Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The review period for the September rebalance of the KOSPI Size Indices will run from 1 June to 31 August.</li>
<li>We see 6 migrations from MidCap to LargeCap, 1 new addition to LargeCap, 6 stocks moving from SmallCap to MidCap and 3 new additions to MidCap.</li>
<li>Stocks migrating upward have outperformed stocks migrating lower. But there are still stocks trading at a Price to Book of less than 1.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the September rebalance of the KOSPI Size Indices will run from 1 June to 31 August.
We see 6 migrations from MidCap to LargeCap, 1 new addition to LargeCap, 6 stocks moving from SmallCap to MidCap and 3 new additions to MidCap.
Stocks migrating upward have outperformed stocks migrating lower. But there are still stocks trading at a Price to Book of less than 1.


KOSPI Size Indices: Potential Migrations in September Are Moving

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Douglas Research Advisory

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>There are signs that the South Korean REIT market may have bottomed in the past 3-6 months after significant market underperformance from 2021 to 4Q 2023.</li>
<li>The 16 major Korean REIT stocks are up on average 5% YTD, outperforming KOSPI which is up 1.4% in the same period.</li>
<li>Differential in REIT dividend yield/Korean bond yield, meaningful discount to NAV, and increased capital allocation from Corporate Value Up program have been driving outperformance of Korean REIT stocks this year.</li>
</ul>


There are signs that the South Korean REIT market may have bottomed in the past 3-6 months after significant market underperformance from 2021 to 4Q 2023.
The 16 major Korean REIT stocks are up on average 5% YTD, outperforming KOSPI which is up 1.4% in the same period.
Differential in REIT dividend yield/Korean bond yield, meaningful discount to NAV, and increased capital allocation from Corporate Value Up program have been driving outperformance of Korean REIT stocks this year.


Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Kepco Plant Service & Engineering / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Nuclear power is a landmark policy that Korea's current administration heavily pushes. In response, the local market has quickly launched nuclear thematic ETFs: KINDEX &amp; HANARO, which got listed today.</li>
<li>Nuclear power is likely to become the next big thing, AUM-wise, similar to the secondary battery-themed ETFs under the former administration.</li>
<li>Since most of these nuclear stocks have significantly smaller market caps than those battery ones, the actual flow impact is likely to be more significant.</li>
</ul>


Nuclear power is a landmark policy that Korea's current administration heavily pushes. In response, the local market has quickly launched nuclear thematic ETFs: KINDEX &amp; HANARO, which got listed today.
Nuclear power is likely to become the next big thing, AUM-wise, similar to the secondary battery-themed ETFs under the former administration.
Since most of these nuclear stocks have significantly smaller market caps than those battery ones, the actual flow impact is likely to be more significant.


Two Nuclear ETFs Listed Today (KINDEX & HANARO): Passive Flow Outlook

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Sanil Electric reported excellent IPO book building results. The IPO price has been determined at 35,000 won, which is 16.7% higher than the high end of the IPO price range.</li>
<li>The demand ratio from 2,205 institutional investors was 414 to 1. Sanil Electric (062040 KS) IPO will start trading on 29 July 2024. </li>
<li>Our base case valuation of Sanil Electric is market cap of 1.8 trillion won or target price of 58,593 won (67% higher than the IPO price of 35,000 won).</li>
</ul>


Sanil Electric reported excellent IPO book building results. The IPO price has been determined at 35,000 won, which is 16.7% higher than the high end of the IPO price range.
The demand ratio from 2,205 institutional investors was 414 to 1. Sanil Electric (062040 KS) IPO will start trading on 29 July 2024. 
Our base case valuation of Sanil Electric is market cap of 1.8 trillion won or target price of 58,593 won (67% higher than the IPO price of 35,000 won).


Sanil Electric IPO Book Building Results Analysis

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Ethan Aw

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sanil-electric-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:43687:1" rel="noopener">Sanil Electric (062040 KS)</a> is looking to raise up to US$165m in its Korean IPO.</li>
<li>Sanil Electric is a specialized company that manufactures and sells reactors, transformers, railway vehicle parts, and switchboards. As an industrial transformer manufacturer, the company mainly manufactures power and distribution transformers.</li>
<li>In our previous notes, we talked about the company’s historical performance. In this note, we undertake a quick peer comparison and share our thoughts on valuation.</li>
</ul>



Sanil Electric (062040 KS) is looking to raise up to US$165m in its Korean IPO.
Sanil Electric is a specialized company that manufactures and sells reactors, transformers, railway vehicle parts, and switchboards. As an industrial transformer manufacturer, the company mainly manufactures power and distribution transformers.
In our previous notes, we talked about the company’s historical performance. In this note, we undertake a quick peer comparison and share our thoughts on valuation.


Sanil Electric IPO - Stars Aligned with High Growth and Strong Sentiment

South Korea

LS Electric Co., Ltd. manufactures and distributes electrical power equipment. The Company produces smart power equipment, smart automation equipment, smart railway equipment, and other related products. LS Electric also develops smart grid, micro grid, energy storage systems, and metal products.

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LS Electric (010120 KS)

KOSPI Size Indices: Potential Migrations in September Are Moving

There are many changes expected for the KOSPI size indices in September. The potential upward migrations have outperformed the potential downward...

Brian Freitas

South Korean REITs May Have Bottomed

There are signs that the South Korean REIT market may have bottomed in the past 3-6 months after significant market underperformance from 2021 to...

Douglas Kim

Two Nuclear ETFs Listed Today (KINDEX & HANARO): Passive Flow Outlook

This post details Korea's two local nuclear thematic ETFs, which made their market debut today. And it examines their passive flow outlook and the...

Sanghyun Park

Sanil Electric IPO Book Building Results Analysis

Sanil Electric reported excellent IPO book building results. The IPO price has been determined at 35,000 won, which is 16.7% higher than the high...

Douglas Kim

Sanil Electric IPO - Stars Aligned with High Growth and Strong Sentiment

Sanil Electric (062040 KS) is looking to raise up to US$165m in its Korean IPO. In this note, we undertake a quick peer comparison and share our...

Ethan Aw

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