Expert on Japan Retail and Consumer Markets, JapanConsuming

Michael Causton

Expert on Japan Retail and Consumer Markets

Real Insight on Japanese Consumer Markets

JapanConsuming

JapanConsuming is a specialist research firm producing intelligence on Japanese retail and consumer markets. Founded in 2000, JapanConsuming has become the leading provider of insights on Japanese retailers and consumer trends to retailers, brands, government agencies and investors. As well as a highly regarded monthly report on the market, JapanConsuming produces in-depth reports on retail sectors, seminars on key trends and telephone consulting to investors on trends and retailers.

JapanConsuming was founded by Michael Causton and Roy Larke. 

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Inflation remains the biggest headwind but most retail formats will see growth in 2023 with e-commerce expected to become the largest channel in the next 18 months.</li>
<li>Supermarkets are ripe for consolidation as new competitors emerge from the discount sector and online while convenience stores will consolidate further in a saturated sector.</li>
<li>Department stores will rebound further but only the leading firms will survive in a contracting sector.</li>
</ul>


Inflation remains the biggest headwind but most retail formats will see growth in 2023 with e-commerce expected to become the largest channel in the next 18 months.
Supermarkets are ripe for consolidation as new competitors emerge from the discount sector and online while convenience stores will consolidate further in a saturated sector.
Department stores will rebound further but only the leading firms will survive in a contracting sector.


Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

LG Energy Solution / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>In this note, we will take a look at the Asia Pacific IPO pipeline for 2023, specifically for India, Asia-linked ADRs, Korea, Japan and ASEAN.</li>
<li>This list has been compiled on a best effort basis from tracking the company filings and through various other sources.</li>
<li>The deals you see in this note are only a part of our full IPO pipeline tracker. Feel free to drop us a message for additional information on these IPOs.</li>
</ul>


In this note, we will take a look at the Asia Pacific IPO pipeline for 2023, specifically for India, Asia-linked ADRs, Korea, Japan and ASEAN.
This list has been compiled on a best effort basis from tracking the company filings and through various other sources.
The deals you see in this note are only a part of our full IPO pipeline tracker. Feel free to drop us a message for additional information on these IPOs.


Aequitas 2023 Asia IPO Pipeline - India, ADRs, Korea, Japan and ASEAN

Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Oshadhi Kumarasiri

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Lawson’s Q3 OP of ¥16.2bn was around 20% above consensus suggesting that the company’s profitability is starting to outperform after being held back by upfront investments on store renovations.</li>
<li>Although this is the 3rd beat in a row, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lawson-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1040:1" rel="noopener">Lawson Inc (2651 JP)</a>’s guidance has remained unchanged and the consensus OP only saw a marginal improvement.</li>
<li>After ignoring for so long, we think investors could soon start noticing Lawson’s growth prospects in China as the business there is starting to turn profitable.</li>
</ul>


Lawson’s Q3 OP of ¥16.2bn was around 20% above consensus suggesting that the company’s profitability is starting to outperform after being held back by upfront investments on store renovations.
Although this is the 3rd beat in a row, Lawson Inc (2651 JP)’s guidance has remained unchanged and the consensus OP only saw a marginal improvement.
After ignoring for so long, we think investors could soon start noticing Lawson’s growth prospects in China as the business there is starting to turn profitable.


Lawson: Underappreciated China Expansion & Expanding Domestic Profitability Warrants an Upside

<ul>
<li>Lawson introduced a new store format in Tokyo last month called Green Lawson, touting new ways to save energy and reduce waste. </li>
<li>The new store also features an early version of a retail advertising system that emulates Familymart Vision.</li>
<li>The latest updates emphasise the continued investment by the big three convenience stores to remain relevant and improve sales efficiency while also countering the labour shortage.</li>
</ul>


Lawson introduced a new store format in Tokyo last month called Green Lawson, touting new ways to save energy and reduce waste. 
The new store also features an early version of a retail advertising system that emulates Familymart Vision.
The latest updates emphasise the continued investment by the big three convenience stores to remain relevant and improve sales efficiency while also countering the labour shortage.


Alibaba Group Holding  / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs</li>
<li>On the IPO front,  things are started to cool down in to the year end with some smaller issuers still trying their luck to get listed before the year end.</li>
<li>On placements front, most of the action was in India with Australia seeing a large offering after a while.</li>
</ul>


Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs
On the IPO front,  things are started to cool down in to the year end with some smaller issuers still trying their luck to get listed before the year end.
On placements front, most of the action was in India with Australia seeing a large offering after a while.


ECM Weekly (18th Dec 2022) - China ADRs, Skymark, Daiei, Weilong, KFintech, Sula, Endeavour, Adani

Japan

LAWSON, INC. operates a chain of convenience stores in Japan. The Company sells a variety of products including fast food, beverages, snacks, magazines, newspapers, and sundry goods.

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Lawson Inc (2651 JP)

Outlook for Japanese Retail in 2023

Most Japanese retailers can look forward to a good year in 2023 but there will be challenges for formats like supermarkets where consolidation is...

Michael Causton

Aequitas 2023 Asia IPO Pipeline - India, ADRs, Korea, Japan and ASEAN

In this note, we will take a look at the Asia Pacific IPO pipeline for 2023, specifically for India, Asia-linked ADRs, Korea, Japan and ASEAN.

Sumeet Singh

Lawson: Underappreciated China Expansion & Expanding Domestic Profitability Warrants an Upside

Over the years, investors were highly appreciative of companies showing growth potential in China. However, Lawson was one of the very few...

Oshadhi Kumarasiri

Green Lawson: More Eco and Avatars

Lawson's latest ideas show the convenience store sector is not standing still but finding new ways to drive up same-store sales in the face of...

Michael Causton

ECM Weekly (18th Dec 2022) - China ADRs, Skymark, Daiei, Weilong, KFintech, Sula, Endeavour, Adani

Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.

Sumeet Singh

Price Gauge

52-week Range

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P/E

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