Research from Water Tower Research, Water Tower Research

Water Tower Research

Research from Water Tower Research

Water Tower Research is a leading equity research firm that provides research on micro, small and mid cap companies.

Water Tower Research was founded by Wall Street veterans after witnessing a fundamental shift in the investment research industry with the result being a declining knowledge base among investors, a lack of awareness and a shrinking pool of fundamental research being conducted on companies across the small-cap and micro-cap spectrum. The same issues are now increasingly occurring in the mid-cap space. This sea change within the investment community is impacting not only the companies themselves but also current shareholders and potential investors. With significantly less active sell-side sponsorship by Wall Street, a substantial information gap has developed between companies and various constituents in the financial community. The net result is fewer channels for insight and information to flow between companies and investors.

Equity Research Firm

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Residential furniture stocks had a tough week over concerns about demand, though commercial furniture stocks fared better.</li><li>The Water Tower Research Commercial/Contract Furniture Index declined 0.5%, the Residential Manufacturers &amp; Suppliers Index fell 3.2%, and Home Goods Retailers declined 5.7%.</li><li>All three trailed the broader indexes (+0.2 to +0.5%) and the Mass Retailers Index (+1.7%). </li></ul>

Residential furniture stocks had a tough week over concerns about demand, though commercial furniture stocks fared better.The Water Tower Research Commercial/Contract Furniture Index declined 0.5%, the Residential Manufacturers &amp; Suppliers Index fell 3.2%, and Home Goods Retailers declined 5.7%.All three trailed the broader indexes (+0.2 to +0.5%) and the Mass Retailers Index (+1.7%). 

Furniture/Furnishings Weekly - July 1, 2024

<ul><li>SCS and LZB both reported strong earnings. Steelcase gained 7.2% for the week after posting strong orders and margins in 1QFY25 with adjusted EPS of $0.16, beating consensus of $0.10 and our estimate of $0.11. LZB surged 12.4% after posting adjusted 4QFY24 EPS of $0.95 versus consensus of $0.70.</li><li>It was a mixed week for the Water Tower Research Furniture/Furnishings indexes.</li><li>The Commercial/Contract Furniture Index was up 3.3% for the week, while the Residential Manufacturers &amp; Suppliers Index was down 1.1% and the Home Goods Retailers Index was down 1.2%. </li></ul>

SCS and LZB both reported strong earnings. Steelcase gained 7.2% for the week after posting strong orders and margins in 1QFY25 with adjusted EPS of $0.16, beating consensus of $0.10 and our estimate of $0.11. LZB surged 12.4% after posting adjusted 4QFY24 EPS of $0.95 versus consensus of $0.70.It was a mixed week for the Water Tower Research Furniture/Furnishings indexes.The Commercial/Contract Furniture Index was up 3.3% for the week, while the Residential Manufacturers &amp; Suppliers Index was down 1.1% and the Home Goods Retailers Index was down 1.2%. 

Furniture/Furnishings Weekly - June 24, 2024

<ul><li>Furniture/furnishings stocks trailed the broader market.</li><li>The Water Tower Research Commercial/Contract Index (-1.7%), Residential Manufacturers &amp; Suppliers Index (-2.0%), and Home Goods Retailers Index (-2.0%) trailed the broader market indexes and the Mass Retailers Index (-1.3% to +1.3%) last week.</li><li>LOVE 1Q25 paints a picture of continued weakness in residential furniture even as the company appears to be continuing to gain share. </li></ul>

Furniture/furnishings stocks trailed the broader market.The Water Tower Research Commercial/Contract Index (-1.7%), Residential Manufacturers &amp; Suppliers Index (-2.0%), and Home Goods Retailers Index (-2.0%) trailed the broader market indexes and the Mass Retailers Index (-1.3% to +1.3%) last week.LOVE 1Q25 paints a picture of continued weakness in residential furniture even as the company appears to be continuing to gain share. 

