Global Emerging Market Equities, Propitious Research

Wium Malan, CFA

Global Emerging Market Equities

Independent, Fundamental Quantitative Research

Propitious Research

Fully independent, fundamental and quantitative equity research, focused on companies in the Telecommunication, Media, Technology, Internet and Healthcare sectors in the Global Emerging Markets. Idea generation focused on Quality stocks, trading below their intrinsic Value, with sound Corporate Governance.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

This insight provides a summary of the key news developments impacting the largest countries and constituents of the Global Emerging Markets equity indices.  Companies mentioned this week:<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/taiwan-semiconductor-manufacturing-company" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11230:1" rel="noopener">TSMC (2330 TT)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent (700 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/posco" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:208:1" rel="noopener">Posco (005490 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-mobile-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27:1" rel="noopener">China Mobile (941 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-unicom-hong-kong-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1016:1" rel="noopener">China Unicom Hong Kong (762 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-telecom-corp-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1015:1" rel="noopener">China Telecom Corp Ltd (H) (728 HK)</a>

This insight provides a summary of the key news developments impacting the largest countries and constituents of the Global Emerging Markets equity indices.  Companies mentioned this week:TSMC (2330 TT), Tencent (700 HK), Posco (005490 KS), China Mobile (941 HK), China Unicom Hong Kong (762 HK), China Telecom Corp Ltd (H) (728 HK)

Global Emerging Markets Weekly: 7 May 2021

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Event-Driven

<div class="content-highlight">In this insight, we highlight the closing of the pricing gaps between the major Korean holdcos and opcos, especially with the upcoming end of the ban on the short selling of shares in Korea in May. In this insight, we highlight 26 pair trades that involve Korean holdcos and opcos.</div>Just a reminder that the ban on short selling of KOSPI 200 and KOSDAQ 150 included stocks will remain in place until May 2nd and investors will be able to resume their shorting on these 350 stocks starting on May 3rd. Once this ban on short selling of stocks ends, there could be more investors that may look to add to the holdco shares and short the opco shares (especially among the pairs where the holdco shares have underperformed the opco shares in the past year). However, some of these moves have already started to take place in the past few weeks, which could reduce the overall profits on the pair trades. Traditionally, the pair trades involving Korean holdcos and opcos have been a trading strategy that many hedge funds have employed for many years. However, the ban on short selling of stocks in Korea have prevented many of these funds from employing these pair trade strategies. Once the ban ends, you will likely see these funds becoming more active in these trading methods once again. <div class="content-highlight">
In the section below, we separated the pair trades into two different sections. The first table involves major opcos outperforming holdcos (regular and quasi) in the past year. Of the 26 pair trade strategies mentioned in this insight, this section I involves 19 of them (73% of total). The section II (which involve holdcos outperforming the opcos in the past year) involves 7 pair trade strategies (27% of total).
In other words, the opcos in general have vastly outperformed the holdcos in the past year, especially due to the ban on the short selling of stocks in Korea. Because the opcos tend to be the bigger company than the holdcos in terms of market cap, many fund managers (both active and passive) have tended to just invest in the opcos and pay less attention to the holdcos.  
</div>Also, we described the holdcos as either regular or quasi. SK Telecom and Samsung C&amp;T would be examples of "quasi" holdcos whereas Orion Holdings and Hanjin Kal would be examples of regular holdcos.

In this insight, we highlight the closing of the pricing gaps between the major Korean holdcos and opcos, especially with the upcoming end of the ban on the short selling of shares in Korea in May. In this insight, we highlight 26 pair trades that involve Korean holdcos and opcos.Just a reminder that the ban on short selling of KOSPI 200 and KOSDAQ 150 included stocks will remain in place until May 2nd and investors will be able to resume their shorting on these 350 stocks starting on May 3rd. Once this ban on short selling of stocks ends, there could be more investors that may look to add to the holdco shares and short the opco shares (especially among the pairs where the holdco shares have underperformed the opco shares in the past year). However, some of these moves have already started to take place in the past few weeks, which could reduce the overall profits on the pair trades. Traditionally, the pair trades involving Korean holdcos and opcos have been a trading strategy that many hedge funds have employed for many years. However, the ban on short selling of stocks in Korea have prevented many of these funds from employing these pair trade strategies. Once the ban ends, you will likely see these funds becoming more active in these trading methods once again. 
In the section below, we separated the pair trades into two different sections. The first table involves major opcos outperforming holdcos (regular and quasi) in the past year. Of the 26 pair trade strategies mentioned in this insight, this section I involves 19 of them (73% of total). The section II (which involve holdcos outperforming the opcos in the past year) involves 7 pair trade strategies (27% of total).
In other words, the opcos in general have vastly outperformed the holdcos in the past year, especially due to the ban on the short selling of stocks in Korea. Because the opcos tend to be the bigger company than the holdcos in terms of market cap, many fund managers (both active and passive) have tended to just invest in the opcos and pay less attention to the holdcos.  
Also, we described the holdcos as either regular or quasi. SK Telecom and Samsung C&amp;T would be examples of "quasi" holdcos whereas Orion Holdings and Hanjin Kal would be examples of regular holdcos. 

