Japan Specialist

Mark Chadwick

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>
Good Morning Japan:  We strive to provide the best macro, stock and thematic overnight news that impacts your trading day in Japan. FOLLOW US TO KEEP ABREAST.
</li>
<li>
OVERSEAS: Stocks consolidated ahead of Jobs; UST yeild down, USD weaker; Fed's favorite inflation indicator slows; China showing COVID-19 flexibility; TESLA delivers 1st Semi Truck 
</li>
<li>
JAPAN: World Cup: Samurai Blues slay another European giant defeating Spain.  This is the news in Japan today; Foreigners are now buyers in Japan; KDDI hooks up with Starlink 
</li>
</ul>



Good Morning Japan:  We strive to provide the best macro, stock and thematic overnight news that impacts your trading day in Japan. FOLLOW US TO KEEP ABREAST.


OVERSEAS: Stocks consolidated ahead of Jobs; UST yeild down, USD weaker; Fed's favorite inflation indicator slows; China showing COVID-19 flexibility; TESLA delivers 1st Semi Truck  


JAPAN: World Cup: Samurai Blues slay another European giant defeating Spain.  This is the news in Japan today; Foreigners are now buyers in Japan; KDDI hooks up with Starlink 



Good Morning Japan | Stocks Holds Gains Head of Jobs; Samurai Blues - Giant Killers (Again !)

<ul>
<li>
Good Morning Japan:  We strive to provide the best macro, stock and thematic overnight news that impacts your trading day in Japan. FOLLOW US TO KEEP ABREAST. 
</li>
<li>
OVERSEAS: To Dog Powell confirms 50bps at the next Fed meeting;  Equities rip as it as a "no stock left behind day"; China COVID sentiment continues to improve.  </li>
<li>
JAPAN: NKY to add 1-2% today; Yen at 130/USD; Eisai says the 2 deaths not due to their drug-positive; Shippers continue to diversify-MOL goes into Real Estate. 
</li>
</ul>



Good Morning Japan:  We strive to provide the best macro, stock and thematic overnight news that impacts your trading day in Japan. FOLLOW US TO KEEP ABREAST.  


OVERSEAS: To Dog Powell confirms 50bps at the next Fed meeting;  Equities rip as it as a "no stock left behind day"; China COVID sentiment continues to improve.  

JAPAN: NKY to add 1-2% today; Yen at 130/USD; Eisai says the 2 deaths not due to their drug-positive; Shippers continue to diversify-MOL goes into Real Estate.  



Good Morning Japan | Powell: "Pace of Hikes to Moderate in Dec; Landing Plausible"; Equities Rip

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>With just over two months left in the review period, we expect three changes to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nikkei-225" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22909:1" rel="noopener">Nikkei 225 (NKY INDEX)</a> at the March rebalance.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lasertec-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4126:1" rel="noopener">Lasertec Corp (6920 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/oriental-land-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13517:1" rel="noopener">Oriental Land (4661 JP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/renesas-electronics-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15933:1" rel="noopener">Renesas Electronics (6723 JP)</a> could replace <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toyobo-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6187:1" rel="noopener">Toyobo Co Ltd (3101 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nippon-light-metal-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1485:1" rel="noopener">Nippon Light Metal (5703 JP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toho-zinc-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2796:1" rel="noopener">Toho Zinc (5707 JP)</a>.</li>
<li>As with the last rebalance, there will be a large funding trade estimated at JPY 417bn. There are many stocks with over 0.5x ADV to sell.</li>
</ul>


With just over two months left in the review period, we expect three changes to the Nikkei 225 (NKY INDEX) at the March rebalance.

Lasertec Corp (6920 JP), Oriental Land (4661 JP) and Renesas Electronics (6723 JP) could replace Toyobo Co Ltd (3101 JP), Nippon Light Metal (5703 JP) and Toho Zinc (5707 JP).
As with the last rebalance, there will be a large funding trade estimated at JPY 417bn. There are many stocks with over 0.5x ADV to sell.


