External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>We are of the view that Li Auto has lowered priority for its FY24E profitability and the sell-off after the 1Q24 earnings call has largely priced in such management mentality.</li><li>We believe the key lies in its new BEV strategy, EREV sales recovery in 2H24 and FY25 sales growth with BEVs being postponed.</li><li>1Q24 GP in line; R&amp;D and SG&amp;A dragged NP. Li Auto’s 1Q24 revenue was about 3% higher than our prior forecast, largely due to its other sales and services.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We are of the view that Li Auto has lowered priority for its FY24E profitability and the sell-off after the 1Q24 earnings call has largely priced in such management mentality.We believe the key lies in its new BEV strategy, EREV sales recovery in 2H24 and FY25 sales growth with BEVs being postponed.1Q24 GP in line; R&amp;D and SG&amp;A dragged NP. Li Auto’s 1Q24 revenue was about 3% higher than our prior forecast, largely due to its other sales and services.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Li Auto Inc. (LI US) - Is the Mega Lesson Worthwhile?

<ul><li>Maintain our top pick. Li Auto’s strong beat in 4Q23 GPM led to an all-time high operating margin of 7.3%.</li><li>Its FY23 net margin of 9.5% was also much higher than its guidance of 5% in mid-2023.</li><li>Management has also provided a clear path to achieve its FY24 sales target and is still quite self-disciplined in costs and expansion.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Maintain our top pick. Li Auto’s strong beat in 4Q23 GPM led to an all-time high operating margin of 7.3%.Its FY23 net margin of 9.5% was also much higher than its guidance of 5% in mid-2023.Management has also provided a clear path to achieve its FY24 sales target and is still quite self-disciplined in costs and expansion.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Li Auto Inc. (LI US) - 4Q23 Results Set the Tone for Resilient FY24

<ul><li>We expect Li Auto’s 4Q23E net profit to rise 2% QoQ to RMB 2.9bn, or a net profit of RMB 21,850 per vehicle.</li><li>We lower our FY24E net profit by 14% to RMB 12.6bn amid a prolonged price war.</li><li>We are of the view that its current valuation of 16x our FY24E P/E is attractive given Li Auto’s growth potential and profitability.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We expect Li Auto’s 4Q23E net profit to rise 2% QoQ to RMB 2.9bn, or a net profit of RMB 21,850 per vehicle.We lower our FY24E net profit by 14% to RMB 12.6bn amid a prolonged price war.We are of the view that its current valuation of 16x our FY24E P/E is attractive given Li Auto’s growth potential and profitability.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Li Auto Inc. (LI US) – 4Q23 earnings preview: NP to be flat QoQ

<ul><li>We are of the view that Li Auto’s 3Q23 earnings were largely in line, as investors have factored in the stiffer competition.</li><li>We believe its upcoming flagship model, the Mega, could be a positive catalyst for share price, as its controversial design could lure more attention and lower the product cannibalization.</li><li>We cut our FY24E net profit by RMB 3bn to RMB 14.5bn, mainly due to its accelerated R&amp;D investments.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We are of the view that Li Auto’s 3Q23 earnings were largely in line, as investors have factored in the stiffer competition.We believe its upcoming flagship model, the Mega, could be a positive catalyst for share price, as its controversial design could lure more attention and lower the product cannibalization.We cut our FY24E net profit by RMB 3bn to RMB 14.5bn, mainly due to its accelerated R&amp;D investments.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Li Auto Inc. (LI US) – Mega Could Be a Positive Catalyst

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>China’s passenger-vehicle (PV) retail sales volume fell 1% YoY in first four months of 2023, 2% higher than our forecast made in Dec 2022.</li><li>Wholesale volume also rose 7% YoY YTD, 3% higher than our prior forecast, largely due to doubled PV exports in the first four months of 2023.</li><li>Automakers in China started to cut inventories in Apr 2023, as we had expected.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China’s passenger-vehicle (PV) retail sales volume fell 1% YoY in first four months of 2023, 2% higher than our forecast made in Dec 2022.Wholesale volume also rose 7% YoY YTD, 3% higher than our prior forecast, largely due to doubled PV exports in the first four months of 2023.Automakers in China started to cut inventories in Apr 2023, as we had expected.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Auto Sector – Mixed picture ahead as inventory risk lingers

China

Li Auto Inc. manufactures automobiles. The Company designs, develops, and sells smart new energy electric sport utility vehicles. Li Auto conducts businesses in China.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Li Auto (LI US)

Li Auto Inc. (LI US) - Is the Mega Lesson Worthwhile?

We are of the view that Li Auto has lowered priority for its FY24E profitability and the sell-off after the 1Q24 earnings call has largely priced...

CMB International

Li Auto Inc. (LI US) - 4Q23 Results Set the Tone for Resilient FY24

Maintain our top pick. Li Auto’s strong beat in 4Q23 GPM led to an all-time high operating margin of 7.3%. Its FY23 net margin of 9.5% was also...

CMB International

Li Auto Inc. (LI US) – 4Q23 earnings preview: NP to be flat QoQ

We are of the view that its current valuation of 16x our FY24E P/E is attractive given Li Auto’s growth potential and profitability.

CMB International

Li Auto Inc. (LI US) – Mega Could Be a Positive Catalyst

We believe its upcoming flagship model, the Mega, could be a positive catalyst for share price, as its controversial design could lure more...

CMB International

China Auto Sector – Mixed picture ahead as inventory risk lingers

China’s passenger-vehicle (PV) retail sales volume fell 1% YoY in first four months of 2023, 2% higher than our forecast made in Dec 2022.

CMB International

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)