Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<div><p>Coupang, one of the largest product e-commerce players in Korea, raised around US$4.2bn in its US listing via a mix of selling primary and secondary shares. </p></div><div><p>In our previous note, links to which are below, we have spoke about various aspects of the deal. In this note, talk about the trading dynamics and provide a valuation table at different  share price levels.</p></div><div><p>We've covered various aspects of the deal in our earlier insights: </p></div><div><ul style="list-style-type: disc;">
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/coupang-pre-ipo-the-positives-fast-growth-sticky-customers" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Coupang Pre-IPO - The Positives - Fast Growth, Sticky Customers</a>, </li>
<li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/coupang-pre-ipo-the-negatives-horrendous-data-disclosures-including-no-mention-of-ott-launch" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Coupang Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Horrendous Data Disclosures, Including No Mention of OTT Launch</a></li>
<li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/coupang-pre-ipo-fair-bit-of-competition-but-it-s-doing-better-than-most-local-peers" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Coupang Pre-IPO - Fair Bit of Competition but It’s Doing Better than Most Local Peers</a></li>
<li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/coupang-pre-ipo-earnings-forecast-and-valuation" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Coupang Pre-IPO - Earnings Forecast and Valuation</a></li>
<li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/coupang-ipo-momentum-play-unequal-lock-up-index-inclusion" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Coupang IPO - Momentum Play, Unequal Lock-Up, Index Inclusion</a></li>
<li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/coupang-ipo-quick-note-peers-move-down-range-moves-up-ripe-for-trading" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Coupang IPO - Quick Note - Peers Move Down, Range Moves Up. Ripe for Trading.</a></li>
</ul></div>

Coupang, one of the largest product e-commerce players in Korea, raised around US$4.2bn in its US listing via a mix of selling primary and secondary shares. In our previous note, links to which are below, we have spoke about various aspects of the deal. In this note, talk about the trading dynamics and provide a valuation table at different  share price levels.We've covered various aspects of the deal in our earlier insights: 

Coupang Pre-IPO - The Positives - Fast Growth, Sticky Customers, 
Coupang Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Horrendous Data Disclosures, Including No Mention of OTT Launch
Coupang Pre-IPO - Fair Bit of Competition but It’s Doing Better than Most Local Peers
Coupang Pre-IPO - Earnings Forecast and Valuation
Coupang IPO - Momentum Play, Unequal Lock-Up, Index Inclusion
Coupang IPO - Quick Note - Peers Move Down, Range Moves Up. Ripe for Trading.


Coupang IPO Trading - Most Hit near Term Peak on the First Day - Key Trading/Lock-Up Dates

Financials & FinTech research, Galliano’s Financials Research

Victor Galliano

Financials & FinTech research

Financials & FinTech, EM & Developed Markets

Galliano’s Financials Research

Galliano's Financials Research provides fundamental research in Emerging Markets financials, including FinTech, as well as financials in select Developed Markets.

The investment style applied is generally value oriented, although Growth At Reasonable Price (GARP) strategies can also be used where appropriate. 

Our investment research approach aim is often contrarian, looking to capitalise on overly sceptical or optimistic consensus views. In terms of valuation techniques, the focus is on PBV ratio to ROE, PE multiples and dividend yield, as well as the application of PEG ratios and, where appropriate, Sum of the Parts (SOTP) valuations.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>With <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ant-group-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24240:1" rel="noopener">Ant Financial Services Group (6688 HK)</a> under regulatory pressure from PBoC, Chinese NBFCs are set to gain market share in Chinese consumer and SMB credit</li>
<li>We review prospects and valuations for four listed names in this report</li>
<li>We see fundamental opportunities still, despite the marked outperformance of three out of four names since November 2020</li>
<li>We would highlight <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lexinfintech-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26036:1" rel="noopener">Lexinfintech Holdings (LX US)</a> for its premium returns and most attractive valuations versus peers</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lufax-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29690:1" rel="noopener">Lufax Holdings (LU US)</a> is the unloved name, and it is lower return than its peers; yet it should deliver better returns with faster growth in credit volumes going forward</li>
<li>Delinquency ratios remain ranging from 2% to under 5% in 3Q 2020, and we do not expect these ratios to rise sharply and threaten profitability</li>
<li>Risks to our positive view on Chinese NBFCs generally include a sharp deterioration in credit quality, which could drive far higher credit costs; on the regulatory side, an increase in required capital adequacy for NBFCs could adversely impact the pace of loan origination</li>
</ul>


