External reports (aggregated public sources), Value Investors Club

Value Investors Club

External reports (aggregated public sources)

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Strong candidate for shorting in the short-run, potential to miss revenue consensus by 4-5ppt in Q1 2024</li><li>Recommendation to short LULU US when share price is above USD410, price target of USD300 before next earnings date in May 2024</li><li>Lululemon is a leading brand in women's indoor training and yoga, overvalued and likely to see a decline in share price</li></ul><p><em>This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.</em></p>

Strong candidate for shorting in the short-run, potential to miss revenue consensus by 4-5ppt in Q1 2024Recommendation to short LULU US when share price is above USD410, price target of USD300 before next earnings date in May 2024Lululemon is a leading brand in women's indoor training and yoga, overvalued and likely to see a decline in share priceThis content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.

Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

<ul><li>Lululemon Athletica Inc. recently shared its performance for the first quarter of 2024, showcasing a mixed set of results that present both opportunities and challenges for potential investors.</li><li>Starting with the highlights, Lululemon achieved a 10% increase in total revenue, hitting 11% growth in constant currency terms.</li><li>This growth was bolstered by a significant rise in international markets, particularly in China Mainland and the rest of the world, which saw increases of 52% and 30% respectively in constant currency.</li></ul>

Lululemon Athletica Inc. recently shared its performance for the first quarter of 2024, showcasing a mixed set of results that present both opportunities and challenges for potential investors.Starting with the highlights, Lululemon achieved a 10% increase in total revenue, hitting 11% growth in constant currency terms.This growth was bolstered by a significant rise in international markets, particularly in China Mainland and the rest of the world, which saw increases of 52% and 30% respectively in constant currency.

Lululemon Athletica Inc.: Enhanced Technology Infrastructure & Data Analytics Aiding Their Growth! - Major Drivers

Mostly Borrowed Ideas Deep Dives, MBI Deep Dives

MBI Deep Dives

Mostly Borrowed Ideas Deep Dives

MBI is the abbreviation for “Mostly Borrowed Ideas”. Why “Mostly Borrowed Ideas?” As a generalist, I do not have a background in any particular sector. I enjoy navigating across industries, businesses, and countries to learn, understand, and connect the dots. In any case, most ideas and innovations are incremental in nature. Very few of us are smart enough to come up with truly original or groundbreaking ideas. I am Abdullah Al-Rezwan. I was born and brought up in Bangladesh. I went to University of Dhaka for my undergrad and majored in Finance. After working three and half years in Equity Research (Sell-side) covering Financial Sector in Bangladesh, I left Bangladesh to pursue my MBA in the US. I graduated within top 10% of the class from Cornell University's two-year MBA program and worked on the buy-side following my graduation. During my time at Cornell, I won two stock pitch competitions and also became finalists in four other competitions. I thoroughly enjoyed my stint as a generalist in the US large cap team at Madison Investments and covered a wide range of companies from UnitedHealth to Amazon and Boeing before US immigration reality paused my career in investment management. As my work authorization expired, I moved to Canada in January, 2021. Then in early 2022, I was able to return to the US.

<ul><li>Lululemon was facing some really thorny questions from Mr. Market ever since 4Q’23 earnings. Today’s earnings should help calm some nerves.</li><li>Here are my highlights from tonight’s call. Sales Growth by Region At first glance, one may find confirmation to plenty of concerns for LULU. US sales, which was ~61% of overall sales this quarter, grew by only 2%.</li><li>Growth momentum in international markets, especially in China helped mask the weakness in the US.</li></ul>

Lululemon was facing some really thorny questions from Mr. Market ever since 4Q’23 earnings. Today’s earnings should help calm some nerves.Here are my highlights from tonight’s call. Sales Growth by Region At first glance, one may find confirmation to plenty of concerns for LULU. US sales, which was ~61% of overall sales this quarter, grew by only 2%.Growth momentum in international markets, especially in China helped mask the weakness in the US.

