External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Nirmal Bang

Nirmal Bang

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

A Relationship Beyond Broking

Nirmal Bang, one of the leading stock broking companies in India, caters to retail and institutional clients by offering them a range of financial products and services, including equities, derivatives, commodities, currency derivatives, mutual funds, IPOs, insurance, depository services and PMS.

Nirmal Bang is drawn from a diversity of professional backgrounds, and blend of experience, skill and dedication is shared with its clients. Nirmal Bang emphasizes adequate, thorough research local and world-wide developments, balancing these with the astute discovery of intrinsic values, synergies and growth. The aim is simply to help the investors to maximize their returns.

Equity Bottom-Up

<div><div><div><div><ul><li>Lupin reported revenue of Rs38,830mn, up 2.6% YoY, but down 6.7% QoQ. EBITDA stood at s2,678mn, down 62.1% YoY and 27.6% QoQ.</li></ul></div></div></div></div><div><div><div><div><ul><li>EBITDA margin stood at 6.9%, down 1181bps YoY and 199bps QoQ. Net loss stood at Rs5,180mn.</li></ul><div><div><div><div><ul><li>R&amp;D cost stood at Rs3,442mn (8.9% of total sales). The company reported a capital expenditure of Rs1,577mn in 4QFY22.</li></ul></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Lupin reported revenue of Rs38,830mn, up 2.6% YoY, but down 6.7% QoQ. EBITDA stood at s2,678mn, down 62.1% YoY and 27.6% QoQ.EBITDA margin stood at 6.9%, down 1181bps YoY and 199bps QoQ. Net loss stood at Rs5,180mn.R&amp;D cost stood at Rs3,442mn (8.9% of total sales). The company reported a capital expenditure of Rs1,577mn in 4QFY22.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Lupin - Disappointing Quarter; Focus on Driving Cost Efficiencies

Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

Dr. Reddy's Laboratories / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dr-reddy-s-laboratories-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16406:1" rel="noopener">Dr. Reddy's Laboratories (DRRD IN)</a> reported 15% y/y growth in revenue in Q4, driven by strong performance across all the markets. Adjusted for one-offs, net profit grew 54% y/y.</li>
<li>Despite pricing pressure, the U.S. business should continue its growth momentum with better traction in key products launched in FY22 and upcoming new launches, including generic version of Revlimid.</li>
<li>Inflationary pressure (raw material, freight), lower offtake of COVID-related products in India, and currency headwinds in emerging markets are some downside risks for the company.</li>
</ul>



Dr. Reddy's Laboratories (DRRD IN) reported 15% y/y growth in revenue in Q4, driven by strong performance across all the markets. Adjusted for one-offs, net profit grew 54% y/y.
Despite pricing pressure, the U.S. business should continue its growth momentum with better traction in key products launched in FY22 and upcoming new launches, including generic version of Revlimid.
Inflationary pressure (raw material, freight), lower offtake of COVID-related products in India, and currency headwinds in emerging markets are some downside risks for the company.


Dr. Reddy's Laboratories (DRRD IN) 4QFY22: Double-Digit Sales Growth; One-Off Charge Impacted Profit

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>We are past the halfway mark in the review period for the September rebalance of the NIFTY100 Index. We see five potential changes which should be announced end August.</li>
<li>There is a high probability of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tata-power-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15618:1" rel="noopener">Tata Power (TPWR IN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/indian-railway-catering-and-tourism-corporation-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33951:1" rel="noopener">Indian Railway Catering and Tourism (IRCTC IN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bharat-electronics-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6636:1" rel="noopener">Bharat Electronics (BHE IN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mphasis-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7672:1" rel="noopener">Mphasis Ltd (MPHL IN)</a> being added to the index.</li>
<li>High probability deletions are <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lupin-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17910:1" rel="noopener">Lupin Ltd (LPC IN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jubilant-foodworks-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:986:1" rel="noopener">Jubilant Foodworks (JUBI IN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zydus-lifesciences-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12914:1" rel="noopener">Zydus Lifesciences Ltd (ZYDUSLIF IN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/punjab-national-bank" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:542:1" rel="noopener">Punjab National Bank (PNB IN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/steel-authority-of-india" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14323:1" rel="noopener">Steel Authority of India (SAIL IN)</a>.</li>
</ul>


We are past the halfway mark in the review period for the September rebalance of the NIFTY100 Index. We see five potential changes which should be announced end August.
There is a high probability of Tata Power (TPWR IN), Indian Railway Catering and Tourism (IRCTC IN), Bharat Electronics (BHE IN) and Mphasis Ltd (MPHL IN) being added to the index.
High probability deletions are Lupin Ltd (LPC IN), Jubilant Foodworks (JUBI IN), Zydus Lifesciences Ltd (ZYDUSLIF IN), Punjab National Bank (PNB IN) and Steel Authority of India (SAIL IN).


