Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

iShares MSCI Emerging Markets / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>In our prior EM Strategy (October 2) we discussed that as long as EEM-US is above our important line-in-the-sand at $37, we were buyers on the pullback.</li>
<li>This support level held and EEM-US now displays a bullish 3-month downtrend reversal as the DXY appears to be breaking below $105.70, all bullish signals signaling additional upside-- buy.</li>
<li>We are bullish as long as $36.50-$37 support holds on EEM-US. Our first target is $42, which is 1.5+ year resistance. Remain overweight India, and we're upgrading Poland/Greece to overweight</li>
</ul>


In our prior EM Strategy (October 2) we discussed that as long as EEM-US is above our important line-in-the-sand at $37, we were buyers on the pullback.
This support level held and EEM-US now displays a bullish 3-month downtrend reversal as the DXY appears to be breaking below $105.70, all bullish signals signaling additional upside-- buy.
We are bullish as long as $36.50-$37 support holds on EEM-US. Our first target is $42, which is 1.5+ year resistance. Remain overweight India, and we're upgrading Poland/Greece to overweight


MSCI EM Index Reversing 3-Month Downtrend -- Buy. Remain Overweight India, Upgrading Poland & Greece

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist, Trudence Capital Advisors

Pranav Bhavsar

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist

Trudence Capital Advisors

Trudence Capital Advisors Private Limited is a SEBI-registered Research Analyst, holding SEBI registration number INH000015747. Our firm is dedicated to providing independent and unbiased research on Indian mid to large-cap companies. Trudence Capital is known for its counter-consensus views, with a focus on forensic research and on-ground primary investigations. Our research approach is thorough, involving detailed analysis of accounting practices and governance, alongside extensive channel checks.

Independent & Unbiased Research

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>While the earnings season continues, this will be the final dedicated earnings edition.</li>
<li>For reference, the previous earnings editions are <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/week-8-namaste-india-earnings-edition-part-i" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:115688" rel="noopener">[Week 8] Namaste India 🙏 | Earnings Edition - Part I</a> &amp; <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/week-9-namaste-india-earnings-edition-part-ii" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:116224" rel="noopener">[Week 9] Namaste India 🙏 | Earnings Edition - Part II</a> </li>
<li>At the bottom, we provide a consolidated view of all earnings (~ 50) tracked so far and we would be happy to engage in discussions on any of them.</li>
</ul>


While the earnings season continues, this will be the final dedicated earnings edition.
For reference, the previous earnings editions are [Week 8] Namaste India 🙏 | Earnings Edition - Part I &amp; [Week 9] Namaste India 🙏 | Earnings Edition - Part II 
At the bottom, we provide a consolidated view of all earnings (~ 50) tracked so far and we would be happy to engage in discussions on any of them.


[Week 10] Namaste India 🙏 | Earnings Edition - Final Part

<ul>
<li>Our earnings coverage continues for the second edition and is expected to continue for one more week.</li>
<li>At the bottom, we provide a consolidated view of all earnings tracked so far (Bullish / Bearish) and would be happy to engage on any of them.</li>
<li>We also highlight the earnings of some of the global companies that have significant operations or growth in India.</li>
</ul>


Our earnings coverage continues for the second edition and is expected to continue for one more week.
At the bottom, we provide a consolidated view of all earnings tracked so far (Bullish / Bearish) and would be happy to engage on any of them.
We also highlight the earnings of some of the global companies that have significant operations or growth in India.


[Week 9] Namaste India 🙏 | Earnings Edition - Part II

<ul>
<li>We remain constructive on global equities as long as the MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US) holds above major support at $90.50-91.50.</li>
<li>We continue to monitor for whether ACWI-US and EEM-US break supports at $90.50-91.50 and $37, or if broken indexes (EURO STOXX 50, MSCI ACWI ex-US, EAFE) can reclaim supports.</li>
<li>Neither has happened yet, so we remain in wait-and-see mode. We are downgrading non-US small-caps to market weight. Non-US Value remains leadership -- remain overweight/buys in Financials and Communications</li>
</ul>


