Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Douglas Research Advisory

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>After the market close on 20 May, it was reported that Blue Run Ventures (BRV) sold 204.1 billion won (US$150 million) worth of EcoPro Materials in a block deal sale. </li>
<li>The block deal sale price was 93,000 won, a 9.7% discount to the closing price on 20 May (103,000 won).</li>
<li>This block deal sale at a big discount is likely to raise overhang concerns about further block deal sales by BRV Capital in the coming years. </li>
</ul>


After the market close on 20 May, it was reported that Blue Run Ventures (BRV) sold 204.1 billion won (US$150 million) worth of EcoPro Materials in a block deal sale. 
The block deal sale price was 93,000 won, a 9.7% discount to the closing price on 20 May (103,000 won).
This block deal sale at a big discount is likely to raise overhang concerns about further block deal sales by BRV Capital in the coming years. 


Block Deal Sales of 200 Billion Won Worth of Ecopro Materials by BRV Capital

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we make comparisons between EcoPro Materials (450080 KS) and HD Hyundai Marine Solution (443060 KS) post their IPOs</li>
<li>Ecopro Materials' share price is likely to face continued weakness, especially with the potential for a major block deal sale by BRV Capital and end of the lock up period.</li>
<li>We believe that HD Hyundai Marine Solution's share price has surged above its intrinsic value. More insiders are likely to start selling HD Hyundai Marine Solution in the coming months.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we make comparisons between EcoPro Materials (450080 KS) and HD Hyundai Marine Solution (443060 KS) post their IPOs
Ecopro Materials' share price is likely to face continued weakness, especially with the potential for a major block deal sale by BRV Capital and end of the lock up period.
We believe that HD Hyundai Marine Solution's share price has surged above its intrinsic value. More insiders are likely to start selling HD Hyundai Marine Solution in the coming months.


A Comparison Between Ecopro Materials & HD Hyundai Marine Solution Post IPO

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>KOSPI 200 is a Korean blue-chip index that tracks the 200 largest and most-liquid names listed in the KOSPI section of the Korea Exchange (KRX).</li>
<li>The reference period for the June 2024 index rebal event ended recently. In this insight, we take a look at our final expected ADDs/DELs.</li>
<li><em>There has been one change to our list of expected ADDs presented in my last insight (<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/quiddity-leaderboard-kospi-200-jun-24-four-changes-likely" target="_blank" rel="noopener">link</a>).</em></li>
</ul>


KOSPI 200 is a Korean blue-chip index that tracks the 200 largest and most-liquid names listed in the KOSPI section of the Korea Exchange (KRX).
The reference period for the June 2024 index rebal event ended recently. In this insight, we take a look at our final expected ADDs/DELs.
There has been one change to our list of expected ADDs presented in my last insight (link).


Quiddity Leaderboard KOSPI 200 Jun 24: One Last-Minute Change to Rankings

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

<ul>
<li>Ssangyong C&amp;E will be excluded in June pre-delisting due to the float rate rule. Replacement will be chosen from the highest market cap existing constituents excluded in the June review.</li>
<li>Likely owing to the recent expansion of macro variables in the local market, a clear correlation between results and price impact is not observed even at the screening period's conclusion.</li>
<li>There's a chance of price impact closer to the effective date, suggesting potentially more effective basket trading. However, short instrument absence necessitates using market indices as hedges.</li>
</ul>


Ssangyong C&amp;E will be excluded in June pre-delisting due to the float rate rule. Replacement will be chosen from the highest market cap existing constituents excluded in the June review.
Likely owing to the recent expansion of macro variables in the local market, a clear correlation between results and price impact is not observed even at the screening period's conclusion.
There's a chance of price impact closer to the effective date, suggesting potentially more effective basket trading. However, short instrument absence necessitates using market indices as hedges.


Addressing Areas of Confusion Surrounding the KOSPI 200 June Rebalancing

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

<ul>
<li>With the review period complete, there could be up to 5 changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 (KOSPI2 INDEX)</a> at the June rebalance.</li>
<li>Hahn&amp;Co now own over 96% of the shares in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ssangyong-cement-industrial-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9345:1" rel="noopener">Ssangyong Cement Industrial (003410 KS)</a> and there could be another change at or before the June rebalance.</li>
<li>Passive trackers will need to trade between 0.5-15x ADV on the index changes. There are big shorts in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/l-f-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14300:1" rel="noopener">L&amp;F (066970 KS)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lotte-tour-development-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5526:1" rel="noopener">Lotte Tour Development Co, Ltd. (032350 KS)</a>. </li>
</ul>


With the review period complete, there could be up to 5 changes for the Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 (KOSPI2 INDEX) at the June rebalance.
Hahn&amp;Co now own over 96% of the shares in Ssangyong Cement Industrial (003410 KS) and there could be another change at or before the June rebalance.
Passive trackers will need to trade between 0.5-15x ADV on the index changes. There are big shorts in L&amp;F (066970 KS) and Lotte Tour Development Co, Ltd. (032350 KS). 


KOSPI200 Index Rebalance Preview: 5-6 Changes Possible from Now to June

South Korea

L&F Co., Ltd. develops and manufactures battery materials. The Company produces and sells cathode active materials, anode materials, electrolyte, separator, and other products. L&F markets its products throughout Korea.

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L&F (066970 KS)

Block Deal Sales of 200 Billion Won Worth of Ecopro Materials by BRV Capital

After the market close on 20 May, it was reported that Blue Run Ventures (BRV) sold 204.1 billion won (US$150 million) worth of EcoPro Materials in...

Douglas Kim

A Comparison Between Ecopro Materials & HD Hyundai Marine Solution Post IPO

In this insight, we make comparisons between EcoPro Materials (450080 KS) and HD Hyundai Marine Solution (443060 KS) post their IPOs

Douglas Kim

Quiddity Leaderboard KOSPI 200 Jun 24: One Last-Minute Change to Rankings

The KOSPI 200 rebal reference period is now finished. There is one change to our expectations for the June 2024 index review based on a share...

Travis Lundy

Addressing Areas of Confusion Surrounding the KOSPI 200 June Rebalancing

This post aims to provide clarity on several aspects of confusion surrounding the KOSPI 200 regular rebalancing in June.

Sanghyun Park

KOSPI200 Index Rebalance Preview: 5-6 Changes Possible from Now to June

There could be 5-6 changes for the KOSPI200 from now to June. Watch for the HD Hyundai Marine listing too. Impact is between 5-15x ADV and there...

Brian Freitas

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