Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>LG Corp announced a share buyback worth 500 billion won, representing 4.3% of market cap. This is the company's first major buyback in 22 years.</li>
<li>LG Corp will also remove the "limit" on dividend income, in order to secure the flexibility of the dividend income such as when one of its affiliated stakes are sold.</li>
<li>A sizeable buyback, improved dividend policy, and a significant discount to its NAV are likely to lead to continued outperformance of LG Corp relative to KOSPI. </li>
</ul>


LG Corp announced a share buyback worth 500 billion won, representing 4.3% of market cap. This is the company's first major buyback in 22 years.
LG Corp will also remove the "limit" on dividend income, in order to secure the flexibility of the dividend income such as when one of its affiliated stakes are sold.
A sizeable buyback, improved dividend policy, and a significant discount to its NAV are likely to lead to continued outperformance of LG Corp relative to KOSPI. 


LG Corp: First Major Buyback in 22 Years + Improvement in Dividend Policy

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Three major positive factors for Samsung C&amp;T include deep discount NAV, capital shifting to value/holdcos, and higher commodity prices boosting trading business earnings. </li>
<li>Shanghai lockdown remains a black box event and there are some increasing concerns that the China COVID induced lockdowns could result in a potential earnings miss for Samsung Electronics.</li>
<li>Samsung C&amp;T (028260 KS) has been outperforming Samsung Electronics (005930 KS). Samsung C&amp;T is flat for the year versus Samsung Electronics which is down 13.6% YTD.</li>
</ul>


Three major positive factors for Samsung C&amp;T include deep discount NAV, capital shifting to value/holdcos, and higher commodity prices boosting trading business earnings. 
Shanghai lockdown remains a black box event and there are some increasing concerns that the China COVID induced lockdowns could result in a potential earnings miss for Samsung Electronics.
Samsung C&amp;T (028260 KS) has been outperforming Samsung Electronics (005930 KS). Samsung C&amp;T is flat for the year versus Samsung Electronics which is down 13.6% YTD.


Samsung C&T: Deep Discount NAV, Capital Shifting to Value/Holdcos, & Trading Business Boost

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we provide an updated SoTP valuation analysis of LG Corp (003550 KS) and discuss some of the key upcoming catalysts including the IPO of LG CNS.</li>
<li>Our base case valuation analysis of LG Corp suggests an implied price of 107,664 won per share, representing 45.5% upside from current levels.</li>
<li>The IPO of LG CNS is likely to be a positive catalyst in the next 6-12 months for LG Corp. </li>
</ul>


In this insight, we provide an updated SoTP valuation analysis of LG Corp (003550 KS) and discuss some of the key upcoming catalysts including the IPO of LG CNS.
Our base case valuation analysis of LG Corp suggests an implied price of 107,664 won per share, representing 45.5% upside from current levels.
The IPO of LG CNS is likely to be a positive catalyst in the next 6-12 months for LG Corp. 


LG Corp: Updated SoTP Valuation & Key Catalyst of LG CNS IPO

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We look at short interest across Hong Kong, Japan, Korea and Taiwan in April to identify stocks/sectors that have seen the largest changes in each market.</li>
<li>Korea and Taiwan are showing a clear divergence with short notional increasing as the market moves lower, indicative of new shorts being initiated.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-merchants-bank-co-ltd-3388a037-4214-4997-b45d-520518cfdb57" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10987:1" rel="noopener">China Merchants Bank H (3968 HK)</a> has seen the largest short covering as the stock has tumbled in the last couple of weeks.</li>
</ul>


We look at short interest across Hong Kong, Japan, Korea and Taiwan in April to identify stocks/sectors that have seen the largest changes in each market.
Korea and Taiwan are showing a clear divergence with short notional increasing as the market moves lower, indicative of new shorts being initiated.

China Merchants Bank H (3968 HK) has seen the largest short covering as the stock has tumbled in the last couple of weeks.


Asia Short Interest: Large Moves in April

<ul>
<li>On 23 February, LG Electronics announced that it will exit the solar panel business due to lack of competitiveness as it has been losing money in this business. </li>
<li>This restructuring will have a positive impact on LG Electronics. We applaud its strategy of focusing on what it does best and exiting businesses where it is not competitive. </li>
<li>Assuming operating loss of 80 billion won and a 9% cost of capital, this would result in perpetuity value losses of 889 billion won.</li>
</ul>


On 23 February, LG Electronics announced that it will exit the solar panel business due to lack of competitiveness as it has been losing money in this business. 
This restructuring will have a positive impact on LG Electronics. We applaud its strategy of focusing on what it does best and exiting businesses where it is not competitive. 
Assuming operating loss of 80 billion won and a 9% cost of capital, this would result in perpetuity value losses of 889 billion won.


LG Electronics: Impact of Restructuring the Solar Panel Business

South Korea

LG Electronics Inc. manufactures and markets digital display equipment and home appliances. The Company produces and markets flat panel televisions, A/V products, washing machines, air conditioners and refrigerators as well as telecommunications equipment such as smart phones and tablets.

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LG Electronics (066570 KS)

LG Corp: First Major Buyback in 22 Years + Improvement in Dividend Policy

After the market close on 27 May, LG Corp (003550 KS) announced a share buyback worth 500 billion won, representing 4.3% of market cap. This is the...

Douglas Kim

Samsung C&T: Deep Discount NAV, Capital Shifting to Value/Holdcos, & Trading Business Boost

Three major positive factors for Samsung C&T include deep discount NAV, capital shifting to value/holdcos, and higher commodity prices boosting...

Douglas Kim

LG Corp: Updated SoTP Valuation & Key Catalyst of LG CNS IPO

In this insight, we provide an updated SoTP valuation analysis of LG Corp (003550 KS) and discuss some of the key upcoming catalysts including the...

Douglas Kim

Asia Short Interest: Large Moves in April

Short notional in Korea and Taiwan has been increasing as the market has been moving lower. Shorts on China Merchant Bank have been covered in...

Brian Freitas

LG Electronics: Impact of Restructuring the Solar Panel Business

On 23 February, LG Electronics announced that it will exit the solar panel business due to lack of competitiveness as it has been losing money in...

Douglas Kim

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