External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>We summarize the Jun 2023 leading indicators as below, including number of leads, customer flows, and new orders generated, for Tesla, NIO, Li Auto, Xpeng, BYD and Aion.</li>
<li>Note that such data are based on a sample size of 96 stores (15- 18 stores for each brand) in 15 major cities in China.</li>
<li>We are of the view that Tesla is still resilient, while NIO’s key metrics in Jun were below our expectation.</li>
</ul>
Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.


We summarize the Jun 2023 leading indicators as below, including number of leads, customer flows, and new orders generated, for Tesla, NIO, Li Auto, Xpeng, BYD and Aion.
Note that such data are based on a sample size of 96 stores (15- 18 stores for each brand) in 15 major cities in China.
We are of the view that Tesla is still resilient, while NIO’s key metrics in Jun were below our expectation.

Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Auto Sector – Jun leading indicators: NIO weaker than expected

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>We project Li Auto’s net profit to rise 27% QoQ to RMB 1.2bn in 2Q23E, and therefore raise its FY23E net profit to RMB 5.0bn.</li><li>Profitability in FY24E could also beat expectation on greater economies of scale.</li><li>We raise FY24E net profit by 83% to RMB 9.2bn with a conservative sales-volume assumption of 0.45mn units. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We project Li Auto’s net profit to rise 27% QoQ to RMB 1.2bn in 2Q23E, and therefore raise its FY23E net profit to RMB 5.0bn.Profitability in FY24E could also beat expectation on greater economies of scale.We raise FY24E net profit by 83% to RMB 9.2bn with a conservative sales-volume assumption of 0.45mn units. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Li Auto Inc. (LI US) – 2Q23 Earnings Preview: NP to Rise QoQ in FY23E

<ul><li>Nine new-energy vehicle (NEV) brands including BYD, NIO, Xpeng, Li Auto, Zeekr, Aion, Aito, Neta and Leap reported their May 2023 sales volumes on 1 Jun 2023.</li><li>Sales volume of the nine brands combined rose 88% YoY (ranged from -26% to +146%) and 13% MoM (ranged from -8% to 38%) in May 2023.</li><li>Li Auto’s May sales more than doubled NIO and Xpeng combined.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Nine new-energy vehicle (NEV) brands including BYD, NIO, Xpeng, Li Auto, Zeekr, Aion, Aito, Neta and Leap reported their May 2023 sales volumes on 1 Jun 2023.Sales volume of the nine brands combined rose 88% YoY (ranged from -26% to +146%) and 13% MoM (ranged from -8% to 38%) in May 2023.Li Auto’s May sales more than doubled NIO and Xpeng combined.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Auto Sector – May NEV likely to hit second highest in history

<ul><li>Our top pick. Li Auto’s 1Q23 results beat our previous forecasts. We believe its profitability could sustain with GPM’s sequential improvement.</li><li>We are still of the view that Li Auto is best positioned among Chinese NEV start-ups, with the highest chance to become a long-term winner.</li><li>Apart from its products, we like the company’s high self-discipline in costs and business expansion even as it is much more resourceful than before.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Our top pick. Li Auto’s 1Q23 results beat our previous forecasts. We believe its profitability could sustain with GPM’s sequential improvement.We are still of the view that Li Auto is best positioned among Chinese NEV start-ups, with the highest chance to become a long-term winner.Apart from its products, we like the company’s high self-discipline in costs and business expansion even as it is much more resourceful than before.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Li Auto Inc. (LI US) – 1Q23 beat with sustainable profitability ahead

<ul><li>China’s passenger-vehicle (PV) retail sales volume rose 11% YoY in Feb 2023, 4% lower than our prior forecast.</li><li>Wholesale volume also rose 11% YoY last month, 13% higher than our prior projection, again largely due to inventory restocking and higher export volume.</li><li>PV exports surged 86% YoY to about 271,000 units in Feb 2023. Automakers in China added about 131,000 units of inventories into their dealers in Feb 2023 based on our calculations, which has led to 2.2 months of inventories based on our projected retail sales volume for Mar and Apr 2023. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China’s passenger-vehicle (PV) retail sales volume rose 11% YoY in Feb 2023, 4% lower than our prior forecast.Wholesale volume also rose 11% YoY last month, 13% higher than our prior projection, again largely due to inventory restocking and higher export volume.PV exports surged 86% YoY to about 271,000 units in Feb 2023. Automakers in China added about 131,000 units of inventories into their dealers in Feb 2023 based on our calculations, which has led to 2.2 months of inventories based on our projected retail sales volume for Mar and Apr 2023. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Auto Sector – A trough in the short term?

China

Li Auto Inc. manufactures automobiles. The Company designs, develops, and sells smart new energy electric sport utility vehicles. Li Auto conducts businesses in China.

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Li Auto (LI US)

China Auto Sector – Jun leading indicators: NIO weaker than expected

We summarize the Jun 2023 leading indicators as below, including number of leads, customer flows, and new orders generated, for Tesla, NIO, Li...

CMB International

Li Auto Inc. (LI US) – 2Q23 Earnings Preview: NP to Rise QoQ in FY23E

We project Li Auto’s net profit to rise 27% QoQ to RMB 1.2bn in 2Q23E, and therefore raise its FY23E net profit to RMB 5.0bn.

CMB International

China Auto Sector – May NEV likely to hit second highest in history

Nine new-energy vehicle (NEV) brands including BYD, NIO, Xpeng, Li Auto, Zeekr, Aion, Aito, Neta and Leap reported their May 2023 sales volumes on...

CMB International

Li Auto Inc. (LI US) – 1Q23 beat with sustainable profitability ahead

Our top pick. Li Auto’s 1Q23 results beat our previous forecasts. We believe its profitability could sustain with GPM’s sequential improvement.

CMB International

China Auto Sector – A trough in the short term?

Wholesale volume also rose 11% YoY last month, 13% higher than our prior projection, again largely due to inventory restocking and higher export...

CMB International

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