Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we discuss the potential inclusions and exclusions that the locals are highlighting for the KOSPI 200 and KOSDAQ 150 rebalance in May 2023. </li>
<li>The top five best performing stocks YTD that are expected to be included in either KOSPI200 and KOSDAQ150 include Rainbow Robotics, Kumyang, Cosmo Chemical, Yunsung F&amp;C, and Posco M Tech.</li>
<li>In the coming weeks, there is a higher probability these five stocks underperform the market on average as many investors sell the news on them getting included in these indices. </li>
</ul>


In this insight, we discuss the potential inclusions and exclusions that the locals are highlighting for the KOSPI 200 and KOSDAQ 150 rebalance in May 2023. 
The top five best performing stocks YTD that are expected to be included in either KOSPI200 and KOSDAQ150 include Rainbow Robotics, Kumyang, Cosmo Chemical, Yunsung F&amp;C, and Posco M Tech.
In the coming weeks, there is a higher probability these five stocks underperform the market on average as many investors sell the news on them getting included in these indices. 


Potential Inclusions & Exclusions for KOSPI 200 and KOSDAQ 150 in May 2023 Highlighted by Locals

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

<ul>
<li>With 3 trading days left in the review period for the June rebalance, we see 8 potential changes and 2 close adds for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kosdaq-150-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31077:1" rel="noopener">KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX)</a>. </li>
<li>There are two potential transfers from the KOSDAQ Market to KOSPI Market that could lead to more changes in May and/or June.</li>
<li>Nearly all potential deletions are trading near their lows and short interest has been increasing on some of the stocks. That will be covered closer to implementation of the rebalance.</li>
</ul>


With 3 trading days left in the review period for the June rebalance, we see 8 potential changes and 2 close adds for the KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX). 
There are two potential transfers from the KOSDAQ Market to KOSPI Market that could lead to more changes in May and/or June.
Nearly all potential deletions are trading near their lows and short interest has been increasing on some of the stocks. That will be covered closer to implementation of the rebalance.


KOSDAQ150 Index Rebalance Preview: Adds Starting to Crack (After Huge Outperformance)

Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lutronic-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2250:1" rel="noopener">Lutronic Corp (085370 KS)</a> recorded its highest ever revenue and operating profit in 2022, driven by strong performance of overseas business, which contributed 88% of revenue and grew 62% YoY.</li>
<li>Overall, business has recovered with the reopening of the dermatology clinics and resumption of elective procedures globally. In addition to product sales, sales of consumables and services are steadily increasing.</li>
<li>Despite stellar performance in 2022, ongoing lawsuit against U.S.-based competitor remains an overhang on Lutronic’s overseas growth aspirations, especially in the U.S.</li>
</ul>



Lutronic Corp (085370 KS) recorded its highest ever revenue and operating profit in 2022, driven by strong performance of overseas business, which contributed 88% of revenue and grew 62% YoY.
Overall, business has recovered with the reopening of the dermatology clinics and resumption of elective procedures globally. In addition to product sales, sales of consumables and services are steadily increasing.
Despite stellar performance in 2022, ongoing lawsuit against U.S.-based competitor remains an overhang on Lutronic’s overseas growth aspirations, especially in the U.S.


Lutronic Corp (085370 KS): Record-High Performance in 2022; Litigation May Limit Upside Potential

<ul>
<li>Two thirds of the way through the review period for the June rebalance, we see 9 potential changes to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kosdaq-150-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31077:1" rel="noopener">KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX)</a>. </li>
<li>One-Way turnover is estimated at 3.5%. Impact on the expected deletions is a lot higher than the impact on the expected inclusions and shorts are building up on the deletes.</li>
<li>Since the start of the review period, the potential inclusions have outperformed the potential deletions by nearly 50% and the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kosdaq-150-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31077:1" rel="noopener">KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX)</a> by over 20%.</li>
</ul>


Two thirds of the way through the review period for the June rebalance, we see 9 potential changes to the KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX). 
One-Way turnover is estimated at 3.5%. Impact on the expected deletions is a lot higher than the impact on the expected inclusions and shorts are building up on the deletes.
Since the start of the review period, the potential inclusions have outperformed the potential deletions by nearly 50% and the KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX) by over 20%.


KOSDAQ150 Index Rebalance Preview: Potential Adds Outperform Deletes by 50% in 4 Months, EXIT!

<ul>
<li>End December was the end of the review cutoff for a lot of indices that will rebalance within the next couple of months.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pexa-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34716:1" rel="noopener">PEXA Group (PXA AU)</a> replaces <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pendal-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15795:1" rel="noopener">Pendal Group (PDL AU)</a> in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX)</a> at the close on 12 January.</li>
<li>There were big outflows from Hong Kong and China focused ETFs led by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-china-enterprises-index-etf" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng H Share Index ETF (2828 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tracker-fund-of-hong-kong-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29257:1" rel="noopener">Tracker Fund of Hong Kong Ltd (2800 HK)</a>.</li>
</ul>


End December was the end of the review cutoff for a lot of indices that will rebalance within the next couple of months.

