Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we discuss near-term momentum trading opportunities among the top 50 stocks in KOSPI with highest short interest ratios.</li>
<li>Given the recent temporary ban on stock short selling in Korea, there is likely to be increased volatility in the stock market. </li>
<li>We have identified 10 companies in particular that have high short interest ratios, among the worst performing stocks YTD, but with strongest share price performance in the past two days.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we discuss near-term momentum trading opportunities among the top 50 stocks in KOSPI with highest short interest ratios.
Given the recent temporary ban on stock short selling in Korea, there is likely to be increased volatility in the stock market. 
We have identified 10 companies in particular that have high short interest ratios, among the worst performing stocks YTD, but with strongest share price performance in the past two days.


Momentum Trading Opportunities Among Top 50 Stocks in KOSPI With Highest Short Interest Ratios

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of KRX Stocks as of Nov 3rd which has an aggregated short interest worth USD12.7bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Ecopro, Samsung Sdi Co, Sk Hynix, Jusung Engineeri, Hyundai Bioscien, Leeno Industrial.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of KRX Stocks as of Nov 3rd which has an aggregated short interest worth USD12.7bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Ecopro, Samsung Sdi Co, Sk Hynix, Jusung Engineeri, Hyundai Bioscien, Leeno Industrial.


KRX Shorts: Top Changes Prior to Short Ban

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Paradise is one of the largest foreigners only casino operators in Korea which should benefit from the end of the ban of Chinese group tours to Korea.</li>
<li>However, Paradise will face additional competition from the opening of the new Inspire Entertainment Resort in Incheon which is expected to open by the end of 2023. </li>
<li>Paradise is likely to benefit from a combination of higher earnings and valuation multiples in the coming months. </li>
</ul>


Paradise is one of the largest foreigners only casino operators in Korea which should benefit from the end of the ban of Chinese group tours to Korea.
However, Paradise will face additional competition from the opening of the new Inspire Entertainment Resort in Incheon which is expected to open by the end of 2023. 
Paradise is likely to benefit from a combination of higher earnings and valuation multiples in the coming months. 


Paradise: Boost from End of Ban of Chinese Group Tours to Korea Vs Inspire Resort Opening in Incheon

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

<ul>
<li>Total short interest in Hong Kong is HK$435.1bn, marginally higher from end-December. Short notional has moved in line with the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-hang-seng-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22899:1" rel="noopener">Hong Kong Hang Seng Index (HSI INDEX)</a>. </li>
<li>Total short notional of the KOSPI and KOSDAQ market has moved up since end-December and is in line with the move higher in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">KOSPI2 INDEX</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kosdaq-150-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31077:1" rel="noopener">KOSDAQ 150 Index</a>.</li>
<li>Short notional in Taiwan is lower over the quarter even as the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/taiwan-stock-exchange-weighted-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26056:1" rel="noopener">TWSE INDEX</a> has moved higher over the period. There has been big short covering on some stocks.</li>
</ul>


Total short interest in Hong Kong is HK$435.1bn, marginally higher from end-December. Short notional has moved in line with the Hong Kong Hang Seng Index (HSI INDEX). 
Total short notional of the KOSPI and KOSDAQ market has moved up since end-December and is in line with the move higher in the KOSPI2 INDEX and KOSDAQ 150 Index.
Short notional in Taiwan is lower over the quarter even as the TWSE INDEX has moved higher over the period. There has been big short covering on some stocks.


Short Interest Movements (Q1 2023): HK, Korea, Taiwan, Australia

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

<ul>
<li>Chairman Kim of the FSC mentioned potential rule changes in disclosing the names of short sellers at the state audit last Thursday.</li>
<li>The first is to reveal the identity of short sellers who traded through a swap contract with a broker, which is currently exempt from the short-selling disclosure obligation.</li>
<li>The second is to disclose the identity of investors caught in illegal short-selling activities, mostly naked short-selling and wall-crossing.</li>
</ul>


Chairman Kim of the FSC mentioned potential rule changes in disclosing the names of short sellers at the state audit last Thursday.
The first is to reveal the identity of short sellers who traded through a swap contract with a broker, which is currently exempt from the short-selling disclosure obligation.
The second is to disclose the identity of investors caught in illegal short-selling activities, mostly naked short-selling and wall-crossing.


Rule Changes in Disclosing the Identities of Foreign Short Sellers in Korea

South Korea

Hana Tour Service Inc. wholesales a variety of travel related services.  The Company provides outbound, inbound and domestic travel packages and cooperates with credit card companies and Internet shopping malls to market its services. Hana Tour Service also works as general sales agency (GSA) of overseas cruise and rail passes.

