IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

Tata Technologies / Equity Capital Markets

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<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tata-technologies" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23700:1" rel="noopener">Tata Technologies (TATATECH IN)</a>, the largest India-based ER&amp;D (engineering research and development) service provider, is seeking to raise up to US$600 million, according to press reports.</li>
<li>In <strong><em><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/tata-technologies-ipo-the-bull-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:101409" rel="noopener">Tata Technologies IPO: The Bull Case</a></em></strong>, we highlighted the key elements of the bull case. In this note, we outline the bear case.</li>
<li>The key elements of the bear case rest on below-peer revenue growth, high contract assets, growth reliant on VinFast, mid-tier profitability, and high attrition rates.   </li>
</ul>



Tata Technologies (TATATECH IN), the largest India-based ER&amp;D (engineering research and development) service provider, is seeking to raise up to US$600 million, according to press reports.
In Tata Technologies IPO: The Bull Case, we highlighted the key elements of the bull case. In this note, we outline the bear case.
The key elements of the bear case rest on below-peer revenue growth, high contract assets, growth reliant on VinFast, mid-tier profitability, and high attrition rates.   


<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tata-technologies" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23700:1" rel="noopener">Tata Technologies (TATATECH IN)</a>, the largest India-based ER&amp;D service provider, is seeking to raise up to US$600 million, according to press reports.</li>
<li>Tata Technologies ranked first among India service providers and third globally among rated service providers for automotive ER&amp;D services, according to Zinnov.</li>
<li>The key elements of the bull case rest on its automotive leadership positioning, solid performance of the core business, high repeat rates, rising margin and cash generation. </li>
</ul>



Tata Technologies (TATATECH IN), the largest India-based ER&amp;D service provider, is seeking to raise up to US$600 million, according to press reports.
Tata Technologies ranked first among India service providers and third globally among rated service providers for automotive ER&amp;D services, according to Zinnov.
The key elements of the bull case rest on its automotive leadership positioning, solid performance of the core business, high repeat rates, rising margin and cash generation. 


Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The review period for the NIFTY 100 Index ended on 31 Jan. The rebalance will be effective after the close on 30 March and the announcement will come end February.</li>
<li>Potential inclusions are <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zomato-media-pvt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28820:1" rel="noopener">Zomato (ZOMATO IN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mindtree-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7297:1" rel="noopener">Mindtree Ltd (MTCL IN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/srf-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3601:1" rel="noopener">SRF Ltd (SRF IN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/indian-railway-catering-and-tourism-corporation-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33951:1" rel="noopener">Indian Railway Catering and Tourism (IRCTC IN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tata-power-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15618:1" rel="noopener">Tata Power (TPWR IN)</a>. </li>
<li>Potential deletions are <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yes-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:767:1" rel="noopener">Yes Bank (YES IN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/indraprastha-gas-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6969:1" rel="noopener">Indraprastha Gas (IGL IN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jindal-steel-power-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6614:1" rel="noopener">Jindal Steel &amp; Power (JSP IN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aurobindo-pharma-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19974:1" rel="noopener">Aurobindo Pharma (ARBP IN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hindustan-petroleum-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19342:1" rel="noopener">Hindustan Petroleum (HPCL IN)</a>. </li>
</ul>


The review period for the NIFTY 100 Index ended on 31 Jan. The rebalance will be effective after the close on 30 March and the announcement will come end February.
Potential inclusions are Zomato (ZOMATO IN), Mindtree Ltd (MTCL IN), SRF Ltd (SRF IN), Indian Railway Catering and Tourism (IRCTC IN) and Tata Power (TPWR IN). 
Potential deletions are Yes Bank (YES IN), Indraprastha Gas (IGL IN), Jindal Steel &amp; Power (JSP IN), Aurobindo Pharma (ARBP IN) and Hindustan Petroleum (HPCL IN). 


NIFTY100/NIFTY NEXT50 Index Rebalance Preview: Five Potential Changes in March

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist, Trudence Capital Advisors

Pranav Bhavsar

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist

Trudence Capital Advisors

Trudence Capital Advisors Private Limited is a SEBI-registered Research Analyst, holding SEBI registration number INH000015747. Our firm is dedicated to providing independent and unbiased research on Indian mid to large-cap companies. Trudence Capital is known for its counter-consensus views, with a focus on forensic research and on-ground primary investigations. Our research approach is thorough, involving detailed analysis of accounting practices and governance, alongside extensive channel checks.

