significant changes to the free float of stocks in the universe.</li>
</ul>


With 4 days left to review cutoff, there is 1 close add and 3 potential deletions for the MV Australia Equal Weight Index at the December rebalance.
Even if there are no constituent changes, capping changes will lead to one-way turnover of 4.6% and a round-trip trade of A$243m.
The final list of inclusions/exclusions will depend on price movements till Friday and whether the index provider makes any significant changes to the free float of stocks in the universe.


MV Australia Equal Weight Index Rebalance Preview: 1 Close Add & 3 Deletions

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/core-lithium-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14712:1" rel="noopener">Core Lithium Ltd (CXO AU)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/piedmont-lithium-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:37086:1" rel="noopener">Piedmont Lithium (PLL US)</a> will be deleted from the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vaneck-rare-earth-strategic-me" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32320:1" rel="noopener">VanEck Rare Earth/Strategic Me (REMX US)</a> at the close on 21 June.</li>
<li>Constituent changes, float changes and capping changes result in an estimated one-way turnover of 6.4% and in a one-way trade of US$28m.</li>
<li>The largest inflows will be in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sociedad-quimica-y-minera-de-chile-sa" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27977:1" rel="noopener">Sociedad Quimica y Minera de Chile (SQM US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pilbara-minerals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7460:1" rel="noopener">Pilbara Minerals (PLS AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/arcadium-lithium-plc-2f9bfa3a-65a7-41f9-a157-e59603846420" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40439:1" rel="noopener">Arcadium Lithium (ALTM US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lithium-americas-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23860:1" rel="noopener">Lithium Americas (LAC US)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sigma-lithium-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36776:1" rel="noopener">Sigma Lithium (SGML)</a>.</li>
</ul>



Core Lithium Ltd (CXO AU) and Piedmont Lithium (PLL US) will be deleted from the VanEck Rare Earth/Strategic Me (REMX US) at the close on 21 June.
Constituent changes, float changes and capping changes result in an estimated one-way turnover of 6.4% and in a one-way trade of US$28m.
The largest inflows will be in Sociedad Quimica y Minera de Chile (SQM US), Pilbara Minerals (PLS AU), Arcadium Lithium (ALTM US), Lithium Americas (LAC US) and Sigma Lithium (SGML).


MV Global Rare Earth/​​​​​Strategic Metals Index Rebalance: Two Deletions & Other Changes

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Apr 25th (reported today) which has an aggregated short interest worth USD24.8bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in National Australia Bank, Wesfarmers.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Apr 25th (reported today) which has an aggregated short interest worth USD24.8bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in National Australia Bank, Wesfarmers.


ASX Short Interest Weekly (Apr 25th): National Australia Bank, Wesfarmers

Australia

Lynas Corporation Limited explores and mines for rare earth minerals such as cerium and neodymium.

Price Gauge
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Lynas Corp Ltd (LYC AU)

Know Your Rare Earth Elements As China Restricts Exports

As the world largest non-PRC rare-earth refiner, don't bet against Lynas as a strategic long-term supplier of critical materials in modern energy,...

David Blennerhassett

Will depressed prices force a Lynas raising?

Linus faces challenges with low rare earth prices, cash flow concerns, and the need for additional financing to support its operations and...

Money of Mine

MV Australia Equal Weight Index Rebalance Preview: 1 Close Add & 3 Deletions

There could be 1 add and 3 deletes in Dec. Even if there are no constituent changes, capping changes will lead to one-way turnover of 4.6% and a...

Brian Freitas

MV Global Rare Earth/Strategic Metals Index Rebalance: Two Deletions & Other Changes

Core Lithium and Piedmont Lithium will be deleted from the index in June. Estimated 1-way turnover is 6.4% resulting in a 1-way trade of US$28m....

Brian Freitas

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Apr 25th): National Australia Bank, Wesfarmers

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in National Australia Bank, Wesfarmers.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Know Your Rare Earth Elements As China Restricts Exports

As the world largest non-PRC rare-earth refiner, don't bet against Lynas as a strategic long-term supplier of critical materials in modern energy,...

David Blennerhassett

Will depressed prices force a Lynas raising?

Linus faces challenges with low rare earth prices, cash flow concerns, and the need for additional financing to support its operations and...

Money of Mine

MV Australia Equal Weight Index Rebalance Preview: 1 Close Add & 3 Deletions

There could be 1 add and 3 deletes in Dec. Even if there are no constituent changes, capping changes will lead to one-way turnover of 4.6% and a...

Brian Freitas

MV Global Rare Earth/​​​​​Strategic Metals Index Rebalance: Two Deletions & Other Changes

Core Lithium and Piedmont Lithium will be deleted from the index in June. Estimated 1-way turnover is 6.4% resulting in a 1-way trade of US$28m....

Brian Freitas

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Apr 25th): National Australia Bank, Wesfarmers

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in National Australia Bank, Wesfarmers.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

MV Global Rare Earth/Strategic Metals Index Rebalance: Two Deletions & Other Changes