We remain constructive on global equities as long as the MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US) holds above major support at $90.50-91.50.
We continue to monitor for whether ACWI-US and EEM-US break supports at $90.50-91.50 and $37, or if broken indexes (EURO STOXX 50, MSCI ACWI ex-US, EAFE) can reclaim supports.
Neither has happened yet, so we remain in wait-and-see mode. We are downgrading non-US small-caps to market weight. Non-US Value remains leadership -- remain overweight/buys in Financials and Communications


MSCI ACWI, MSCI EM Still Above Supports; Buys in Global Value - Financials and Communications

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the names leading the race to become ADDs/DELs for the BSE SENSEX, 100, 200, and 500 Indices in the December 2022 Rebalance.</li>
<li>The reference period for the trading data used for the index selection ends on 31st October 2022.</li>
<li>At present, I see one change for SENSEX, three changes for BSE 100, and six changes for BSE 200. </li>
</ul>


In this insight, we take a look at the names leading the race to become ADDs/DELs for the BSE SENSEX, 100, 200, and 500 Indices in the December 2022 Rebalance.
The reference period for the trading data used for the index selection ends on 31st October 2022.
At present, I see one change for SENSEX, three changes for BSE 100, and six changes for BSE 200. 


S&P BSE/Sensex Quiddity Leaderboard Dec 22: Adani Names with F&O Question Marks Still in the Race

India

L&T Finance Holdings Limited is a financial holding company. The Company offers a diverse range of financial products and services across the corporate, retail, and infrastructure finance sectors, as well as fund products and investment services.

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L&T Finance Holdings (LTFH IN)

MSCI EM Index Reversing 3-Month Downtrend -- Buy. Remain Overweight India, Upgrading Poland & Greece

In our prior EM Strategy (10/2/23) we discussed that, if $EEM is above $37, we were buyers on the pullback. Support held and now EEM displays a...

Vermilion Research

[Week 10] Namaste India 🙏 | Earnings Edition - Final Part

This Insight is the final dedicated earnings edition, providing a consolidated view of all earnings tracked so far. At the end we also provide...

Pranav Bhavsar

[Week 9] Namaste India 🙏 | Earnings Edition - Part II

Deviation from the normal weekly, this insight continues to focus on earnings coverage with a consolidated view of tracked earnings and focus on...

Pranav Bhavsar

MSCI ACWI, MSCI EM Still Above Supports; Buys in Global Value - Financials and Communications

MSCI $ACWI, MSCI EM $EEM Still Above Supports at $90.50-$91.50 and $37, though being tested today. Meanwhile, broken indexes (EURO $STOXX 50,...

Vermilion Research

S&P BSE/Sensex Quiddity Leaderboard Dec 22: Adani Names with F&O Question Marks Still in the Race

Tata Motors could be a SENSEX ADD while Dr Reddy's could be a SENSEX DEL. There are multiple ADANI names with no derivative market linkage with...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

MSCI EM Index Reversing 3-Month Downtrend -- Buy. Remain Overweight India, Upgrading Poland & Greece

In our prior EM Strategy (10/2/23) we discussed that, if $EEM is above $37, we were buyers on the pullback. Support held and now EEM displays a...

Vermilion Research

[Week 10] Namaste India 🙏 | Earnings Edition - Final Part

​This Insight is the final dedicated earnings edition, providing a consolidated view of all earnings tracked so far. At the end we also provide...

Pranav Bhavsar

[Week 9] Namaste India 🙏 | Earnings Edition - Part II

​Deviation from the normal weekly, this insight continues to focus on earnings coverage with a consolidated view of tracked earnings and focus on...

Pranav Bhavsar

MSCI ACWI, MSCI EM Still Above Supports; Buys in Global Value - Financials and Communications

MSCI $ACWI, MSCI EM $EEM Still Above Supports at $90.50-$91.50 and $37, though being tested today. Meanwhile, broken indexes (EURO $STOXX 50,...

Vermilion Research

S&P BSE/Sensex Quiddity Leaderboard Dec 22: Adani Names with F&O Question Marks Still in the Race

Tata Motors could be a SENSEX ADD while Dr Reddy's could be a SENSEX DEL. There are multiple ADANI names with no derivative market linkage with...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

This Insight is the final dedicated earnings edition, providing a consolidated view of all earnings tracked so far. At the end we also provide...

Deviation from the normal weekly, this insight continues to focus on earnings coverage with a consolidated view of tracked earnings and focus on...