Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>We discuss the end of the three months lock-up period, higher short selling of LG Energy Solution as well as the recent JV formation with Stellantis.</li>
<li>At the current price of 439,000 won, we believe there is a 15% downside risk to LG Energy Solution shares over the next 3-6 months.</li>
<li>LGES's share price has rallied by 8% since the news about the JV with Stellantis have been announced but we believe this rally is likely to be short-lived. </li>
</ul>


We discuss the end of the three months lock-up period, higher short selling of LG Energy Solution as well as the recent JV formation with Stellantis.
At the current price of 439,000 won, we believe there is a 15% downside risk to LG Energy Solution shares over the next 3-6 months.
LGES's share price has rallied by 8% since the news about the JV with Stellantis have been announced but we believe this rally is likely to be short-lived. 


LG Energy Solution: End of the 3 Months Lock Up Period, Higher Short Selling, & JV with Stellantis

Japan/Asia Long-Short, LightStream Research

Mio Kato

Japan/Asia Long-Short

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>The Nikkei reported today on rumblings between Korean battery suppliers and their American customer OEMs. </li>
<li>The crux of the dispute is about technology access and risks of technology leakage which are normal in the scheme of things.</li>
<li>However, expiring LFP patents which we have flagged are likely to result in this dispute going badly for battery suppliers.</li>
</ul>


The Nikkei reported today on rumblings between Korean battery suppliers and their American customer OEMs. 
The crux of the dispute is about technology access and risks of technology leakage which are normal in the scheme of things.
However, expiring LFP patents which we have flagged are likely to result in this dispute going badly for battery suppliers.


LG Energy – LFP Disruption Could Mean Marginalisation Within Big 3

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

<ul>
<li>Over 3/4th of the way through the review period for the June rebalance, we see 7 potential changes to the KOSPI200 Index. Most are high probability changes.</li>
<li>Potential inclusions: F&amp;F (383220 KS), SD Biosensor (137310 KS), Meritz Fire &amp; Marine (000060 KS), Iljin Hysolus (271940 KS), K Car (381970 KS), Hanil Cement (300720 KS), Hana Tour (039130).</li>
<li>Potential deletions: Cuckoo Holdings (192400 KS), S&amp;T Motiv (064960 KS), Nexen Tire (002350 KS), Hyundai Home Shopping (057050 KS), Cuckoo Homesys (284740 KS), Sk Discovery (006120), Grand Korea Leisure (114090).</li>
</ul>


Over 3/4th of the way through the review period for the June rebalance, we see 7 potential changes to the KOSPI200 Index. Most are high probability changes.
Potential inclusions: F&amp;F (383220 KS), SD Biosensor (137310 KS), Meritz Fire &amp; Marine (000060 KS), Iljin Hysolus (271940 KS), K Car (381970 KS), Hanil Cement (300720 KS), Hana Tour (039130).
Potential deletions: Cuckoo Holdings (192400 KS), S&amp;T Motiv (064960 KS), Nexen Tire (002350 KS), Hyundai Home Shopping (057050 KS), Cuckoo Homesys (284740 KS), Sk Discovery (006120), Grand Korea Leisure (114090).


KOSPI200 June Index Rebalance Preview: 7 Changes as Adds Outperform Deletes

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

<ul>
<li>WISE Secondary Cell rebalances every quarter in January, April, July, and October. The effective date for the upcoming rebalancing is April 15.</li>
<li>The flow impact/price correlation of small/mid-caps is shown to be at a meaningful level. Therefore, we may need to design long/short basket trading setups focusing on these small/mid-caps.</li>
<li>The following five stocks are expected to have a significant level of flow impact at this point: SKC, Soulbrain, Youlchon Chemical, Posco Chemical, and LG Energy Solution.</li>
</ul>


WISE Secondary Cell rebalances every quarter in January, April, July, and October. The effective date for the upcoming rebalancing is April 15.
The flow impact/price correlation of small/mid-caps is shown to be at a meaningful level. Therefore, we may need to design long/short basket trading setups focusing on these small/mid-caps.
The following five stocks are expected to have a significant level of flow impact at this point: SKC, Soulbrain, Youlchon Chemical, Posco Chemical, and LG Energy Solution.


WISE Secondary Cell (TIGER ETF) Rebalancing Preview

Asian Insight Provider - Actionable ideas, CrossASEAN Research

Henry Soediarko

Asian Insight Provider - Actionable ideas

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

<ul>
<li>Nickel price was the catalyst for the share price underperformance in the last 2 weeks, especially after the Russian invasion of Ukraine which drove it up to a 100% increase.</li>
<li>Its main product is a lithium-ion secondary battery separator that is critical for rechargeable battery safety. Thus the sell-off due to the higher commodity price especially nickel is unwarranted.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/w-scope-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8597:1" rel="noopener">W Scope Corp (6619 JP)</a> share price has underperformed the NCM and LFP battery makers presents a compelling buying opportunity. </li>
</ul>


Nickel price was the catalyst for the share price underperformance in the last 2 weeks, especially after the Russian invasion of Ukraine which drove it up to a 100% increase.
Its main product is a lithium-ion secondary battery separator that is critical for rechargeable battery safety. Thus the sell-off due to the higher commodity price especially nickel is unwarranted.

W Scope Corp (6619 JP) share price has underperformed the NCM and LFP battery makers presents a compelling buying opportunity. 


W Scope (6619): Wrong Victim of Nickel Price Surge

South Korea

LG Energy Solution produces and sells batteries. The Company manufactures and sells automobile batteries, small batteries, energy storage system batteries, and other products. LG Energy Solution markets its products worldwide.

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LG Energy Solution (373220 KS)

LG Energy Solution: End of the 3 Months Lock Up Period, Higher Short Selling, & JV with Stellantis

We discuss the end of the three months lock-up period, higher short selling of LG Energy Solution as well as the recent JV formation with Stellantis.

Douglas Kim

LG Energy – LFP Disruption Could Mean Marginalisation Within Big 3

A Nikkei report on intensifying negotiations between battery suppliers and the US Big 3 points to the potential for LFP technology to drive...

Mio Kato

KOSPI200 June Index Rebalance Preview: 7 Changes as Adds Outperform Deletes

With just over a month to go in the review period, we see 7 potential changes to the KOSPI200 Index. Most changes are high probability and the...

Brian Freitas

WISE Secondary Cell (TIGER ETF) Rebalancing Preview

This post previews the upcoming rebalancing of the WISE Secondary Cell Theme Index (TIGER ETF), whose effective date is April 15.

Sanghyun Park

W Scope (6619): Wrong Victim of Nickel Price Surge

W Scope's main product, secondary battery separator, is for LFP battery and not for NCM battery thus the surge in nickel price should have less...

Henry Soediarko

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