With Ant Financial Services Group (6688 HK) under regulatory pressure from PBoC, Chinese NBFCs are set to gain market share in Chinese consumer and SMB credit
We review prospects and valuations for four listed names in this report
We see fundamental opportunities still, despite the marked outperformance of three out of four names since November 2020
We would highlight Lexinfintech Holdings (LX US) for its premium returns and most attractive valuations versus peers

Lufax Holdings (LU US) is the unloved name, and it is lower return than its peers; yet it should deliver better returns with faster growth in credit volumes going forward
Delinquency ratios remain ranging from 2% to under 5% in 3Q 2020, and we do not expect these ratios to rise sharply and threaten profitability
Risks to our positive view on Chinese NBFCs generally include a sharp deterioration in credit quality, which could drive far higher credit costs; on the regulatory side, an increase in required capital adequacy for NBFCs could adversely impact the pace of loan origination


China Non-Bank Finance Companies (NBFCs); Ant’s Loss, Their Gain

APAC IPOs & Placements

Zhen Zhou, Toh

Cloopen Group Holding Ltd / Equity Capital Markets

<p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cloopen-group-holding-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31315:1" rel="noopener">Cloopen Group Holding Ltd (RAAS US)</a> raised about US$320m at US$16 per ADS, which is above the initial price range.</p>
<div>
<p>Cloopen is a multi-capability cloud-based communications solution provider in China. The company offers communications platform as a services (CPaaS), cloud-based contact center (CC), cloud-based UC&amp;C  solutions to customers.</p>
<p>In this note, we will look at the deal dynamics and provide a table with implied valuation at different share price levels.</p>
</div>
<div>
<p>Our previous coverage:</p>
</div>
<div>
<ul style="list-style-type: disc;">
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/cloopen-pre-ipo-thematically-favorable-but-not-showing-results-for-now" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:47520" rel="noopener">Cloopen (容联.云通讯) Pre-IPO - Thematically Favorable but Not Showing Results for Now</a> </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/cloopen-pre-ipo-peer-comparison-and-thoughts" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:47608" rel="noopener">Cloopen (容联.云通讯) Pre-IPO - Peer Comparison and Thoughts</a> </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/cloopen-pre-ipo-forecast-assumptions-and-valuation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:47651" rel="noopener">Cloopen (容联.云通讯) Pre-IPO - Forecast, Assumptions, and Valuation</a> </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/cloopen-pre-ipo-investments-in-cloopen-pax-global-hi-sun-tech-market-cap" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:47655" rel="noopener">Cloopen (容联.云通讯) Pre-IPO - Investments in Cloopen + Pax Global &gt; Hi Sun Tech Market Cap</a> </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/cloopen-ipo-hi-sun-tech-angle-gets-more-attractive" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:47785" rel="noopener">Cloopen (容联.云通讯) IPO - Hi Sun Tech Angle Gets More Attractive</a> </li>
</ul>
</div>

Cloopen Group Holding Ltd (RAAS US) raised about US$320m at US$16 per ADS, which is above the initial price range.

Cloopen is a multi-capability cloud-based communications solution provider in China. The company offers communications platform as a services (CPaaS), cloud-based contact center (CC), cloud-based UC&amp;C  solutions to customers.
In this note, we will look at the deal dynamics and provide a table with implied valuation at different share price levels.


Our previous coverage:




Cloopen (容联.云通讯) Pre-IPO - Thematically Favorable but Not Showing Results for Now 

Cloopen (容联.云通讯) Pre-IPO - Peer Comparison and Thoughts 

Cloopen (容联.云通讯) Pre-IPO - Forecast, Assumptions, and Valuation 

Cloopen (容联.云通讯) Pre-IPO - Investments in Cloopen + Pax Global &gt; Hi Sun Tech Market Cap 

Cloopen (容联.云通讯) IPO - Hi Sun Tech Angle Gets More Attractive 



Cloopen (容联.云通讯) IPO Trading - Set for a Strong Debut

<p>Bairong, an independent AI-powered technology platform in China serving the financial services industry, plans to raise around US$300m in its Hong Kong IPO. According to F&amp;S, it was the largest independent financial big data analytics solutions provider in China by revenue in 2019, with a market share of 8.7%.</p><p>Bairong has three main revenue generating segments: data analytics services, precision marketing services and insurance distribution services. As of FY19, data analytics accounted for 41.4% of revenue, with the next largest segment being precision marketing at 32.1% of revenue and insurance distribution making up for the rest.</p><p>Over 2017-19, Bairong’s revenue expanded by 3.56x or at 88.8% CAGR. While its data analytics revenue increased by 66% over the period, its precision marketing services revenue grew 22.6x, and insurance distribution grew 54.5x. Over the same time, gross profit grew 3.99x and adjusted EBITDA, PAT and OCF all turned positive during that period.</p><p>In this insight, I'll talk about the positive aspects of the deal. </p>

