External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Our top pick. Li Auto’s 4Q22 earnings were largely in line with our previous forecasts, in terms of both revenue and net profit.</li><li>Management projects recordhigh sales volume in 1Q23, which could be followed by another all-time high deliveries in 2Q23.</li><li>We believe such sequential growth in sales volume could be a positive catalyst for its share price. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Our top pick. Li Auto’s 4Q22 earnings were largely in line with our previous forecasts, in terms of both revenue and net profit.Management projects recordhigh sales volume in 1Q23, which could be followed by another all-time high deliveries in 2Q23.We believe such sequential growth in sales volume could be a positive catalyst for its share price. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>China’s passenger-vehicle (PV) retail sales volume fell 43% YoY in Jan 2023, in line with our prior forecast of 44% YoY decline.</li><li>Wholesale volume fell 33% YoY last month, 30% stronger than our prior projection, largely due to much weaker than-expected inventory destocking and higher export volume.</li><li>PV exports only fell 9% MoM to about 250,000 units in Jan 2023. Automakers only cut about 26,000 units of inventories in their dealers’ showrooms in Jan 2023 based on our calculations, despite early Chinese New Year, which has led to more than two months of inventories based on our projected retail sales volume for Feb and Mar 2023. I</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China’s passenger-vehicle (PV) retail sales volume fell 43% YoY in Jan 2023, in line with our prior forecast of 44% YoY decline.Wholesale volume fell 33% YoY last month, 30% stronger than our prior projection, largely due to much weaker than-expected inventory destocking and higher export volume.PV exports only fell 9% MoM to about 250,000 units in Jan 2023. Automakers only cut about 26,000 units of inventories in their dealers’ showrooms in Jan 2023 based on our calculations, despite early Chinese New Year, which has led to more than two months of inventories based on our projected retail sales volume for Feb and Mar 2023. IContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Auto Sector – Inventory risk could lead to a bumpy recovery

<ul><li>Nine new-energy vehicle (NEV) brands including BYD, NIO, Xpeng, Li Auto, Zeekr, Aion, Aito, Neta and Leap reported their Jan 2023 sales volumes on 1 Feb 2023.</li><li>Sales volume of the nine brands combined rose 22% YoY (ranged from -86% to +449%) and dropped 42% MoM (ranged from -87% to -23%)</li><li>Li Auto beat, NIO and Xpeng miss. Li Auto delivered over 15,000 units in Jan 2023, exceeding some investors’ expectation.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Nine new-energy vehicle (NEV) brands including BYD, NIO, Xpeng, Li Auto, Zeekr, Aion, Aito, Neta and Leap reported their Jan 2023 sales volumes on 1 Feb 2023.Sales volume of the nine brands combined rose 22% YoY (ranged from -86% to +449%) and dropped 42% MoM (ranged from -87% to -23%)Li Auto beat, NIO and Xpeng miss. Li Auto delivered over 15,000 units in Jan 2023, exceeding some investors’ expectation.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Auto Sector – Jan NEV likely in line or slightly miss; Li Auto beat

<ul><li>Our top pick. We project Li Auto’s net profit to be RMB 205mn in 4Q22E amid record-high quarterly sales volume.</li><li>We also expect Li Auto’s profitability to be more sustainable in FY23E, although we are more conservative than consensus by accounting for the overall industry headwinds.</li><li>We believe Li Auto is still best positioned among the NEV trio to be a long-term winner, in terms of sales and profitability</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Our top pick. We project Li Auto’s net profit to be RMB 205mn in 4Q22E amid record-high quarterly sales volume.We also expect Li Auto’s profitability to be more sustainable in FY23E, although we are more conservative than consensus by accounting for the overall industry headwinds.We believe Li Auto is still best positioned among the NEV trio to be a long-term winner, in terms of sales and profitabilityContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Li Auto Inc. (LI US) – 4Q22E net profit likely to turn positive

<ul><li>Despite its 3Q22 earnings miss amid the unexpected inventory provision, Li Auto’s stronger-than-expected 4Q22 guidance could make the automaker finish the year with the highest sales volume among the NEV trio with only two models.</li><li>We believe Li Auto is still best positioned among the NEV trio to be a long-term winner, in terms of sales and profitability.</li><li>We expect Li Auto to continue leading FY23E sales volume among the NEV trio, although we are a bit more conservative than management amid the overall industry headwinds.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Despite its 3Q22 earnings miss amid the unexpected inventory provision, Li Auto’s stronger-than-expected 4Q22 guidance could make the automaker finish the year with the highest sales volume among the NEV trio with only two models.We believe Li Auto is still best positioned among the NEV trio to be a long-term winner, in terms of sales and profitability.We expect Li Auto to continue leading FY23E sales volume among the NEV trio, although we are a bit more conservative than management amid the overall industry headwinds.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Li Auto Inc. (LI US) – Still best positioned among NEV trio

China

Li Auto Inc. manufactures automobiles. The Company designs, develops, and sells smart new energy electric sport utility vehicles. Li Auto conducts businesses in China.

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Li Auto (LI US)

Li Auto Inc. (LI US) – Well on track

Our top pick. Li Auto’s 4Q22 earnings were largely in line with our previous forecasts, in terms of both revenue and net profit.

CMB International

China Auto Sector – Inventory risk could lead to a bumpy recovery

Wholesale volume fell 33% YoY last month, 30% stronger than our prior projection, largely due to much weaker than-expected inventory destocking and...

CMB International

China Auto Sector – Jan NEV likely in line or slightly miss; Li Auto beat

Nine new-energy vehicle (NEV) brands including BYD, NIO, Xpeng, Li Auto, Zeekr, Aion, Aito, Neta and Leap reported their Jan 2023 sales volumes on...

CMB International

Li Auto Inc. (LI US) – 4Q22E net profit likely to turn positive

We also expect Li Auto’s profitability to be more sustainable in FY23E, although we are more conservative than consensus by accounting for the...

CMB International

Li Auto Inc. (LI US) – Still best positioned among NEV trio

We believe Li Auto is still best positioned among the NEV trio to be a long-term winner, in terms of sales and profitability.

CMB International

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