Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Last week we noted the S&amp;P 500 was testing support at 3800-3860 within its downtrend channel and that we were on watch for a potential bear market rally/oversold bounce.</li>
<li>This has officially begun following the break above 4030 on the S&amp;P 500, which was confirmed by bullish reversals on the Russell 2000, Nasdaq 100, DAX, Hang Seng, MCHI, KWEB.</li>
<li>As long as 3858 holds, it is possible the S&amp;P 500 breaks above the longer-term downtrend near the 200-day MA, which would mean the start of a new bull market.</li>
</ul>


Last week we noted the S&amp;P 500 was testing support at 3800-3860 within its downtrend channel and that we were on watch for a potential bear market rally/oversold bounce.
This has officially begun following the break above 4030 on the S&amp;P 500, which was confirmed by bullish reversals on the Russell 2000, Nasdaq 100, DAX, Hang Seng, MCHI, KWEB.
As long as 3858 holds, it is possible the S&amp;P 500 breaks above the longer-term downtrend near the 200-day MA, which would mean the start of a new bull market.


Bear Market Rally With Potential for More; Buy Ideas in Shipping, Land Drilling, Refining, Chemicals

Research on Tech Companies

Evelyn Zhang

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Prices for Neon have been rising rapidly recently, in the short term, global semiconductor companies have 6 months inventory of the noble gas.</li>
<li>China, as a major steel producer, has mature purification technology and production process for these noble gases,  around 30% of noble gases for wafers above 8-inch  are Chinese suppliers. </li>
<li>It takes 3 to 6 months to find replacement due to the complex process of chip lithography; this crisis will accelerate the domestic substitution  of Chinese semiconductor material manufacturers.</li>
</ul>


Prices for Neon have been rising rapidly recently, in the short term, global semiconductor companies have 6 months inventory of the noble gas.
China, as a major steel producer, has mature purification technology and production process for these noble gases,  around 30% of noble gases for wafers above 8-inch  are Chinese suppliers. 
It takes 3 to 6 months to find replacement due to the complex process of chip lithography; this crisis will accelerate the domestic substitution  of Chinese semiconductor material manufacturers.


How Semiconductor Supply Chain in China Stands to Benefit from Ukraine Crisis

Alpha-Centric ESG Research

Kyle Rudden

<ul>
<li>One of the significant outcomes of COP26 was an agreement on the mechanism and rules for implementing an international carbon market and emissions trading scheme.</li>
<li>Global carbon markets could help expedite emissions reductions and provide countries greater flexibility in how they meet national-level climate targets under the Paris Agreement.</li>
<li>Global carbon markets are expected to create new investment opportunities including Carbon Capture and Storage (CCS) which plays a key role in carbon markets. Herein, CCS stocks.</li>
</ul>


One of the significant outcomes of COP26 was an agreement on the mechanism and rules for implementing an international carbon market and emissions trading scheme.
Global carbon markets could help expedite emissions reductions and provide countries greater flexibility in how they meet national-level climate targets under the Paris Agreement.
Global carbon markets are expected to create new investment opportunities including Carbon Capture and Storage (CCS) which plays a key role in carbon markets. Herein, CCS stocks.


COP26: Global Carbon Markets Could Mean Investment Opportunities in Carbon Capture and Storage

United States

Linde PLC operates as an industrial gas and engineering company. The company offers industrial gases, technologies, and gas processing solutions that are used in production of clean hydrogen and carbon capture systems for energy transition, medical oxygen, and specialty gases for electronics. Linde serves customers worldwide.

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Linde (LIN US)

Bear Market Rally With Potential for More; Buy Ideas in Shipping, Land Drilling, Refining, Chemicals

With the $SPX reversing topside the 1-month downtrend (at 4030), the bear market rally is underway with the potential for more. Resistance levels:...

Vermilion Research

How Semiconductor Supply Chain in China Stands to Benefit from Ukraine Crisis

As the Ukraine standoff intensifies, a little-known industry is set for an upset, leaving western buyers in a lurch and Chinese producers...

Evelyn Zhang

COP26: Global Carbon Markets Could Mean Investment Opportunities in Carbon Capture and Storage

COP26 set the stage for a new global carbon marketplace which could create trillions of dollars of new investment opportunities, including Carbon...

Kyle Rudden

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