External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>We summarize the Aug 2023 price discounts at dealers for major automakers in this report.</li><li>Note that such discounts for each automaker are calculated based on weighted average of Jul 2023 retail sales volume for each model, as Aug retail sales volume data have not been released yet.</li><li>Discounts at dealers for most brands widened mildly MoM in Aug 2023, as the price war persists with more and more competitive product rollouts and raw-material price decline.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We summarize the Aug 2023 price discounts at dealers for major automakers in this report.Note that such discounts for each automaker are calculated based on weighted average of Jul 2023 retail sales volume for each model, as Aug retail sales volume data have not been released yet.Discounts at dealers for most brands widened mildly MoM in Aug 2023, as the price war persists with more and more competitive product rollouts and raw-material price decline.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Auto Sector – Aug discounts widened slightly MoM

<ul><li>Eleven Chinese automakers including BYD, Great Wall Motor, NIO, Xpeng, Li Auto, Zeekr, Aion, Deepal, Aito, Neta and Leap reported their Aug 2023 sales volumes on 1 Sep 2023.</li><li>Sales volume of the 11 automakers combined rose 68% YoY (ranged from -50% to +1,218%) and 5% MoM (ranged from -9% to +24%) in Aug 2023.</li><li>NEV trio largely in line. Li Auto’s recorded a sales volume of almost 35,000 units in Aug 2023, with all three models surpassing 10,000 units. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Eleven Chinese automakers including BYD, Great Wall Motor, NIO, Xpeng, Li Auto, Zeekr, Aion, Deepal, Aito, Neta and Leap reported their Aug 2023 sales volumes on 1 Sep 2023.Sales volume of the 11 automakers combined rose 68% YoY (ranged from -50% to +1,218%) and 5% MoM (ranged from -9% to +24%) in Aug 2023.NEV trio largely in line. Li Auto’s recorded a sales volume of almost 35,000 units in Aug 2023, with all three models surpassing 10,000 units. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Auto Sector – In-line Aug NEV retail sales volume

<ul><li>China’s passenger-vehicle (PV) retail sales volume fell 0.4% YoY and 10% MoM in Jul 2023 amid high base, 2% higher than our prior forecast.</li><li>YTD retail sales volume rose 4% YoY. Wholesale volume fell 3% YoY and 7% MoM to 2.10mn units in Jul 2023, the second highest Jul in history, and 2% higher than our prior forecast.</li><li>Wholesale volume rose 7% YoY (or +0.84mn units YoY) YTD, aided by 78% YoY growth (or +0.92mn units YoY) of exports. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China’s passenger-vehicle (PV) retail sales volume fell 0.4% YoY and 10% MoM in Jul 2023 amid high base, 2% higher than our prior forecast.YTD retail sales volume rose 4% YoY. Wholesale volume fell 3% YoY and 7% MoM to 2.10mn units in Jul 2023, the second highest Jul in history, and 2% higher than our prior forecast.Wholesale volume rose 7% YoY (or +0.84mn units YoY) YTD, aided by 78% YoY growth (or +0.92mn units YoY) of exports. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Auto Sector – 2H23 Auto Sales Could Beat Amid Resilient Jul, Aug

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>We are of the view that Li Auto’s 2Q23 earnings are strong, especially with 8% net margin.</li><li>We therefore raise our 2H23E and FY24E earnings forecasts significantly.</li><li>That reminds us of Tesla which turned profitable at the end of 2019 and enjoyed the highest net profit growth in FY21 (+666% YoY). </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We are of the view that Li Auto’s 2Q23 earnings are strong, especially with 8% net margin.We therefore raise our 2H23E and FY24E earnings forecasts significantly.That reminds us of Tesla which turned profitable at the end of 2019 and enjoyed the highest net profit growth in FY21 (+666% YoY). Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Li Auto Inc. (LI US) – A Replica of FY20-21 Tesla?

<ul><li>We summarize the Jul 2023 leading indicators as below, including number of leads, customer flows, and new orders generated, for Tesla, NIO, Li Auto, Xpeng, BYD and Aion.</li><li>Note that such data are based on a sample size of 96 stores (15- 18 stores for each brand) in 15 major cities in China.</li><li>New orders per store for these six NEV brands have been rising MoM since Apr 2023, which is consistent with our prior argument that NEV market share in China could rise sequentially for the remainder of the year. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We summarize the Jul 2023 leading indicators as below, including number of leads, customer flows, and new orders generated, for Tesla, NIO, Li Auto, Xpeng, BYD and Aion.Note that such data are based on a sample size of 96 stores (15- 18 stores for each brand) in 15 major cities in China.New orders per store for these six NEV brands have been rising MoM since Apr 2023, which is consistent with our prior argument that NEV market share in China could rise sequentially for the remainder of the year. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Auto Sector – Jul leading indicators: NEV new orders rose MoM

China

Li Auto Inc. manufactures automobiles. The Company designs, develops, and sells smart new energy electric sport utility vehicles. Li Auto conducts businesses in China.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Li Auto (LI US)

China Auto Sector – Aug discounts widened slightly MoM

Discounts at dealers for most brands widened mildly MoM in Aug 2023, as the price war persists with more and more competitive product rollouts and...

CMB International

China Auto Sector – In-line Aug NEV retail sales volume

Eleven Chinese automakers including BYD, Great Wall Motor, NIO, Xpeng, Li Auto, Zeekr, Aion, Deepal, Aito, Neta and Leap reported their Aug 2023...

CMB International

China Auto Sector – 2H23 Auto Sales Could Beat Amid Resilient Jul, Aug

China’s passenger-vehicle (PV) retail sales volume fell 0.4% YoY and 10% MoM in Jul 2023 amid high base, 2% higher than our prior forecast.

CMB International

Li Auto Inc. (LI US) – A Replica of FY20-21 Tesla?

We are of the view that Li Auto’s 2Q23 earnings are strong, especially with 8% net margin. We therefore raise our 2H23E and FY24E earnings...

CMB International

China Auto Sector – Jul leading indicators: NEV new orders rose MoM

We summarize the Jul 2023 leading indicators as below, including number of leads, customer flows, and new orders generated, for Tesla, NIO, Li...

CMB International

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)