Closing the Gap: Korean Holdcos Vs. Opcos

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

The May 3 short-selling resumption will likely highlight the 5 local pairs:
1 stub pair
4 share class pairs
They are the exclusive members of the MC &gt; ₩1T and DTV &gt; ₩10B club, making them the most actively arb-traded pairs in Korea.Also, they are eligible for short-selling right on May 3 as they are part of the Short 350.












Name
Ticker
MC (₩B)
SO
DTV
DTV/SO
30D avg
DTV (₩B)


AmoreG
002790
5,648.4
82,458,180
160,858
0.20%
₩66,850
10.8


Amorepacific
090430
15,023.8
58,458,490
187,379
0.32%
₩260,386
48.8



Samsung Elec 1P
005935
61,716.5
822,886,700
1,415,401
0.17%
₩74,655
105.7


Samsung Elec Ord
005930
493,104.0
5,969,782,550
16,220,095
0.27%
₩83,305
1,351.2



LG Chem 1P
051915
3,017.9
7,688,800
30,796
0.40%
₩387,955
11.9


LG Chem Ord
051910
60,991.8
70,592,343
418,077
0.59%
₩830,818
347.3



Hyundai Motor 1P
005385
2,630.5
24,356,685
79,662
0.33%
₩105,491
8.4


Hyundai Motor Ord
005380
48,182.2
213,668,187
955,060
0.45%
₩226,159
216.0



Hyundai Motor 2PB
005387
3,794.5
36,485,451
90,328
0.25%
₩103,468
9.3


Hyundai Motor Ord
005380
48,182.2
213,668,187
955,060
0.45%
₩226,159
216.0

Source: KRX

On a 20D MA, LG Chem is the only one at -1σ or less.












σ on 20D MA
Ticker
Today
T-1
T-2
T-3
T-4
T-5


AmoreG
002790
1.31
1.77
1.46
1.79
0.92
1.28


Amorepacific
090430



Samsung Elec 1P
005935
1.44
0.69
1.10
0.18
-0.35
-0.03


Samsung Elec Ord
005930



LG Chem 1P
051915
-1.34
-1.80
-1.30
-1.93
-1.53
-0.95


LG Chem Ord
051910



Hyundai Motor 1P
005385
1.13
1.16
1.73
1.87
2.18
2.60


Hyundai Motor Ord
005380



Hyundai Motor 2PB
005387
0.34
1.45
1.06
0.79
1.29
1.45


Hyundai Motor Ord
005380

Source: KRX

But they (the holding company and prefs) are at a discount to the 1-yr means, except for Samsung Elec 1P.Hyundai Motor 2PB, AmoreG, and LG Chem 1P had substantially declined relative to their respective partner.












Price ratio
Ticker
Today
120D mean
120DH
120DL
1Y mean
2Y mean


AmoreG
002790
0.26654
-1.08%
-9.30%
9.17%
-9.13%
-22.50%


Amorepacific
090430



Samsung Elec 1P
005935
0.90799
0.87%
-4.16%
4.52%
2.76%
6.01%


Samsung Elec Ord
005930



LG Chem 1P
051915
0.45428
-3.34%
-13.17%
5.11%
-6.10%
-10.43%


LG Chem Ord
051910



Hyundai Motor 1P
005385
0.47894
3.09%
-5.02%
12.74%
-4.68%
-11.77%


Hyundai Motor Ord
005380



Hyundai Motor 2PB
005387
0.46120
1.18%
-6.27%
10.15%
-9.48%
-20.03%


Hyundai Motor Ord
005380

Source: KRX



5 Most Actively Arb-Traded Pairs in Korea: 1 Stub & 4 Share Class with +₩1T MC & +₩10B DTV

Founder/CEO of ROK Advisory, ROK Advisory LLC

Ken S. Kim

Founder/CEO of ROK Advisory

ROK Advisory LLC

ROK is an independent research advisory firm. We guide you to minimize the information gap between foreign and local investors in Northeast Asia with a focus in Korea, Taiwan and Japan.

