Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>This is the somewhat-brand-spanking-new Quiddity Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Monitor. We work off the same presentation as the A/H Premium Monitor and HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Monitor.</li>
<li>The same five names continue at the top of the gross flows list - Kweichow Moutai, Contemporary Amperex, Zhongji Innolight, Foxconn, and this week Longi Green Energy. Nets are smaller.</li>
<li>Last week, NORTHBOUND was again net sellers, showing three weeks ago (the only weekly net buy in months) may have been a fluke.</li>
</ul>


This is the somewhat-brand-spanking-new Quiddity Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Monitor. We work off the same presentation as the A/H Premium Monitor and HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Monitor.
The same five names continue at the top of the gross flows list - Kweichow Moutai, Contemporary Amperex, Zhongji Innolight, Foxconn, and this week Longi Green Energy. Nets are smaller.
Last week, NORTHBOUND was again net sellers, showing three weeks ago (the only weekly net buy in months) may have been a fluke.


Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Flows (To 17 Nov 23): Net Sales Again, Dominated by Financials

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of November 17th.</li>
<li>We estimate the weekly outflows to be US$652.6 million, led by financials, industrials, and offset by information technology, utilities.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Luxshare Precision, Mindray, Ping An Insurance.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of November 17th.
We estimate the weekly outflows to be US$652.6 million, led by financials, industrials, and offset by information technology, utilities.
We highlight flows for Luxshare Precision, Mindray, Ping An Insurance.


Northbound Flows (Nov 17th): Luxshare Precision, Mindray, Ping An Insurance

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of November 10th.</li>
<li>We estimate the weekly outflows to be US$1,078.3 million, led by information technology, industrials, and offset by consumer staples, communication services, real estate.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for BYD, Ping An Insurance, Eoptolink Technology, Zhongji Innolight.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of November 10th.
We estimate the weekly outflows to be US$1,078.3 million, led by information technology, industrials, and offset by consumer staples, communication services, real estate.
We highlight flows for BYD, Ping An Insurance, Eoptolink Technology, Zhongji Innolight.


Northbound Flows (Nov 10th): BYD, Ping An Insurance, Eoptolink Technology, Zhongji Innolight

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Both SMIC and Hua Hong Semi posted in-line 3Q23 results but GPM pressure continued on lower UTR and ASP.</li><li>Looking ahead, both companies expected stabilizing demand on smartphone/CE recovery, and highlighted concerns on high inventory in automotive market.</li><li>On mature nodes, both expected stable demand into 2024 but lack growth momentum, and SMIC guided 8-inch UTR to remain at 50-70% in 2024. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Both SMIC and Hua Hong Semi posted in-line 3Q23 results but GPM pressure continued on lower UTR and ASP.Looking ahead, both companies expected stabilizing demand on smartphone/CE recovery, and highlighted concerns on high inventory in automotive market.On mature nodes, both expected stable demand into 2024 but lack growth momentum, and SMIC guided 8-inch UTR to remain at 50-70% in 2024. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Technology – SMIC/Hua Hong Semi 3Q23: in-line revenue; ASP/GPM pressure to persist into 4Q23E

<ul><li>Apple reported FY4Q23 (CY3Q23) with revenue of US$89.5bn (-0.7% YoY) and EPS of US$1.46 (+13% YoY), which are in line and 5% above consensus, mainly due to a favourable product mix and better leverage, partially offset by negative FX. Looking into FY1Q24E, mgmt. expected flattish revenue YoY due to the quarter being one-week shorter and iPhone 15 supply snags, while iPhone/Mac will increase YoY and iPad/Wearables will decline significantly QoQ due to timing of product launches.</li><li>Given better-than-feared China iPhone sales in CY3Q23, we remain positive on iPhone’s gradual share gains and better mix shift towards higher-end models, and we are cautious on near-term weakness for iPad/Watch/AirPods.</li><li>For stocks, we maintain BUY on Luxshare/BYDE/FIT Hon Teng for market share gains in Apple supply chain (high-end iPhone/casing/AirPods), and stay HOLD on Sunny Optical/AAC Tech mainly for fair valuation.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Apple reported FY4Q23 (CY3Q23) with revenue of US$89.5bn (-0.7% YoY) and EPS of US$1.46 (+13% YoY), which are in line and 5% above consensus, mainly due to a favourable product mix and better leverage, partially offset by negative FX. Looking into FY1Q24E, mgmt. expected flattish revenue YoY due to the quarter being one-week shorter and iPhone 15 supply snags, while iPhone/Mac will increase YoY and iPad/Wearables will decline significantly QoQ due to timing of product launches.Given better-than-feared China iPhone sales in CY3Q23, we remain positive on iPhone’s gradual share gains and better mix shift towards higher-end models, and we are cautious on near-term weakness for iPad/Watch/AirPods.For stocks, we maintain BUY on Luxshare/BYDE/FIT Hon Teng for market share gains in Apple supply chain (high-end iPhone/casing/AirPods), and stay HOLD on Sunny Optical/AAC Tech mainly for fair valuation.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Technology Sector – Apple FY4Q23 Beat on Margins

China

Luxshare Precision Industry Co., Ltd. researches, manufactures and sells connectors. The Company's products are widely used in computers, communication devices, consumer electronics products and automobiles.

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Luxshare Precision Industry (002475 CH)

Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Flows (To 17 Nov 23): Net Sales Again, Dominated by Financials

Mainland Connect (NORTHBOUND) flows were negative again. Nearly RMB 5bn and net sells across both exchanges four days out of five. Financials were...

Travis Lundy

Northbound Flows (Nov 17th): Luxshare Precision, Mindray, Ping An Insurance

We analyzed northbound Shanghai/Shenzhen connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for Luxshare Precision, Mindray, Ping An Insurance.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Northbound Flows (Nov 10th): BYD, Ping An Insurance, Eoptolink Technology, Zhongji Innolight

We analyzed northbound Shanghai/Shenzhen connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for BYD, Ping An Insurance, Eoptolink Technology Inc.,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

China Technology – SMIC/Hua Hong Semi 3Q23: in-line revenue; ASP/GPM pressure to persist into 4Q23E

On mature nodes, both expected stable demand into 2024 but lack growth momentum, and SMIC guided 8-inch UTR to remain at 50-70% in 2024.

CMB International

China Technology Sector – Apple FY4Q23 Beat on Margins

Apple reported FY4Q23 (CY3Q23) with revenue of US$89.5bn (-0.7% YoY) and EPS of US$1.46 (+13% YoY), which are in line and 5% above consensus

CMB International

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