INDUSTRY REPORT - Furniture/Furnishings Weekly

<ul><li>A rough week for smaller-cap stocks without AI exposure.</li><li>The WTR Commercial/Contract Furniture Index (-6.9%), Residential Manufacturers &amp; Suppliers Index (-1.4%), and Home Goods Retailers Index (-1.3%) underperformed the Dow (+1.2%), S&amp;P 500 (+1.2%), and Mass Retailers Index (+1.9%), all of which benefited from the growing AI hype this week.</li><li>This performance seems to be partly due to the overall weakness of small caps, with the Russell 2000 clocking in (-1.7%).</li></ul>

A rough week for smaller-cap stocks without AI exposure.The WTR Commercial/Contract Furniture Index (-6.9%), Residential Manufacturers &amp; Suppliers Index (-1.4%), and Home Goods Retailers Index (-1.3%) underperformed the Dow (+1.2%), S&amp;P 500 (+1.2%), and Mass Retailers Index (+1.9%), all of which benefited from the growing AI hype this week.This performance seems to be partly due to the overall weakness of small caps, with the Russell 2000 clocking in (-1.7%).

Furniture/Furnishings Weekly - June 10, 2024

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>There are 3 changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-500-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22886:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P 500 INDEX</a>, 7 changes for the S&amp;P Midcap400 Index and 13 changes for the S&amp;P SmallCap600 Index at the June rebalance.</li>
<li>There is huge size to trade in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kkr-co-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27333:1" rel="noopener">KKR &amp; Co (KKR US)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/crowdstrike-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28117:1" rel="noopener">Crowdstrike Holdings (CRWD US)</a> and both stocks were up big in the after-hours market.</li>
<li>There has been positioning in some stocks recently but stocks including <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kkr-co-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27333:1" rel="noopener">KKR &amp; Co</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/rb-global-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25475:1" rel="noopener">RB Global</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/texas-pacific-land-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28693:1" rel="noopener">Texas Pacific Land</a> could see further positioning in the next week.</li>
</ul>


There are 3 changes for the S&amp;P 500 INDEX, 7 changes for the S&amp;P Midcap400 Index and 13 changes for the S&amp;P SmallCap600 Index at the June rebalance.
There is huge size to trade in KKR &amp; Co (KKR US) and Crowdstrike Holdings (CRWD US) and both stocks were up big in the after-hours market.
There has been positioning in some stocks recently but stocks including KKR &amp; Co, RB Global and Texas Pacific Land could see further positioning in the next week.


S&P500/400/600 Index Rebalance: Huge Size to Trade in a Few Stocks

United States

Leggett & Platt, Incorporated manufactures a wide range of engineered products. The Company's products include components for bedding, furniture, and other residential furnishings, as well as office and institutional furnishings components, retail store fixtures, and displays, specialty wire products, and automotive seating suspension and lumbar systems.

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Leggett & Platt (LEG US)

Furniture/Furnishings Weekly - July 1, 2024

Residential furniture stocks had a tough week over concerns about demand, though commercial furniture stocks fared better.

Water Tower Research

Furniture/Furnishings Weekly - June 24, 2024

SCS and LZB both reported strong earnings. Steelcase gained 7.2% for the week after posting strong orders and margins in 1QFY25 with adjusted EPS...

Water Tower Research

INDUSTRY REPORT - Furniture/Furnishings Weekly

The Water Tower Research Commercial/Contract Index (-1.7%), Residential Manufacturers & Suppliers Index (-2.0%), and Home Goods Retailers Index (...

Water Tower Research

Furniture/Furnishings Weekly - June 10, 2024

The WTR Commercial/Contract Furniture Index (-6.9%), Residential Manufacturers & Suppliers Index (-1.4%), and Home Goods Retailers Index (-1.3%)...

Water Tower Research

S&P500/400/600 Index Rebalance: Huge Size to Trade in a Few Stocks

KKR, Crowdstrike and GoDaddy will be added to the SP500 at the close on 21 June. There are a bunch of changes for the SP400/600 indices too. There...

Brian Freitas

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