Bairong, an independent AI-powered technology platform in China serving the financial services industry, plans to raise around US$300m in its Hong Kong IPO. According to F&amp;S, it was the largest independent financial big data analytics solutions provider in China by revenue in 2019, with a market share of 8.7%.Bairong has three main revenue generating segments: data analytics services, precision marketing services and insurance distribution services. As of FY19, data analytics accounted for 41.4% of revenue, with the next largest segment being precision marketing at 32.1% of revenue and insurance distribution making up for the rest.Over 2017-19, Bairong’s revenue expanded by 3.56x or at 88.8% CAGR. While its data analytics revenue increased by 66% over the period, its precision marketing services revenue grew 22.6x, and insurance distribution grew 54.5x. Over the same time, gross profit grew 3.99x and adjusted EBITDA, PAT and OCF all turned positive during that period.In this insight, I'll talk about the positive aspects of the deal. 

Bairong Pre-IPO - The Positives - Largest Independent Big-Data Analytics Provider

Silver Point

Thomas J. Monaco

Independent Insight Provider

Silver Point is a boutique research firm that focuses on the broader financial services sector, with a particular focus on troubled institutions globally. 

Asia Ex Japan

<p><strong><em>*RBA Speech – A Positive For Aussie BNPL: </em></strong>The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) indicated that the status-quo for the buy-now, pay-later (BNPL) sector is likely to continue into the foreseeable future – which is a significant positive for Tencent Holding’s (700.HK) [Tencent] Afterpay Touch (APT.AU) [Afterpay]. Specifically, BNPL operators can still prevent merchants from passing on transaction fees;</p><p><em><strong>*Strong Momentum As We Head Into Holiday Season: </strong></em>Just as we head into the holiday season, Tencent’s Afterpay provided some strong key metrics in its latest media release as discussed in “Tencent Holdings – Father Christmas” note dated December 3, 2020.  What a magnificent six months this has been for Afterpay, and the next six months look to be even more transformational with operations beginning in the European Union, launches of banking products, and potentially the launch of the business in Asia (likely under the tutelage of Tencent); and</p><p><em><strong>*More Magic Fairy Dust:</strong></em> Tencent continues to hit it out of the park with its Afterpay stake. In addition to a superb return on investment of 400% over the past six months since the stake announcement, this alliance with Australia’s premier financial technology Buy Now Pay Later (BNPL) company is paying dividends to Tencent in numerous other ways.</p>

*RBA Speech – A Positive For Aussie BNPL: The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) indicated that the status-quo for the buy-now, pay-later (BNPL) sector is likely to continue into the foreseeable future – which is a significant positive for Tencent Holding’s (700.HK) [Tencent] Afterpay Touch (APT.AU) [Afterpay]. Specifically, BNPL operators can still prevent merchants from passing on transaction fees;*Strong Momentum As We Head Into Holiday Season: Just as we head into the holiday season, Tencent’s Afterpay provided some strong key metrics in its latest media release as discussed in “Tencent Holdings – Father Christmas” note dated December 3, 2020.  What a magnificent six months this has been for Afterpay, and the next six months look to be even more transformational with operations beginning in the European Union, launches of banking products, and potentially the launch of the business in Asia (likely under the tutelage of Tencent); and*More Magic Fairy Dust: Tencent continues to hit it out of the park with its Afterpay stake. In addition to a superb return on investment of 400% over the past six months since the stake announcement, this alliance with Australia’s premier financial technology Buy Now Pay Later (BNPL) company is paying dividends to Tencent in numerous other ways.

China

Xi'An Hongsheng Technology Co ltd distributes, designs and develops memory, home entertainment and personal computer products. The Company's products include RAM (Random Access Memory) products, DVD (Digital Versatile Disc) players, televisions, as well as personal computers and peripheral products.

Yixin Group Limited offers an online automobile finance transaction platform. The Company provides loan facilitation, car rental, and other services. Yixin Group operates in China.

Shanghai Dongzheng Automotive Finance Co., Ltd. offers auto finance products and services for the purchase of luxury brand cars. The Company provides automotive retail loan, automotive dealer loan, and other services. Shanghai Dongzheng Automotive Finance serves customers in China.