Independent & Unbiased Research

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<p>For this channel insight, we speak to industry veterans in IT Services and Real Estate with an objective to understand the changing dynamics in the Industry. Our interactions suggest challenging times ahead for IT Services and multiple sectoral dynamics at play in residential real estate.</p>
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<h3>About India Channel Insight </h3>
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<p>Our objective with India Channel Insight is to share snippets from our channel interactions that are part of our research process. These snippets emerging out of these interactions and have been aiding us to generate interesting trade ideas and have often proven to be reliable sources of qualitative alpha.</p>
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For this channel insight, we speak to industry veterans in IT Services and Real Estate with an objective to understand the changing dynamics in the Industry. Our interactions suggest challenging times ahead for IT Services and multiple sectoral dynamics at play in residential real estate.


About India Channel Insight 



Our objective with India Channel Insight is to share snippets from our channel interactions that are part of our research process. These snippets emerging out of these interactions and have been aiding us to generate interesting trade ideas and have often proven to be reliable sources of qualitative alpha.


India Channel Insight | IT Services, Real Estate

Equity L/S Analyst | Forensic Accounting | India, Yellowstone Equity

Ankit Agrawal, CFA

Equity L/S Analyst | Forensic Accounting | India

<p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/birlasoft-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14709:1" rel="noopener">Kpit Technologies (KPIT IN)</a> [KPIT Tech] announced a new employee compensation scheme to drive employee retention and engagement and to offset some of the salary cuts done to cope with the current uncertain COVID times. It shifted its ESOP's exercise price determination from market-driven pricing to fixed pricing at face value (or more as determined by the Nomination &amp; Remuneration Committee [NRC]). This policy change is currently under the voting process and will be valid only if it receives a 3/4th majority approval from the shareholders.</p>
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<p>Below we provide a detailed analysis of the new ESOP policy by comparing it with that of the peer companies and by quantifying its potential impact on future earnings and cash flow. <strong>Historically, institutional investors have not perceived issuance of ESOPs at face value favorably. However, our analysis suggests that in this case, the policy change is pertinent and prudent as well as earnings and cash-flow accretive.</strong></p>
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<p><strong>Insight Flow:</strong></p>
<ul>
<li>New vs Old Policy and Comparison to Peers</li>
<li>Rationale for New ESOP Policy</li>
<li>Economic and Accounting Impact of the Change</li>
<li>Voting Process</li>
<li>Conclusion</li>
</ul>

Kpit Technologies (KPIT IN) [KPIT Tech] announced a new employee compensation scheme to drive employee retention and engagement and to offset some of the salary cuts done to cope with the current uncertain COVID times. It shifted its ESOP's exercise price determination from market-driven pricing to fixed pricing at face value (or more as determined by the Nomination &amp; Remuneration Committee [NRC]). This policy change is currently under the voting process and will be valid only if it receives a 3/4th majority approval from the shareholders.

Below we provide a detailed analysis of the new ESOP policy by comparing it with that of the peer companies and by quantifying its potential impact on future earnings and cash flow. Historically, institutional investors have not perceived issuance of ESOPs at face value favorably. However, our analysis suggests that in this case, the policy change is pertinent and prudent as well as earnings and cash-flow accretive.

Insight Flow:

New vs Old Policy and Comparison to Peers
Rationale for New ESOP Policy
Economic and Accounting Impact of the Change
Voting Process
Conclusion


KPIT Tech: Analysis and Impact of the New Compensation Scheme

India

L&T Technology Services Limited operates as an engineering services company. The Company offers design and development solutions throughout the entire product development chain for various industries, including industrial products, consumer electronics, medical devices, telecommunications, automotive, aerospace, trucks and off-highway vehicles, and process engineering.

L&T Technology Services Limited (LTTS IN)

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L&T Technology Services Limited (LTTS IN)

Tata Technologies IPO: The Bear Case

The key elements of the bear case rest on below-peer revenue growth, high contract assets, growth reliant on VinFast, mid-tier profitability, and...

Arun George

Tata Technologies IPO: The Bull Case

The key elements of the bull case rest on its automotive leadership positioning, solid performance of the core business, high repeat rates, rising...

Arun George

NIFTY100/NIFTY NEXT50 Index Rebalance Preview: Five Potential Changes in March

There could be 5 changes to the NIFTY100 Index at the March rebalance. Plus there will be 2 migrations between the NIFTY and NIFTY NEXT50 indices....

Brian Freitas

India Channel Insight | IT Services, Real Estate

Our interactions suggest challenging times ahead for IT Services and multiple sectoral dynamics at play in residential real estate.

Pranav Bhavsar

KPIT Tech: Analysis and Impact of the New Compensation Scheme

Kpit Technologies (KPIT IN) [KPIT Tech] announced a new employee compensation scheme to drive employee retention and engagement and to offset some...

Ankit Agrawal, CFA

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