PEXA Group (PXA AU) replaces Pendal Group (PDL AU) in the S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX) at the close on 12 January.
There were big outflows from Hong Kong and China focused ETFs led by Hang Seng H Share Index ETF (2828 HK) and Tracker Fund of Hong Kong Ltd (2800 HK).


Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: HSCEI, HSTECH, HSI, HSCI, KS200, KQ150, CSI300, SENSEX, LQ45, PSEi

South Korea

Dentium Co., Ltd. manufactures dental instruments and materials.  The Company's products include dental implant kits and lab tool kits.

I-Sens Inc. develops, produces and distributes medical devices.  The Company's main products include blood glucose monitoring systems, electrolyte and gas analyzers, and immunosensors.

INTEROJO CO LTD manufactures and markets contact lens.  The Company's main brands are Clalen, Morning-Q, Festival-II, Bandage, Multivision.

Value Added Technology Co., Ltd. develops, manufactures, and engages in sales of digital radiography medical equipments for dental clinics.  The Company also supplies digital sensor for X-ray equipments.

Curexo Inc. distributes medical equipment such as MRI (Magnetic Resonance Imaging) and endoscope used in operating of breast cancer.  The Company also produces goods for aromatic therapy.

InBody Co., Ltd. manufactures and markets a body composition analyzer and other related medical instruments.  The Company supplies its products to the hospitals, clinics, fitness clubs, and households.  Biospace also exports its products to overseas markets, such as America, Europe, and Asia.

Huons Co., Ltd. manufactures pharmaceutical products.  The Company produces medical drugs in the fields of nervous system, sensory organs, anti-histamines, circulatory system, respiratory system, digestive system, metabolic agents and hormones.

Access Bio Inc. develops, manufactures, and markets in-vitro diagnostic (IVD) tests.  The Company develops rapid diagnostic test (RDT) for Malaria and Pregnancy.

Vieworks Company Ltd. designs and manufactures camera systems for digital radiography, digital fluoroscopy, and angiography systems.

Infopia Co., Ltd specializes in developing equipments to prevent heart disease and cancer.  The Company produces heart disease diagnosing kits, cancer diagnosing kits, and remote treatment systems.  Infopia manufactures blood glucose monitoring systems, hemoglobin measuring systems, auto chemical analyzers, and glucose mobile phones.

Orthofix Medical Inc. develops, produces, and markets medical devices. The Company offers spine fixation, biological, and other orthopedic and spine solutions. Orthofix Medical serves the healthcare sector worldwide

Nanosonics Limited is a life science company.  The Company researches, develops, and commercializes a range of disinfection and sterilization technologies that are utilized for infection control and decontamination.

Blue Sail Medical Co., Ltd. manufactures and sells PVC gloves and other plastic products. The company also engages in the sale of  nitrile gloves, latex gloves,  paper pulp molding products, and a range of medical equipments.

iRadimed Corp provides non-magnetic intravenous infusion pump systems for use during magnetic resonance imaging procedures.

HOGY MEDICAL CO., LTD. manufactures and sells medical supply and related products including sterilized tools and disposable injectors and masks used by surgeons.

SurModics, Inc. provides surface modification solutions to the medical device industry.  The Company's primary focus is the commercialization of its PhotoLink process through third-party licensing arrangements.  SurModics's process is a light-activated coating technology that modifies medical device surfaces by creating chemical bonds between those surfaces and a variety of chemical agents.

Lifetech Scientific Corporation develops, manufactures and markets minimally invasive interventional medical devices for cardiovascular and peripheral vascular diseases and disorders.  The Company produces congenital heart defect occluders, vena cava filters, stent grafts, balloon catheters, and vascular plugs.

Edan Instruments Inc develops, produces and sells medical electronic equipments.  The Company's main products are fetal dopplers, electrocardiographs, fetal monitors and ultrasound scanners.

Easywell Biomedical Inc manufactures thermometers for the medical industry. The Company offers a wide range of thermometers, including transparent and fast read thermometers.

Truking Technology Limited develops, designs, manufactures, sells and provides services for aqueous pharmaceutical equipment. The Company offers ampoules linkage lines, vial linkage lines, oral liquid linkage lines, and infusion linkage lines, and other related products.

Lutronic Corporation is an innovator in advanced aesthetic, medical laser and related technology. The Company reinvests large portion of its revenue in R&D, developing breakthrough applications to explore future medical laser opportunities that include ophthalmology, neurosurgery, urology, and other surgical laser applications. Lutronic serves customers globally.

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Lutronic Corp (085370 KS)

Potential Inclusions & Exclusions for KOSPI 200 and KOSDAQ 150 in May 2023 Highlighted by Locals

In this insight, we discuss the potential inclusions and exclusions that the locals are highlighting for the KOSPI 200 and KOSDAQ 150 rebalance in...

Douglas Kim

KOSDAQ150 Index Rebalance Preview: Adds Starting to Crack (After Huge Outperformance)

There could be 8 changes at the regular rebalance plus a couple of ad hoc changes. The potential adds ran up a lot and have started to head lower....

Brian Freitas