Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>On 28 March, the external auditor of Kum Yang (Samil PriceWaterhouseCoopers) raised warnings about the viability of Kum Yang as a going concern. </li>
<li>The auditor also mentioned increasing probability of Chairman Ryu of Kum Yang potentially selling a portion of his shares to raise further capital.</li>
<li>It is<strong> RARE</strong> for an auditor to raise concerns about a company's viability of the entity as a going concern. This is likely to negatively impact Kum Yang's share price. </li>
</ul>


On 28 March, the external auditor of Kum Yang (Samil PriceWaterhouseCoopers) raised warnings about the viability of Kum Yang as a going concern. 
The auditor also mentioned increasing probability of Chairman Ryu of Kum Yang potentially selling a portion of his shares to raise further capital.
It is RARE for an auditor to raise concerns about a company's viability of the entity as a going concern. This is likely to negatively impact Kum Yang's share price. 


Kum Yang: Auditor Raises Flags on Viability as a Going Concern + Chairman Ryu Could Sell Shares

<ul>
<li>On 27 December, Kum Yang announced that its shares will be listed on the US stock market in the form of DRs, resulting in its shares rising by 11.7%.</li>
<li>The listing of Kum Yang ADRs is likely to have a short-term positive impact on its share price as this is likely to reduce free float of local common shares.</li>
<li>Nonetheless, over the next 6-12 months, we expect Kum Yang's share price to trade much lower (30% or more) as its shares are highly overvalued. </li>
</ul>


On 27 December, Kum Yang announced that its shares will be listed on the US stock market in the form of DRs, resulting in its shares rising by 11.7%.
The listing of Kum Yang ADRs is likely to have a short-term positive impact on its share price as this is likely to reduce free float of local common shares.
Nonetheless, over the next 6-12 months, we expect Kum Yang's share price to trade much lower (30% or more) as its shares are highly overvalued. 


Kum Yang: Announces Its Shares Will Be Listed on the US Stock Market Through ADRs

<ul>
<li>On 30 October, Kum Yang announced that it has submitted an agenda to expand the issuance limit of CB and BW to 10 trillion won.</li>
<li>This increase in the limit of CB and BW issuance to 10 trillion won would mean potential capital raise through these methods that are nearly 2x its entire market cap.</li>
<li>
<strong>Kum Yang may be trying to raise large amount of capital (several trillion won) which could result in significant dilution risk for the existing shareholders.</strong> </li>
</ul>


On 30 October, Kum Yang announced that it has submitted an agenda to expand the issuance limit of CB and BW to 10 trillion won.
This increase in the limit of CB and BW issuance to 10 trillion won would mean potential capital raise through these methods that are nearly 2x its entire market cap.

Kum Yang may be trying to raise large amount of capital (several trillion won) which could result in significant dilution risk for the existing shareholders. 


Kum Yang - Submits An Agenda to Expand Issuance Limit of CB and BW to 10 Trillion Won

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

<ul>
<li>In addition to full market cap and trading value, float-adjusted market cap will be added as a quantitative screening tool. </li>
<li>Regarding extreme price increases, KRX plans to utilize the deviation between the average daily market capitalizations for two, three, and six months leading up to the screening base date.</li>
<li>We should consider designing trading setups that target stocks with relatively low free-float rates and high price volatility in recent months.</li>
</ul>


In addition to full market cap and trading value, float-adjusted market cap will be added as a quantitative screening tool. 
Regarding extreme price increases, KRX plans to utilize the deviation between the average daily market capitalizations for two, three, and six months leading up to the screening base date.
We should consider designing trading setups that target stocks with relatively low free-float rates and high price volatility in recent months.


KRX Plans to Introduce Float Market Cap & Extreme Price Increases to KOSPI 200 Screening

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of KRX Stocks as of Apr 26th which has an aggregated holding worth USD522.3bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD843mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight foreign changes in Ecopro, Hyundai Motor, Krafton, Sk Hynix, Samsung Electronics, Hanmi Semicon.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of KRX Stocks as of Apr 26th which has an aggregated holding worth USD522.3bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD843mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight foreign changes in Ecopro, Hyundai Motor, Krafton, Sk Hynix, Samsung Electronics, Hanmi Semicon.


KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Apr 26th): Ecopro, Hyundai Motor, Krafton, Sk Hynix, Samsung Electronics

South Korea

Kum Yang Co., Ltd. specializes in manufacturing blowing agents to foam rubber products and polymers.  The Company also produces other basic fine chemicals, such as sulphur products.

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Kum Yang (001570 KS)

Kum Yang: Auditor Raises Flags on Viability as a Going Concern + Chairman Ryu Could Sell Shares

After the market close on 3 April, Kum Yang reported that Chairman Ryu sold 4.55% of the company in a block deal at a price of 106,049 won (7.3%...

Douglas Kim

Kum Yang: Announces Its Shares Will Be Listed on the US Stock Market Through ADRs

On 27 December, Kum Yang announced that its shares will be listed on the US stock market in the form of DRs, resulting in its shares rising by 11.7%.

Douglas Kim

Kum Yang - Submits An Agenda to Expand Issuance Limit of CB and BW to 10 Trillion Won

Kum Yang may be trying to raise large amount of capital which could result in significant dilution risk for the existing shareholders.

Douglas Kim

KRX Plans to Introduce Float Market Cap & Extreme Price Increases to KOSPI 200 Screening

This post details KRX's plan to introduce float-adjusted market cap and extreme price increases to screening for the KOSPI 200.

Sanghyun Park

KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Apr 26th): Ecopro, Hyundai Motor, Krafton, Sk Hynix, Samsung Electronics

We analyzed KRX foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in Ecopro, Hyundai Motor, Krafton, Sk Hynix, Samsung...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

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