Independent Research, US Dominant Players, Investment Talk

Investment Talk

Independent Research, US Dominant Players

Investment Talk is for readers who wish to learn about companies that are potentially outside of their own circle of research, as well as those who are longing to become part of a community of like-minded investors and learn more about investment research. I would describe myself as a long-term investor who typically takes a 3Y to 5Y outlook, before reassessing once that period matures. I follow the adage that one should research, reach a conclusion, and then verify and continue to hold so long as the thesis remains intact. My own investing style is one that seeks to find dominant players within their respective market who have shown signs of monopoly or oligopolistic behaviour, unlikely to be disrupted, in tandem with discovering market disruptors who have a high likelihood of disrupting their respective market. Equally (and weighted accordingly) I seek to discover more nuanced, misunderstood, situations with a shorter time frame.

<ul><li>On March 21st, Lululemon reported FY23 results. All things considered, the results were good. Guidance, however, caused some upset. Lululemon shares are down ~29% this year; after being down just 6% before the report, and is currently the 8th worst-performing stock in the S&amp;P 500.</li><li>Lululemon’s implied 11.5% revenue growth for 2024 is a notable deceleration from years prior; having averaged an annual revenue growth rate of 24.4% over the last 5 years.</li><li>This year’s revenue guidance is closer to, but still behind, the 5 years before that; where Lululemon averaged 15.7% annual revenue growth.</li></ul>

On March 21st, Lululemon reported FY23 results. All things considered, the results were good. Guidance, however, caused some upset. Lululemon shares are down ~29% this year; after being down just 6% before the report, and is currently the 8th worst-performing stock in the S&amp;P 500.Lululemon’s implied 11.5% revenue growth for 2024 is a notable deceleration from years prior; having averaged an annual revenue growth rate of 24.4% over the last 5 years.This year’s revenue guidance is closer to, but still behind, the 5 years before that; where Lululemon averaged 15.7% annual revenue growth.

<ul><li>The Q4 2023 earnings of Lululemon Athletica Inc. highlighted positive operational results with revenue increases across most regions.</li><li>Total revenue was reported to have increased by 16% for the quarter.</li><li>In the Americas, the increase was 9%, while Mainland China saw a rather prominent rise of 78%.</li></ul>

The Q4 2023 earnings of Lululemon Athletica Inc. highlighted positive operational results with revenue increases across most regions.Total revenue was reported to have increased by 16% for the quarter.In the Americas, the increase was 9%, while Mainland China saw a rather prominent rise of 78%.

Lululemon Athletica Inc.: A Tale Of Store Expansion & International Growth! - Major Drivers

United States

Skechers U.S.A., Inc. designs and markets branded contemporary casual, active, rugged, and lifestyle footwear for men, women, and children.  The Company sells its products to department stores and specialty retailers.  Skechers also sells its products internationally through distributors and directly to consumers through its own retail stores.

Deckers Outdoor Corporation designs and markets footwear and accessories.  The Company offers footwear for men, women and children. Deckers sells its products including accessories such as handbags, headwear, and outerwear, through domestic retailers and international distributors and directly to end-user consumers, through call centers, retail concept stores and retail outlet stores.

Ralph Lauren Corporation designs, markets, and distributes men's, women's and children's apparel, accessories, fragrances, and home furnishings. The Company's products are sold under a wide range of brands. Ralph Lauren's operations include wholesale, retail, and licensing.

Tapestry, Inc. designs and markets clothes and accessories. The Company offers handbags, leather goods, footwear, fragrance, jewelry, outer wear, ready-to-wear, scarves, sunwear, travel accessories, and watches. Tapestry serves customers in the United States.

Capri Holdings Limited retails apparel. The Company offers fashion luxury women's and men's accessories, footwear, apparel, watches, jewelry, eyewear, and fragrance products, as well as provides delivery services. Capri Holdings serves customers worldwide.

Crocs, Inc. designs and manufactures shoes.  The Company produces soft, lightweight, non-marking, slip- and odor-resistant shoes made of closed-cell resin material.  Crocs manufactures men's, women's, and children's shoes and markets them to retail chains.

