Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>On 25 October, we recommended a pair trade between LG Chem (go long) and LGES (go short). Since then, this trade has resulted in a net gain of 15.7%.</li>
<li>It is very unusual to get this kind of alpha sized gains on Korean large caps in such a short time period. </li>
<li>Given the sharp net appreciation on this pair trade in the past week, we would close out this trade. </li>
</ul>


On 25 October, we recommended a pair trade between LG Chem (go long) and LGES (go short). Since then, this trade has resulted in a net gain of 15.7%.
It is very unusual to get this kind of alpha sized gains on Korean large caps in such a short time period. 
Given the sharp net appreciation on this pair trade in the past week, we would close out this trade. 


Close Out the Pair Trade Between LG Chem & LG Energy Solution

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

iShares MSCI EAFE ETF / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We continue to believe that a bearish intermediate-term outlook is appropriate as long as the YTD downtrends remain intact on MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US), MSCI ACWI ex-US (ACWX-US), and EAFE (EFA-US).</li>
<li>We would turn bullish only on reversals of those downtrends. With that said, a bear market rally has officially begun, something that we have discussed since our Sept.29 Int'l Compass</li>
<li>We expect to see rallies to their respective YTD downtrends (ACWX, EFA, etc.). We highlight buys that are likely to outperform on this bear market rally.</li>
</ul>


We continue to believe that a bearish intermediate-term outlook is appropriate as long as the YTD downtrends remain intact on MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US), MSCI ACWI ex-US (ACWX-US), and EAFE (EFA-US).
We would turn bullish only on reversals of those downtrends. With that said, a bear market rally has officially begun, something that we have discussed since our Sept.29 Int'l Compass
We expect to see rallies to their respective YTD downtrends (ACWX, EFA, etc.). We highlight buys that are likely to outperform on this bear market rally.


Bear Market Rally in Progress as DXY, Global Sovereign 10-Yr Yields Fall; Buy Ideas Within Leaders

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Our base case valuation of Yunsung F&amp;C is target price of 53,360 won per share, which is 0.7% higher than the low end of the IPO price range.</li>
<li>Given the lack of upside, we would avoid this IPO.</li>
<li>Yunsung F&amp;C is one of the leaders in Korea in producing mixers for rechargeable battery materials for customers including LG Energy Solution and SK On. </li>
</ul>


Our base case valuation of Yunsung F&amp;C is target price of 53,360 won per share, which is 0.7% higher than the low end of the IPO price range.
Given the lack of upside, we would avoid this IPO.
Yunsung F&amp;C is one of the leaders in Korea in producing mixers for rechargeable battery materials for customers including LG Energy Solution and SK On. 


<ul>
<li>In this insight, we discuss a pair trade between LG Chem Ltd (051910 KS) (go long) and LG Energy Solution (373220 KS) (go short). </li>
<li>LG Chem's shares are trading at nearly 66% discount to its NAV which we believe to be excessive. </li>
<li>Another major factor that could negatively impact LGES' shares in the next several months is the end of the lock-up period for the company's ESOA shares in about three months. </li>
</ul>


In this insight, we discuss a pair trade between LG Chem Ltd (051910 KS) (go long) and LG Energy Solution (373220 KS) (go short). 
LG Chem's shares are trading at nearly 66% discount to its NAV which we believe to be excessive. 
Another major factor that could negatively impact LGES' shares in the next several months is the end of the lock-up period for the company's ESOA shares in about three months. 


Closing the Gap Between LG Energy Solution & LG Chem Pair Trade

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Despite the WATCH list's confusion, LG Energy Solution replaced LG Chem. In addition, Solactive excluded Iljin Materials, evidently due to its float-adjusted market cap size.</li>
<li>There are some somewhat elusive additions. The most prominent example is Japan Steel Works, which replaced LG Chem in the updated WATCH list at the last minute.</li>
<li>There was confusion about LG Chem's deletion until the last minute, so, likely, the market has not sufficiently reflected this rebalancing factor in LG Energy/LG Chem's LONG/SHORT.</li>
</ul>


Despite the WATCH list's confusion, LG Energy Solution replaced LG Chem. In addition, Solactive excluded Iljin Materials, evidently due to its float-adjusted market cap size.
There are some somewhat elusive additions. The most prominent example is Japan Steel Works, which replaced LG Chem in the updated WATCH list at the last minute.
There was confusion about LG Chem's deletion until the last minute, so, likely, the market has not sufficiently reflected this rebalancing factor in LG Energy/LG Chem's LONG/SHORT.


Solactive Lithium Review Results Out: Key Takeaways

South Korea

LG Energy Solution produces and sells batteries. The Company manufactures and sells automobile batteries, small batteries, energy storage system batteries, and other products. LG Energy Solution markets its products worldwide.

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LG Energy Solution (373220 KS)

Close Out the Pair Trade Between LG Chem & LG Energy Solution

On 25 October, we recommended a pair trade between LG Chem (go long) and LGES (go short). Since then, this trade has resulted in a net gain of...

Douglas Kim

Bear Market Rally in Progress as DXY, Global Sovereign 10-Yr Yields Fall; Buy Ideas Within Leaders

Bear Market Rally in Progress as $DXY, Global Sovereign 10-Year Yields Decline. Italy FTSE MIB with a bullish YTD downtrend reversal, Switzerland...

Vermilion Research

Yunsung F&C Valuation Analysis

Our base case valuation of Yunsung F&C is target price of 53,360 won per share, which is 0.7% higher than the low end of the IPO price range. Given...

Douglas Kim

Closing the Gap Between LG Energy Solution & LG Chem Pair Trade

In this insight, we discuss a pair trade between LG Chem Ltd (051910 KS) (go long) and LG Energy Solution (373220 KS) (go short).

Douglas Kim

Solactive Lithium Review Results Out: Key Takeaways

This post details the review results of the Solactive Global Lithium Index and discusses key takeaways for trading setups.

Sanghyun Park

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