Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Our base case valuation of Yunsung F&amp;C is target price of 53,360 won per share, which is 0.7% higher than the low end of the IPO price range.</li>
<li>Given the lack of upside, we would avoid this IPO.</li>
<li>Yunsung F&amp;C is one of the leaders in Korea in producing mixers for rechargeable battery materials for customers including LG Energy Solution and SK On. </li>
</ul>


Our base case valuation of Yunsung F&amp;C is target price of 53,360 won per share, which is 0.7% higher than the low end of the IPO price range.
Given the lack of upside, we would avoid this IPO.
Yunsung F&amp;C is one of the leaders in Korea in producing mixers for rechargeable battery materials for customers including LG Energy Solution and SK On. 


Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we discuss a pair trade between LG Chem Ltd (051910 KS) (go long) and LG Energy Solution (373220 KS) (go short). </li>
<li>LG Chem's shares are trading at nearly 66% discount to its NAV which we believe to be excessive. </li>
<li>Another major factor that could negatively impact LGES' shares in the next several months is the end of the lock-up period for the company's ESOA shares in about three months. </li>
</ul>


In this insight, we discuss a pair trade between LG Chem Ltd (051910 KS) (go long) and LG Energy Solution (373220 KS) (go short). 
LG Chem's shares are trading at nearly 66% discount to its NAV which we believe to be excessive. 
Another major factor that could negatively impact LGES' shares in the next several months is the end of the lock-up period for the company's ESOA shares in about three months. 


Closing the Gap Between LG Energy Solution & LG Chem Pair Trade

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Despite the WATCH list's confusion, LG Energy Solution replaced LG Chem. In addition, Solactive excluded Iljin Materials, evidently due to its float-adjusted market cap size.</li>
<li>There are some somewhat elusive additions. The most prominent example is Japan Steel Works, which replaced LG Chem in the updated WATCH list at the last minute.</li>
<li>There was confusion about LG Chem's deletion until the last minute, so, likely, the market has not sufficiently reflected this rebalancing factor in LG Energy/LG Chem's LONG/SHORT.</li>
</ul>


Despite the WATCH list's confusion, LG Energy Solution replaced LG Chem. In addition, Solactive excluded Iljin Materials, evidently due to its float-adjusted market cap size.
There are some somewhat elusive additions. The most prominent example is Japan Steel Works, which replaced LG Chem in the updated WATCH list at the last minute.
There was confusion about LG Chem's deletion until the last minute, so, likely, the market has not sufficiently reflected this rebalancing factor in LG Energy/LG Chem's LONG/SHORT.


Solactive Lithium Review Results Out: Key Takeaways

<ul>
<li>Although Lionheart Studio announced that it will cancel its IPO this year, it is highly likely that the company will complete its IPO by 1H 2023.</li>
<li>If Lionheart Studio does not proceed with an IPO, Kakao Games has to pay to Lionheart CEO Kim Jae-Young and other major shareholders as much as 1.2 trillion won.</li>
<li>We would argue that Kakao Games' earnings estimates are overly aggressive and there is a strong likelihood of 30%+ earnings downgrade for Kakao Games by the consensus in 2023.</li>
</ul>


Although Lionheart Studio announced that it will cancel its IPO this year, it is highly likely that the company will complete its IPO by 1H 2023.
If Lionheart Studio does not proceed with an IPO, Kakao Games has to pay to Lionheart CEO Kim Jae-Young and other major shareholders as much as 1.2 trillion won.
We would argue that Kakao Games' earnings estimates are overly aggressive and there is a strong likelihood of 30%+ earnings downgrade for Kakao Games by the consensus in 2023.


Kakao Games: Further Downside Risk as IPO of Lionheart Studio Likely in 1H 2023

<ul>
<li>LG Chem's deletion is almost a done deal. The pouch-type pack goes to LG Energy, and the cathode business is not big enough to beat L&amp;F.</li>
<li>Chunbo is an additive field that this index has not included so far. So, Chunbo will be added as a new addition rather than replacing someone else.</li>
<li>SK IE Tech is quite tricky. The key is to see separator and elecfoil as the same field. If so, SK IET is likely to replace Iljin Materials.</li>
</ul>


LG Chem's deletion is almost a done deal. The pouch-type pack goes to LG Energy, and the cathode business is not big enough to beat L&amp;F.
Chunbo is an additive field that this index has not included so far. So, Chunbo will be added as a new addition rather than replacing someone else.
SK IE Tech is quite tricky. The key is to see separator and elecfoil as the same field. If so, SK IET is likely to replace Iljin Materials.


Solactive Lithium Index Rebalancing: Noteworthy Names in Korea Before the Announcement

South Korea

LG Energy Solution produces and sells batteries. The Company manufactures and sells automobile batteries, small batteries, energy storage system batteries, and other products. LG Energy Solution markets its products worldwide.

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LG Energy Solution (373220 KS)

Yunsung F&C Valuation Analysis

Our base case valuation of Yunsung F&C is target price of 53,360 won per share, which is 0.7% higher than the low end of the IPO price range. Given...

Douglas Kim

Closing the Gap Between LG Energy Solution & LG Chem Pair Trade

In this insight, we discuss a pair trade between LG Chem Ltd (051910 KS) (go long) and LG Energy Solution (373220 KS) (go short).

Douglas Kim

Solactive Lithium Review Results Out: Key Takeaways

This post details the review results of the Solactive Global Lithium Index and discusses key takeaways for trading setups.

Sanghyun Park

Kakao Games: Further Downside Risk as IPO of Lionheart Studio Likely in 1H 2023

We would argue that Kakao Games' earnings estimates are overly aggressive and there is a strong likelihood of 30%+ earnings downgrade for Kakao...

Douglas Kim

Solactive Lithium Index Rebalancing: Noteworthy Names in Korea Before the Announcement

This post discusses the notable Korean stocks in the upcoming rebalancing of the Solactive Lithium Index (Global X ETF: LIT).

Sanghyun Park

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