Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>At the December rebalance, there will be one change for the ASX100 while there will be five changes to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX)</a>. All changes were expected.</li>
<li>Nearly all inclusions and exclusions have over 2 days of ADV to trade and that increases significantly on some stocks. The volatility on the inclusions has been extremely high.</li>
<li>There could be another change announced in the coming week depending on results of the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/oil-search-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:773:1" rel="noopener">Oil Search Ltd (OSH AU)</a> Scheme Meeting for the merger with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/santos-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:711:1" rel="noopener">Santos Ltd (STO AU)</a>.</li>
</ul>


At the December rebalance, there will be one change for the ASX100 while there will be five changes to the S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX). All changes were expected.
Nearly all inclusions and exclusions have over 2 days of ADV to trade and that increases significantly on some stocks. The volatility on the inclusions has been extremely high.
There could be another change announced in the coming week depending on results of the Oil Search Ltd (OSH AU) Scheme Meeting for the merger with Santos Ltd (STO AU).


ASX100/​200 Dec21 Index Rebalance: Kangaroos Loose in the Top Paddock

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>For the month of November, 14 new deals (firm and non-binding) were discussed on Smartkarma with an overall announced deal size of ~US$20bn.</li>
<li>The average premium for the new deals announced (or first discussed) in November was ~34%, with a year-to-date average of ~32% (153 deals &amp; total deal size of US$278bn).</li>
<li>This compares to the average premium for all deals in 2020 (158 deals) and 2019 (145 deals) of 31% and 31.5% respectively.</li>
</ul>


For the month of November, 14 new deals (firm and non-binding) were discussed on Smartkarma with an overall announced deal size of ~US$20bn.
The average premium for the new deals announced (or first discussed) in November was ~34%, with a year-to-date average of ~32% (153 deals &amp; total deal size of US$278bn).
This compares to the average premium for all deals in 2020 (158 deals) and 2019 (145 deals) of 31% and 31.5% respectively.


<ul>
<li>There are currently 46  - mostly firm - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. </li>
<li>Two new deals this week: the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/total-access-communication" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:948:1" rel="noopener">Total Access Communication (DTAC TB)</a> / <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/true-corp-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8:1" rel="noopener">True Corp Pcl (TRUE TB)</a> merger; and the pre-conditional Offer for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-jin-jiang-capital-company-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15781:1" rel="noopener">Shanghai Jin Jiang Capital Company (2006 HK)</a>.</li>
<li>Keys updates took place for: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shinsei-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16897:1" rel="noopener">Shinsei Bank (8303 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chinese-estates-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20954:1" rel="noopener">Chinese Estates Holdings (127 HK)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cp-pokphand-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10135:1" rel="noopener">Cp Pokphand (43 HK)</a>.</li>
</ul>


There are currently 46  - mostly firm - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. 
Two new deals this week: the Total Access Communication (DTAC TB) / True Corp Pcl (TRUE TB) merger; and the pre-conditional Offer for Shanghai Jin Jiang Capital Company (2006 HK).
Keys updates took place for: Shinsei Bank (8303 JP), Chinese Estates Holdings (127 HK), and Cp Pokphand (43 HK).


Asia-Pac Weekly Risk Arb Summary: Shanghai Jin Jiang, Shinsei Bank, Chinese Estates, CP Pokphand

<ul>
<li>There are currently 46  - mostly firm - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. </li>
<li>One new deal this week: Blackstone and affiliates are offering shareholders of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/crown-resorts-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:808:1" rel="noopener">Crown Resorts (CWN AU)</a> A$12.50/share in cash, a 26.2% premium to last close.</li>
<li>Keys updates took place for: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/singapore-press-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9952:1" rel="noopener">Singapore Press Holdings (SPH SP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shinsei-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16897:1" rel="noopener">Shinsei Bank (8303 JP)</a>.</li>
</ul>


There are currently 46  - mostly firm - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. 
One new deal this week: Blackstone and affiliates are offering shareholders of Crown Resorts (CWN AU) A$12.50/share in cash, a 26.2% premium to last close.
Keys updates took place for: Singapore Press Holdings (SPH SP) and Shinsei Bank (8303 JP).


Asia-Pac Weekly Risk Arb Summary:  Crown Resorts, Singapore Press, Shinsei Bank

<ul>
<li>The review period for the December review ended on 19 November. The announcement of changes will take place on 3 December with implementation at the close on 17 December.</li>
<li>There could be two changes to the ASX100 and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX)</a> prior to the regular rebalance if Spark Infrastructure and Oil Search are delisted.</li>
<li>Then there could be another change to the S&amp;P/ASX100 and up to five changes to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX)</a> at the regular review. Some impacts are large.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the December review ended on 19 November. The announcement of changes will take place on 3 December with implementation at the close on 17 December.
There could be two changes to the ASX100 and S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX) prior to the regular rebalance if Spark Infrastructure and Oil Search are delisted.
Then there could be another change to the S&amp;P/ASX100 and up to five changes to the S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX) at the regular review. Some impacts are large.


ASX100/200 Index Rebalance Preview: Permutations and Combinations as M&A Activity Booms

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