Grand Korea Leisure Co., Ltd. operates casino business.

Ananti Inc. operates as leisure clubs. The Company provides ananti penthouses, ananti coves, ananti clubs, hilton hotels, and other clubs. Ananti offers services throughout South Korea.

Paradise Co., Ltd. is a gaming company that operates casino facilities in South Korea and Kenya.  The Company offers games, such as roulette, black jack, baccarat, and big wheel.  Paradise, through its subsidiaries, operates retail and hotel business.

E-World owns and operates an amusement park.  The Company's services include theme park rides, movie theaters, concerts, and restaurants.

Modetour Network Inc. provides a wide range of travel services. The Company's main services include overseas bookings, package tours, air courier services, and discount airline ticketing services.

SM Culture & Contents Co., Ltd. develops, manufactures, and markets various golf balls and other golf related products.  Volvik mainly provides its products to Korea, the U.S., and Japan.

Yong Pyong Resort Co., Ltd. operates recreational resorts.  The resorts feature guest rooms and suits, golf course, ski course, water park, and other water sports facilities.  The Company also engages in real estate business focused on leisure facilities.

Shinsegae Food Co., Ltd. caters company restaurants, schools, and hospitals. The Company also markets and provides various groceries to food companies and restaurants.  Shinsegae Food operates family restaurants as well.

ME2ON Co., Ltd. focuses on game entertainment.  The Company's business engages in video game, arcade game, online game, mobile game, PC game and social casino games.

Berjaya Sports Toto Berhad is an investment holding company. The Company through its subsidiaries, operates a non-four-digit betting games, leases computerized lottery equipment, manufactures and distributes computerized lottery systems, and develops property.

Cafe De Coral Holdings Limited, through its subsidiaries, operates quick service restaurants, fast casual dining, institutional catering and specialty restaurant chains, and food manufacturing business.

DOUTOR NICHIRES Holdings Co., Ltd is establish through merger of DOUTOR COFFEE and NIPPON RESTAURANT SYSTEM.  The Company operates a coffee shop and restaurant chain. DOUTOR NICHIRES manages all business operations, from producing and procuring coffee beans to roasting, wholesaling, and retailing.

Biglari Holdings Inc. operates as a holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, invests in food and insurance companies. Biglari Holdings serves clients in the State of Texas.

Wowprime Corp manages restaurants and provides catering services varying from steaks, Japanese style cuisines to curries and vegetarian foods.

Wonderla Holidays Limited owns and operates two amusement parks in Kochi and Bangalore, India.

The Erawan Group Public Company Limited develops and operates luxurious hotels, office buildings and shopping centers in the heart of Bangkok.

Gourmet Master Co Ltd operates coffee and bakery cafes in Taiwan, China and Hong Kong.

KOSHIDAKA HOLDINGS Co.,LTD. mainly operates karaoke rooms, restaurants with karaoke facility, and circuit training gym exclusively for female called "Curves."

Lion Travel Service Co., Ltd. was founded in 1977. The Company's line of business includes providing services and resources for traveling.

Lotte Tour Development Co., Ltd. provides various tour package service. The Company franchises travel agencies, offers home-based travel businesses, and provides leisure-travel information.  The Company also engages in property development and building management and operates duty-free shop business.

Lotte Tour Development Co, Ltd. (032350 KS)

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Lotte Tour Development Co, Ltd. (032350 KS)

Momentum Trading Opportunities Among Top 50 Stocks in KOSPI With Highest Short Interest Ratios

We have identified 10 companies in KOSPI that have high short interest ratios, among the worst performing stocks YTD, but with strongest share...

Douglas Kim

KRX Shorts: Top Changes Prior to Short Ban

We analyzed KRX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Ecopro, Samsung Sdi Co, Sk Hynix, Jusung Engineeri,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Paradise: Boost from End of Ban of Chinese Group Tours to Korea Vs Inspire Resort Opening in Incheon

Paradise will receive a big boost from the end of the ban of Chinese group tours to Korea. However, Paradise will face additional competition from...

Douglas Kim

Short Interest Movements (Q1 2023): HK, Korea, Taiwan, Australia

The Insight looks at movements in short interest across HK, Korea, Taiwan and Australia stocks over Q1 and highlights large increases/decreases in...

Brian Freitas

Rule Changes in Disclosing the Identities of Foreign Short Sellers in Korea

This post explains what FSC Chairman Kim meant by potential rule changes in the short seller identity disclosure, which he mentioned at the state...

Sanghyun Park

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