VF Corporation is an international apparel company. The Company owns a broad portfolio of brands in the jeanswear, outerwear, packs, footwear, sportswear and occupational apparel categories. VF Corp's products are marketed to consumers shopping in specialty stores, upscale and traditional department stores, national chains and mass merchants.

Columbia Sportswear Company designs, manufactures, markets, and distributes active outdoor apparel.  The Company's products include outerwear, sportswear, rugged footwear, and related accessories.  Columbia's products are sold to specialty and department store retailers in the United States and other countries.

PVH Corp. designs, sources, manufactures, and markets men's, women's, and children's apparel and footwear.  The Company markets its products at a wholesale level through department store chains and directly to consumers through retail stores. PVH Corp offers attire that includes dress shirts, sportswear, neckwear, and footwear.

Levi Strauss & Co. manufactures and distributes apparels. The Company offers jeans, casual pants, tops, jackets, shirts, and other related products. Levi Strauss serves customers worldwide.

Prada S.p.A. is an Italian fashion company that designs, manufactures, promotes and sells high-end leather goods, ready-to-wear and footwear through various brands.

ANTA Sports Products Limited designs, develops, manufactures, and markets sportswear, including sports footwear and apparel for professionals and the general public.

Shenzhou International Group Holdings Ltd manufactures and processes textiles.  The Company produces, dyes, finishes, prints, embroiders, cuts, and sews knitwear.

Titan Co. Ltd. manufactures and retails jewelry and watches. The Company also produces perfume for men and women.

ASICS CORPORATION manufactures general sporting goods and equipment.  The Company's products, such as athletic shoes and sportswear, are distributed in the United States, Europe, Australia, and Asia.

Moncler S.p.A. is a brand with a winter heritage. Known for its outerwear, Moncler today designs and produces clothing and accessories for women, men and children, directly distributed through Moncler boutiques, its online store, department stores and multibrand stores.

Kering SA designs, manufactures and markets luxury and sport & lifestyle goods. The Company's brands include Gucci, Bottega Veneta, Alexander McQueen, Puma and Volcom. Kering operates globally and is headquartered in Paris, France.

adidas AG manufactures sports shoes and sports equipment. The Company produces products that include footwear, sports apparel, and golf clubs and balls. adidas sells its products worldwide.

Pandora A/S designs, manufactures, markets, and distributes hand finished and modern jewellery made from primarily sterling  silver, gold, precious and semiprecious stones and Murano glass. The Company offers rings, bracelets, necklaces and earings.

The Swatch Group AG manufactures watches, watch components, jewelry, miniature batteries, liquid crystal displays, and scoreboards. The Company produces watches under various branded names, as well as operates retail boutiques. Swatch Group serves customers worldwide.

lululemon athletica Inc. designs and retails athletic clothing.  The Company produces fitness pants, shorts, tops and jackets for yoga, dance, running, and general fitness. lululemon serves customers throughout the world.

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Lululemon Athletica (LULU US)

Lululemon (LULU) - Thursday, Apr 4, 2024

Recommendation to short LULU US when share price is above USD410, price target of USD300 before next earnings date in May 2024

Value Investors Club

Lululemon Athletica Inc.: Enhanced Technology Infrastructure & Data Analytics Aiding Their Growth! - Major Drivers

Lululemon Athletica Inc. recently shared its performance for the first quarter of 2024, showcasing a mixed set of results that present both...

Baptista Research

Lululemon 1Q'24 Update

Lululemon was facing some really thorny questions from Mr. Market ever since 4Q’23 earnings. Today’s earnings should help calm some nerves.

MBI Deep Dives

Why Lululemon Isn’t Under Armour

Lululemon’s implied 11.5% revenue growth for 2024 is a notable deceleration from years prior; having averaged an annual revenue growth rate of...

Investment Talk

Lululemon Athletica Inc.: A Tale Of Store Expansion & International Growth! - Major Drivers

The Q4 2023 earnings of Lululemon Athletica Inc. highlighted positive operational results with revenue increases across most regions. Total...

Baptista Research

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