Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Mar 10th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD40.5bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We estimate the total short interest changes of -1.9% WoW and highlight short interest changes in BHP.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Mar 10th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD40.5bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We estimate the total short interest changes of -1.9% WoW and highlight short interest changes in BHP.


ASX Short Interest Weekly (Mar 10th): BHP

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>There are no constituent changes for the MVIS Global Rare Earth/Strategic Metals Index at the March rebalance. There are free float and capping changes though.</li>
<li>One way turnover is estimated at 3.1% and will result in a one-way trade of US$19m. Flows are relatively small with no impact over 1x ADV on any stock.</li>
<li>The June rebalance should have constituent changes with an increase in the number of stocks in the index universe.</li>
</ul>


There are no constituent changes for the MVIS Global Rare Earth/Strategic Metals Index at the March rebalance. There are free float and capping changes though.
One way turnover is estimated at 3.1% and will result in a one-way trade of US$19m. Flows are relatively small with no impact over 1x ADV on any stock.
The June rebalance should have constituent changes with an increase in the number of stocks in the index universe.


MVIS Global Rare Earth/​​​Strategic Metals Index Rebalance: Float & Capping Changes on Friday

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Mar 3rd (reported today) which has an aggregated short interest worth USD41.5bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Woodside Energy, Medibank Private, Arafura Rare Ear, New Hope, Pilbara Minerals, Northern Star Re, Fortescue Metals.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Mar 3rd (reported today) which has an aggregated short interest worth USD41.5bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Woodside Energy, Medibank Private, Arafura Rare Ear, New Hope, Pilbara Minerals, Northern Star Re, Fortescue Metals.


ASX Short Interest Weekly (Mar 3rd): Woodside Energy, Medibank Private, Arafura Rare Ear, New Hope

<ul>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/oz-minerals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1138:1" rel="noopener">OZ Minerals (OZL AU)</a> Scheme Meeting for the acquisition by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bhp-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:147:1" rel="noopener">BHP Group (BHP AU)</a> will be held 13 April. The stock could stop trading post close on 18 April.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/oz-minerals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1138:1" rel="noopener">OZ Minerals Ltd (OZL AU)</a> is a member of the S&amp;P/ASX100 Index and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX)</a> so there will be replacements made at the close on 18 April.</li>
<li>Passive trackers will need to buy a fair amount of stock (with a decent impact) on the potential inclusions and the stocks could outperform over the next few weeks.</li>
</ul>


The OZ Minerals (OZL AU) Scheme Meeting for the acquisition by BHP Group (BHP AU) will be held 13 April. The stock could stop trading post close on 18 April.

OZ Minerals Ltd (OZL AU) is a member of the S&amp;P/ASX100 Index and S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX) so there will be replacements made at the close on 18 April.
Passive trackers will need to buy a fair amount of stock (with a decent impact) on the potential inclusions and the stocks could outperform over the next few weeks.


OZ Minerals (OZL AU): Scheme Meeting in April; Potential S&P/ASX Changes

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>On 2 March, the Court approved the distribution of the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/oz-minerals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1138:1" rel="noopener">OZ Minerals Ltd (OZL AU)</a> Scheme Booklet, which was posted on 3 March 2023. The Scheme Meeting is 13 April 2023.</li>
<li>The Independent Expert has concluded the Scheme is Fair and Reasonable and in the best interests of OZL shareholders. Directors unanimously support.</li>
<li>This deal is almost certainly done. The IE report is, as is often the case, enormously informative. Watch the franking credit timing. Not a lot of spread left here. </li>
</ul>


On 2 March, the Court approved the distribution of the OZ Minerals Ltd (OZL AU) Scheme Booklet, which was posted on 3 March 2023. The Scheme Meeting is 13 April 2023.
The Independent Expert has concluded the Scheme is Fair and Reasonable and in the best interests of OZL shareholders. Directors unanimously support.
This deal is almost certainly done. The IE report is, as is often the case, enormously informative. Watch the franking credit timing. Not a lot of spread left here. 


OZL Scheme Booklet Posted - 60 Days to Completion

Australia

Liontown Resources Ltd. explores for and mines base metals.

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Liontown Resources (LTR AU)

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Mar 10th): BHP

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week (as of March 10th). We highlight the short interest changes in BHP.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

MVIS Global Rare Earth/Strategic Metals Index Rebalance: Float & Capping Changes on Friday

There are no constituent changes in March, only float/capping changes. One-way turnover is estimated at 3.1% resulting in a one-way trade of...

Brian Freitas

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Mar 3rd): Woodside Energy, Medibank Private, Arafura Rare Ear, New Hope

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Woodside Energy, Medibank Private, Arafura Rare...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

OZ Minerals (OZL AU): Scheme Meeting in April; Potential S&P/ASX Changes

OZL's acquisition by BHP is nearly a done deal. Passive trackers will sell 18.24m shs (A$509m; 9.6x ADV) of OZL on the last trading day. There will...

Brian Freitas

OZL Scheme Booklet Posted - 60 Days to Completion

The OZL Scheme Booklet is out. Scheme Meeting 13 April. Completion 2 May. IE Report says "Fair and Reasonable", trading at a tight spread. ASX100...

Travis Lundy

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Mar 10th): BHP

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week (as of March 10th). We highlight the short interest changes in BHP.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

MVIS Global Rare Earth/​​​Strategic Metals Index Rebalance: Float & Capping Changes on Friday

There are no constituent changes in March, only float/capping changes. One-way turnover is estimated at 3.1% resulting in a one-way trade of...

Brian Freitas

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Mar 3rd): Woodside Energy, Medibank Private, Arafura Rare Ear, New Hope

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Woodside Energy, Medibank Private, Arafura Rare...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

OZ Minerals (OZL AU): Scheme Meeting in April; Potential S&P/ASX Changes

OZL's acquisition by BHP is nearly a done deal. Passive trackers will sell 18.24m shs (A$509m; 9.6x ADV) of OZL on the last trading day. There will...

Brian Freitas

OZL Scheme Booklet Posted - 60 Days to Completion

The OZL Scheme Booklet is out. Scheme Meeting 13 April. Completion 2 May. IE Report says "Fair and Reasonable", trading at a tight spread. ASX100...

Travis Lundy

MVIS Global Rare Earth/Strategic Metals Index Rebalance: Float & Capping Changes on Friday