LexinFintech Holdings Ltd. operates as a holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, provides online consumer finance services. LexinFintech Holdings offers installments, money loans, wealth management, and other financial services. LexinFintech Holdings serves customers in China.

China Huirong Financial Holdings Limited is a short-term secured financing service provider. The Company specializes in providing short-term loans secured by collateral, or "pawn loans", to customers.

China Huirong Financial Holdings (1290 HK)

Guangdong Join-Share Financing Guarantee Investment is a financing guarantee services provider in Guangdong province. The Company focuses on providing credit-base financing solutions to SMEs.

X Financial provides financial services. The Company offers personal finance, loans, and other related services. X Financial serves customers in China.

Zuoli Kechuang Micro-Finance Company Limited focuses on providing credit-based financing solutions to Deqing's fast-growing SME and microenterprise sector.

Quanzhou Huixin Micro-Credit Co., Ltd. offers micro lending and other related financial services to individuals and small business throughout China.

Yangzhou Guangling District Taihe Rural Micro-finance Company Limited offers financial services. The Company provides loans issuing, financing guarantee, financial institutions business agency, and other businesses. Yangzhou Guangling District Taihe Rural Micro-finance serves small and medium enterprises, individual businesses, and other groups in Yangzhou.

Yangzhou Guangling District Taihe Rural Micro-Finance (1915 HK)

Yangzhou Guangling District Taihe Rural Micro-Finance

AEON Financial Service Co Ltd is a credit card company.  The Company's financial services include loans, credit cards, and customer installment credits.

Manappuram Finance Ltd. is a non-banking finance company. The Company offers loans against gold collateral, business loans, vehicle loans, foreign exchange and money transfer services; and sells gold coins.

Enova International, Inc. offers online financial services to people who have bank accounts but have limited access to traditional consumer credit from banks, thrifts, credit card companies and other lenders. The Company offers short-term consumer and installment consumer loans in the United States, the United Kingdom, Australia, and Canada.

Navient Corporation's focus is in education loan portfolio management, servicing and asset recovery. The Company acts as a servicer for Department of Education and FFELP loans as well as private student loans.

Kruk SA as founded in 1998 and offers debt collection services in Poland, Romania, Czech Republic and Slovakia. The Company's two main business lines are: acquisition of non-performing debt portfolios and debt collection outsourcing with a main focus on consumer and corporate loans.

Muangthai Capital Public Company Limited operates as a commercial lending company. The Company provides car title, personal, agricultural vehicle, land title, and other loan products. Muangthai Capital serves customers in Thailand.

Srisawad Corporation Public Company Limited operates as a consumer finance company. The Company provides personal secured loans, home loans, loans for international labors, and other related financial products. Srisawad offers its products and services to retail clients in Thailand.

Taiwan Acceptance Corp. provides car financing and leasing services.

Bread Financial Holdings Inc. operates as a tech-forward financial services company. The Company offers personalized payment, lending, and saving solutions. Bread Financial Holdings serves customers worldwide.

Cembra Money Bank AG provides financial services. The Company's services include personal loans, vehicle financing, credit cards, and savings and insurance services. Cembra Money Bank AG provides its services throughout Switzerland.

Lufax Holding Ltd operates technology-empowered personal financial services platform. The Company connects financial institutions to facilitate lending and wealth management products tailored to individual customer's needs and risk appetites.

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Lufax Holding (LU US)

Coupang IPO Trading - Most Hit near Term Peak on the First Day - Key Trading/Lock-Up Dates

Coupang, one of the largest product e-commerce players in Korea, raised around US$4.2bn in its US listing via a mix of selling primary and...

Sumeet Singh

China Non-Bank Finance Companies (NBFCs); Ant’s Loss, Their Gain

Chinese NBFCs' share prices have rallied as Ant's regulatory hurdles mounted; yet we see more scope for re-rating in the case of LexinFintech on...

Victor Galliano

Cloopen (容联.云通讯) IPO Trading - Set for a Strong Debut

Cloopen is a multi-capability cloud-based communications solution provider in China. In this note, we will look at the deal dynamics and provide a...

Zhen Zhou, Toh

Bairong Pre-IPO - The Positives - Largest Independent Big-Data Analytics Provider

Bairong, an independent AI-powered technology platform in China serving the financial services industry, plans to raise around US$300m in its Hong...

Sumeet Singh

Tencent Holdings – After The Speech

TENCENT HOLDINGS: Reserve Bank of Australia indicated that the status-quo for BNPL is likely to continue – which is a significant positive for...

Thomas J. Monaco

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