NIFTY100 Index Rebalance Preview: Five Potential Changes in September

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aurobindo-pharma-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19974:1" rel="noopener">Aurobindo Pharma (ARBP IN)</a> has been issued six observations for its oral manufacturing unit by the FDA, which will further impact its business. The company closed its New Jersey facility.</li>
<li>Aurobindo’s recent acquisition of Veritaz Health for INR1.7 billion does not really fit for the company's high hope for the domestic formulation business. </li>
<li>Aurobindo shares are trading at a forward P/E of 10.9x, which is cheaper than the peers. However, the company is not expected to see multiple expansion in near future.  </li>
</ul>



Aurobindo Pharma (ARBP IN) has been issued six observations for its oral manufacturing unit by the FDA, which will further impact its business. The company closed its New Jersey facility.
Aurobindo’s recent acquisition of Veritaz Health for INR1.7 billion does not really fit for the company's high hope for the domestic formulation business. 
Aurobindo shares are trading at a forward P/E of 10.9x, which is cheaper than the peers. However, the company is not expected to see multiple expansion in near future.  


Aurobindo Pharma (ARBP IN): Regulatory Issues Continue to Haunt the Company

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dr-reddy-s-laboratories-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16406:1" rel="noopener">Dr. Reddy's Laboratories (DRRD IN)</a> is outperforming the domestic pharma industry and aims to expand its market share. Currently, India business contributes 19% of revenue. </li>
<li>The company’s largest revenue segment, the U.S. generic business continues to see pricing pressure. It plans to launch new products, including complex generics to combat the impact of price erosion.</li>
<li>Dr. Reddy also has around 13% revenue exposure to Russia and other CIS countries. Sharp depreciation of Russian currency will negatively impact revenue from the region.</li>
</ul>



Dr. Reddy's Laboratories (DRRD IN) is outperforming the domestic pharma industry and aims to expand its market share. Currently, India business contributes 19% of revenue. 
The company’s largest revenue segment, the U.S. generic business continues to see pricing pressure. It plans to launch new products, including complex generics to combat the impact of price erosion.
Dr. Reddy also has around 13% revenue exposure to Russia and other CIS countries. Sharp depreciation of Russian currency will negatively impact revenue from the region.


Dr. Reddy's Laboratories (DRRD IN): India Business Is the Only Bright Spot Amid Many Headwinds

India

Lupin Limited manufactures bulk actives and formulations. The principal bulk actives manufactured by it include Rifampicin, Pyrazinamide, Ethambutol (anti-TB), Cephalosporins (anti-infectives) and cardiovasculars. The company also possesses competencies in phytomedicines, in which medicines are made out of plant and herbal resources supported by the discipline of modern medicine.

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Lupin Ltd (LPC IN)

Lupin - Disappointing Quarter; Focus on Driving Cost Efficiencies

We maintain our Buy rating on Lupin, but lower our estimates to account for lower US sales and cost pressures. EBITDA margin came in at 7% for the...

Nirmal Bang

Dr. Reddy's Laboratories (DRRD IN) 4QFY22: Double-Digit Sales Growth; One-Off Charge Impacted Profit

Dr. Reddy’s reported strong double-digit revenue growth in Q4, while one-off charges weighed on bottom-line. New product launches in the U.S....

Tina Banerjee

NIFTY100 Index Rebalance Preview: Five Potential Changes in September

We see five potential changes to the NIFTY100 Index at the September rebalance. Most are high probability changes and there will be over 1.5 days...

Brian Freitas

Aurobindo Pharma (ARBP IN): Regulatory Issues Continue to Haunt the Company

Aurobindo's U.S. business is under continued pressure and fresh regulatory issue regarding its oral manufacturing facility further delays the...

Tina Banerjee

Dr. Reddy's Laboratories (DRRD IN): India Business Is the Only Bright Spot Amid Many Headwinds

Despite price erosion headwinds in North America generics and revenue exposure to Russia, Dr. Reddy’s Laboratories look attractive due to its...

Tina Banerjee

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