Independent Research Advisory Firm

Equity Bottom-Up

In Korea the safest way to invest is to align your interest as a minority shareholder with those of the family?  Usually the key asset of the chaebol is apparent but what about SK Group? It seems we have an opportunity to hone in what the key asset is.

In Korea the safest way to invest is to align your interest as a minority shareholder with those of the family?  Usually the key asset of the chaebol is apparent but what about SK Group? It seems we have an opportunity to hone in what the key asset is.

The Chaebol Dilemma - What's the Family Jewel(S)?

This insight provides a summary of the key news developments impacting the largest countries and constituents of the Global Emerging Markets equity indices. 
Companies mentioned this week:
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28434:1" rel="noopener">Alibaba Group (9988 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ant-group-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24240:1" rel="noopener">Ant Financial Services Group (6688 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sk-innovation-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1268:1" rel="noopener">SK Innovation (096770 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lg-chem-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3583:1" rel="noopener">LG Chem Ltd (051910 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mtn-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24897:1" rel="noopener">MTN Group Ltd (MTN SJ)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/geely-automobile-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:127:1" rel="noopener">Geely Auto (175 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/grupo-televisa-sab" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24642:1" rel="noopener">Grupo Televisa Sab (TLEVICPO MM)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cia-hering" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27765:1" rel="noopener">Cia Hering (HGTX3 BZ)</a>, Arezzo

This insight provides a summary of the key news developments impacting the largest countries and constituents of the Global Emerging Markets equity indices. 
Companies mentioned this week:
Alibaba Group (9988 HK), Ant Financial Services Group (6688 HK), SK Innovation (096770 KS), LG Chem Ltd (051910 KS), MTN Group Ltd (MTN SJ), Geely Auto (175 HK), Grupo Televisa Sab (TLEVICPO MM), Cia Hering (HGTX3 BZ), Arezzo 

Global Emerging Markets Weekly: 16 April 2021

South Korea

LG Chem Ltd. is a chemical manufacturer.  The Company's products include petrochemicals, plastic resins, and engineering plastics.  LG Chem also produces industrial and electronic materials.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
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LG Chem Ltd (051910 KS)

Global Emerging Markets Weekly: 7 May 2021

This insight provides a summary of the key news developments impacting the largest countries and constituents of the Global Emerging Markets equity...

Wium Malan, CFA

Closing the Gap: Korean Holdcos Vs. Opcos

In this insight, we highlight the closing of the pricing gaps between the major Korean holdcos and opcos, especially with the upcoming end of the...

Douglas Kim

The Chaebol Dilemma - What's the Family Jewel(S)?

What is the key asset of the SK Group and how should we play this over the course of time ? Here's at least what we should consider

Ken S. Kim

Global Emerging Markets Weekly: 16 April 2021

This insight provides a summary of the key news developments impacting the largest countries and constituents of the Global Emerging Markets equity...

Wium Malan, CFA

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Global Emerging Markets Weekly: 7 May 2021

This insight provides a summary of the key news developments impacting the largest countries and constituents of the Global Emerging Markets equity...

Wium Malan, CFA

Closing the Gap: Korean Holdcos Vs. Opcos

In this insight, we highlight the closing of the pricing gaps between the major Korean holdcos and opcos, especially with the upcoming end of the...

Douglas Kim

5 Most Actively Arb-Traded Pairs in Korea: 1 Stub & 4 Share Class with +₩1T MC & +₩10B DTV

The May 3 shorting resumption will highlight the 5 most actively arb-traded pairs: 1 stub & 4 share classes (+₩1T MC & +₩10B DTV). This post...

Sanghyun Park

The Chaebol Dilemma - What's the Family Jewel(S)?

What is the key asset of the SK Group and how should we play this over the course of time ? Here's at least what we should consider

Ken S. Kim

Global Emerging Markets Weekly: 16 April 2021

This insight provides a summary of the key news developments impacting the largest countries and constituents of the Global Emerging Markets equity...

Wium Malan, CFA