Nikkei 225 Index Rebalance Preview (March): Three Potential Changes & Large Funding Trade

<ul>
<li>
 Good Morning Japan:  We strive to provide the very best breaking macro, stock and thematic overnight news that will impact your trading day in Japan. FOLLOW US to keep abreast. 
</li>
<li>OVERSEAS: SPX rallies on signs of FED hike pace slowing; Strong US retail earnings lift sentiment; China locks downs  AGAIN- Long road ahead; HP cuts 10% of workforce-PC weakness</li>
<li>WCup: Japan 2-Germany 1 ! BANZAI!  NKY Catch time.. +2% day?; Mazda splashes out ¥1.5b EVs; Toyota Dec prod plans weak; -ve Chugai's Hemlilbra on imminent approval of competing product </li>
</ul>



 Good Morning Japan:  We strive to provide the very best breaking macro, stock and thematic overnight news that will impact your trading day in Japan. FOLLOW US to keep abreast. 

OVERSEAS: SPX rallies on signs of FED hike pace slowing; Strong US retail earnings lift sentiment; China locks downs  AGAIN- Long road ahead; HP cuts 10% of workforce-PC weakness
WCup: Japan 2-Germany 1 ! BANZAI!  NKY Catch time.. +2% day?; Mazda splashes out ¥1.5b EVs; Toyota Dec prod plans weak; -ve Chugai's Hemlilbra on imminent approval of competing product 


Good Morning Japan | Dovish Fed+ Strong US Earnings = Catch up Time Japan

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

Taiwan Stock Exchange Weighted Index / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>The bear market rally that we have discussed since our Sept. 29 Int'l Compass has managed to surpass our price targets, which were YTD downtrends on the ACWX-US and EFA-US.</li>
<li>As a result of these bullish reversals and breakdowns on the US dollar (DXY) and 10-year Treasury yield, we are upgrading our outlook to neutral.</li>
<li>Buy ideas on a pullback in: Consumer Discretionary, Energy, and Technology/Tech Services</li>
</ul>


The bear market rally that we have discussed since our Sept. 29 Int'l Compass has managed to surpass our price targets, which were YTD downtrends on the ACWX-US and EFA-US.
As a result of these bullish reversals and breakdowns on the US dollar (DXY) and 10-year Treasury yield, we are upgrading our outlook to neutral.
Buy ideas on a pullback in: Consumer Discretionary, Energy, and Technology/Tech Services


Bullish Reversals Continue: TAIEX, KOSPI, AEX, Hang Seng, CSI 300. Buy Cyclicals/Growth on Pullbacks

Japan

Lasertec Corporation develops, designs, manufactures and markets photomask inspection systems to make semiconductor devices, confocal scanning laser microscopes and liquid crystal display (LCD) inspection systems.

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Lasertec Corp (6920 JP)

Good Morning Japan | Stocks Holds Gains Head of Jobs; Samurai Blues - Giant Killers (Again !)

Good Morning Japan: We strive to provide the best macro, stock and thematic overnight news that impacts your trading day in Japan. FOLLOW US TO...

Mark Chadwick

Good Morning Japan | Powell: "Pace of Hikes to Moderate in Dec; Landing Plausible"; Equities Rip

Good Morning Japan: We strive to provide the best macro, stock and thematic overnight news that impacts your trading day in Japan. FOLLOW US TO...

Mark Chadwick

Nikkei 225 Index Rebalance Preview (March): Three Potential Changes & Large Funding Trade

There should be 3 changes to the NKY in March. The potential adds have outperformed the potential deletes and there will be large pre-positions on...

Brian Freitas

Good Morning Japan | Dovish Fed+ Strong US Earnings = Catch up Time Japan

Good Morning Japan: We strive to provide the very best breaking macro, stock and thematic overnight news that will impact your trading day in...

Mark Chadwick

Bullish Reversals Continue: TAIEX, KOSPI, AEX, Hang Seng, CSI 300. Buy Cyclicals/Growth on Pullbacks

Bullish reversals: Taiwan $TAIEX, Korea $KOSPI, Netherlands' $AEX reversing YTD downtrends, while Hang Seng $HSI and China's CSI 300 are reversing...

Vermilion Research

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