Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nio-inc-2d526675-c878-4104-840f-87fed1735e85" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35652:1" rel="noopener">NIO Inc (9866 HK)</a> passes the velocity test and could replace <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/asm-pacific-technology-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15061:1" rel="noopener">ASM Pacific Technology (522 HK)</a> in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-tech-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31367:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng Tech Index (HSTECH INDEX)</a> at the June rebalance.</li>
<li>Given the low trading volumes and the large assets tracking the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-tech-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31367:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng Tech Index (HSTECH INDEX)</a>, passive trackers will need to buy around 10 days of ADV on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nio-inc-2d526675-c878-4104-840f-87fed1735e85" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35652:1" rel="noopener">NIO</a>. </li>
<li>Passive trackers need to sell around 7 days of ADV on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/asm-pacific-technology-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15061:1" rel="noopener">ASM Pacific Technology (522 HK)</a>. Given implementation is two months away, sell the stock on rallies. </li>
</ul>



NIO Inc (9866 HK) passes the velocity test and could replace ASM Pacific Technology (522 HK) in the Hang Seng Tech Index (HSTECH INDEX) at the June rebalance.
Given the low trading volumes and the large assets tracking the Hang Seng Tech Index (HSTECH INDEX), passive trackers will need to buy around 10 days of ADV on NIO. 
Passive trackers need to sell around 7 days of ADV on ASM Pacific Technology (522 HK). Given implementation is two months away, sell the stock on rallies. 


Hang Seng TECH Index Rebalance Preview: Big Impact as NIO (9866) Could Replace ASM Pacific (522)

Japan/Asia Long-Short, LightStream Research

Mio Kato

Japan/Asia Long-Short

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Equity Bottom-Up

Alibaba Group Holding  / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>The US just expanded travel bans against Chinese officials said to be repressing ethnic and religious minorities. </li>
<li>The timing, a few days after a Biden-Xi call on Russia that appeared to achieve little of substance is telling. </li>
<li>Noises out of the UK have been similarly aggressive here and the question now is how Europe responds.</li>
</ul>


The US just expanded travel bans against Chinese officials said to be repressing ethnic and religious minorities. 
The timing, a few days after a Biden-Xi call on Russia that appeared to achieve little of substance is telling. 
Noises out of the UK have been similarly aggressive here and the question now is how Europe responds.


US Expansion of Travel Bans the First Step in Broader Escalation?

KraneShares CSI China Internet ETF / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>China ADRs were sharply lower last week as the SEC started to name companies that were identified under the Holding Foreign Companies Accountable Act (HFCAA).</li>
<li>Then <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/didi-chuxing-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27467:1" rel="noopener">DiDi Global</a> dropped 44% on Friday following reports that the their proposals to prevent data/security leaks did not meet CAC's requirements and work on the HK listing was halted.</li>
<li>With 2024 not too far away, a lot of the U.S. listed companies will look at listing in Hong Kong in the near future. That will have its own implications.</li>
</ul>


China ADRs were sharply lower last week as the SEC started to name companies that were identified under the Holding Foreign Companies Accountable Act (HFCAA).
Then DiDi Global dropped 44% on Friday following reports that the their proposals to prevent data/security leaks did not meet CAC's requirements and work on the HK listing was halted.
With 2024 not too far away, a lot of the U.S. listed companies will look at listing in Hong Kong in the near future. That will have its own implications.


China ADRs & HFCAA: Pace of Homecoming Listings Should Pick Up & Implications

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>On 8th Mar 2022, Securities Exchange Commission (SEC) added five China ADR names to its provisional list of issuers under the Holding Foreign Companies Accountable Act (HFCAA).</li>
<li>There is nothing new about the list, on 2nd Dec 2021, SEC had issued final amendments to implement the HFCAA which had already spoken about the list and its implications.</li>
<li>In this note, we'll talk about the latest developments its possible timelines and implications.</li>
</ul>


On 8th Mar 2022, Securities Exchange Commission (SEC) added five China ADR names to its provisional list of issuers under the Holding Foreign Companies Accountable Act (HFCAA).
There is nothing new about the list, on 2nd Dec 2021, SEC had issued final amendments to implement the HFCAA which had already spoken about the list and its implications.
In this note, we'll talk about the latest developments its possible timelines and implications.


China ADRs Delisting - SEC Sets the Clock Ticking and Sends China ADRs Tripping

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nio-inc-2d526675-c878-4104-840f-87fed1735e85" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35652:1" rel="noopener">NIO Inc (9866 HK)</a> is expected to list on the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-exchanges-clearing" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:490:1" rel="noopener">HKEX (388 HK)</a> tomorrow. Nearly 820m Class A shares are now held on the Hong Kong Share Register.</li>
<li>We do not expect <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nio-inc-2d526675-c878-4104-840f-87fed1735e85" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35652:1" rel="noopener">NIO Inc (9866 HK)</a> to get Fast Entry to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-china-enterprises-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22900:1" rel="noopener">HSCEI INDEX</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-tech-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31367:1" rel="noopener">HSTECH INDEX</a>, though inclusion in the HSTECH could take place in June.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nio-inc-2d526675-c878-4104-840f-87fed1735e85" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35652:1" rel="noopener">NIO Inc (9866 HK)</a> is not likely to get Fast Entry to the HSCI. The stock is not eligible for Southbound Stock Connect as a Secondary Listing.</li>
</ul>



NIO Inc (9866 HK) is expected to list on the HKEX (388 HK) tomorrow. Nearly 820m Class A shares are now held on the Hong Kong Share Register.
We do not expect NIO Inc (9866 HK) to get Fast Entry to the HSCEI INDEX and HSTECH INDEX, though inclusion in the HSTECH could take place in June.

NIO Inc (9866 HK) is not likely to get Fast Entry to the HSCI. The stock is not eligible for Southbound Stock Connect as a Secondary Listing.


NIO (9866 HK) Secondary Listing: HSTECH Inclusion in June Likely

China

Li Auto Inc. manufactures automobiles. The Company designs, develops, and sells smart new energy electric sport utility vehicles. Li Auto conducts businesses in China.

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Li Auto (LI US)

Hang Seng TECH Index Rebalance Preview: Big Impact as NIO (9866) Could Replace ASM Pacific (522)

NIO (9866) could replace ASM Pacific (522) in the HSTECH at the June rebal. Passive trackers will need to buy 10 days of ADV on NIO while selling 7...

Brian Freitas

US Expansion of Travel Bans the First Step in Broader Escalation?

The US just expanded travel bans against Chinese officials and while the move seems relatively minor on its own we wonder if this is the first step...

Mio Kato

China ADRs & HFCAA: Pace of Homecoming Listings Should Pick Up & Implications

The SEC naming 5 companies under the HFCAA put China ADRs under pressure last week. The news that the CAC had nixed DIDI's HK listing plans added...

Brian Freitas

China ADRs Delisting - SEC Sets the Clock Ticking and Sends China ADRs Tripping

On 8th Mar 2022, Securities Exchange Commission (SEC) added five China ADR names to its provisional list of issuers under the Holding Foreign...

Sumeet Singh

NIO (9866 HK) Secondary Listing: HSTECH Inclusion in June Likely

NIO is expected to list on the HKEX tomorrow as a Secondary Listing. We do not expect any passive inflows to the stock in the short-term. HSTECH...

Brian Freitas

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