External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

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Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>IT sector growth has slipped on account of first-order and second-order implications of the prevalent macros</li><li>The macro challenges are manifesting into a set of outcomes for the sector ranging from cuts in discretionary spending, delay in decision making (slower conversion from pipeline to TCV), slower deal ramp-up, to change in the propensity for price increases/volume discounts</li><li>While the resilience/opportunity in the sector is the medium-term recoil (high-single digit CC growth in FY25E following mid-single digit in FY24E), in this note we focus on the ‘near-term demand’ markers and assess the growth dispersion despite the aggregate slowdown</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

IT sector growth has slipped on account of first-order and second-order implications of the prevalent macrosThe macro challenges are manifesting into a set of outcomes for the sector ranging from cuts in discretionary spending, delay in decision making (slower conversion from pipeline to TCV), slower deal ramp-up, to change in the propensity for price increases/volume discountsWhile the resilience/opportunity in the sector is the medium-term recoil (high-single digit CC growth in FY25E following mid-single digit in FY24E), in this note we focus on the ‘near-term demand’ markers and assess the growth dispersion despite the aggregate slowdownContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Media reports indicate that the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hdfc-bank-ltd-4b6b7a92-9087-468d-9dbe-ab169e77f014" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:558:1" rel="noopener">HDFC Bank (HDFCB IN)</a> merger with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/housing-development-finance" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:252:1" rel="noopener">HDFC Limited (HDFC IN)</a> is expected to complete in 4-5 weeks.</li>
<li>There will be inclusions to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23617:1" rel="noopener">NIFTY Index</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-next-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36053:1" rel="noopener">Nifty Next 50 Index</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-bse-sensex-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31494:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P BSE SENSEX Index </a>and capping changes to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-bank-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26811:1" rel="noopener">Nifty Bank Index</a> apart from changes to global indices.</li>
<li>While the impact on the merging entities is not big, there will be fairly large flows on some stocks that are index inclusions or affected by capping changes.</li>
</ul>


Media reports indicate that the HDFC Bank (HDFCB IN) merger with HDFC Limited (HDFC IN) is expected to complete in 4-5 weeks.
There will be inclusions to the NIFTY Index, Nifty Next 50 Index and S&amp;P BSE SENSEX Index and capping changes to the Nifty Bank Index apart from changes to global indices.
While the impact on the merging entities is not big, there will be fairly large flows on some stocks that are index inclusions or affected by capping changes.


HDFC/​​​​​HDFC Bank Mega Merger Expected to Complete in a Few Weeks: Index Implications

<ul><li>Hindustan Unilever: HUL’s revenue growth of 11% YoY was below our expectations (HSIE: 15%), with volumes growing by 4% (3% four-year CAGR, HSIE 7%)</li><li>Home care continued to outperform with revenue/EBIT growth of 19/13%</li><li>BPC clocked revenue/EBIT growth of 10/10% YoY and F&amp;R grew by 3/-5% YoY</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Hindustan Unilever: HUL’s revenue growth of 11% YoY was below our expectations (HSIE: 15%), with volumes growing by 4% (3% four-year CAGR, HSIE 7%)Home care continued to outperform with revenue/EBIT growth of 19/13%BPC clocked revenue/EBIT growth of 10/10% YoY and F&amp;R grew by 3/-5% YoYContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: Hindustan Unilever, Axis Bank, Wipro, LTIMindtree

HSIE Results Daily: Hindustan Unilever, Axis Bank, Wipro, LTIMindtree,

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the names leading the race to become ADDs/DELs for the NIFTY 50 and NIFTY 100 indices in the September 2023 rebalance.</li>
<li>A couple of these names could become intra-review additions if the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/housing-development-finance" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:252:1" rel="noopener">HDFC Limited (HDFC IN)</a> - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hdfc-bank-ltd-4b6b7a92-9087-468d-9dbe-ab169e77f014" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:558:1" rel="noopener">HDFC Bank (HDFCB IN)</a> Merger closes prior to the September 2023 Rebalance.</li>
<li>Apart from that, there could be five ADDs/DELs for the NIFTY 100 index which by definition will also be added/deleted from the NIFTY Next 50 index.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we take a look at the names leading the race to become ADDs/DELs for the NIFTY 50 and NIFTY 100 indices in the September 2023 rebalance.
A couple of these names could become intra-review additions if the HDFC Limited (HDFC IN) - HDFC Bank (HDFCB IN) Merger closes prior to the September 2023 Rebalance.
Apart from that, there could be five ADDs/DELs for the NIFTY 100 index which by definition will also be added/deleted from the NIFTY Next 50 index.


Quiddity Leaderboard NIFTY Sep 23: LTIMINDTREE Could Be an Intra-Review NIFTY 50 ADD

India

LTIMindtree Limited provides information technology services and solutions. The Company offers analytics and information management, enterprise integration, applications management, cloud computing, testing, and consulting services, as well as geographical information and manufacturing execution systems. LTIMindtree serves customers worldwide.

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LTIMindtree (LTIM IN)

IT sector: Mixed signals; stay selective

The macro challenges are manifesting into a set of outcomes for the sector ranging from cuts in discretionary spending, delay in decision making

HDFC Securities

HDFC/HDFC Bank Mega Merger Expected to Complete in a Few Weeks: Index Implications

Media reports indicate that the HDFC Bank merger with HDFC Ltd is expected to complete in 4-5 weeks. There will be ad hoc inclusions to the...

Brian Freitas

HSIE Results Daily: Hindustan Unilever, Axis Bank, Wipro, LTIMindtree

Hindustan Unilever: HUL’s revenue growth of 11% YoY was below our expectations (HSIE: 15%), with volumes growing by 4% (3% four-year CAGR, HSIE 7%)

HDFC Securities

HSIE Results Daily: Hindustan Unilever, Axis Bank, Wipro, LTIMindtree,

Hindustan Unilever: HUL’s revenue growth of 11% YoY was below our expectations (HSIE: 15%), with volumes growing by 4% (3% four-year CAGR, HSIE 7%)

HDFC Securities

Quiddity Leaderboard NIFTY Sep 23: LTIMINDTREE Could Be an Intra-Review NIFTY 50 ADD

LTIMindtree is currently the highest-ranked NIFTY 50 Potential ADD and is likely to be the favourite to replace HDFC in the NIFTY 50 index if the...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

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Market Cap (USDm)

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Dividend (Yield)

IT sector: Mixed signals; stay selective

The macro challenges are manifesting into a set of outcomes for the sector ranging from cuts in discretionary spending, delay in decision making

HDFC Securities

HDFC/​​​​​HDFC Bank Mega Merger Expected to Complete in a Few Weeks: Index Implications

Media reports indicate that the HDFC Bank merger with HDFC Ltd is expected to complete in 4-5 weeks. There will be ad hoc inclusions to the...

Brian Freitas

HSIE Results Daily: Hindustan Unilever, Axis Bank, Wipro, LTIMindtree

Hindustan Unilever: HUL’s revenue growth of 11% YoY was below our expectations (HSIE: 15%), with volumes growing by 4% (3% four-year CAGR, HSIE 7%)

HDFC Securities

HSIE Results Daily: Hindustan Unilever, Axis Bank, Wipro, LTIMindtree,

Hindustan Unilever: HUL’s revenue growth of 11% YoY was below our expectations (HSIE: 15%), with volumes growing by 4% (3% four-year CAGR, HSIE 7%)

HDFC Securities

Quiddity Leaderboard NIFTY Sep 23: LTIMINDTREE Could Be an Intra-Review NIFTY 50 ADD

LTIMindtree is currently the highest-ranked NIFTY 50 Potential ADD and is likely to be the favourite to replace HDFC in the NIFTY 50 index if the...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

HDFC/HDFC Bank Mega Merger Expected to Complete in a Few Weeks: Index Implications