Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>There are a few stocks in Korea that have outperformed/ underperformed their peers and could be added to or deleted from global passive portfolios next month.</li>
<li>There could be buying in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hyundai-rotem-company" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1554:1" rel="noopener">Hyundai Rotem</a>, while there could be selling in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kt-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1112:1" rel="noopener">KT Corp</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/celltrion-pharm-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:992:1" rel="noopener">Celltrion Pharm</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kum-yang-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10364:1" rel="noopener">Kum Yang</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hyundai-engineering-construction" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4292:1" rel="noopener">Hyundai Engineering &amp; Construction</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hyundai-steel-company" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:963:1" rel="noopener">Hyundai Steel</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cosmoam-t-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10360:1" rel="noopener">CosmoAM&amp;T</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/l-f-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14300:1" rel="noopener">L&amp;F</a>.</li>
<li>Based on our estimate of passive assets, trackers will need to trade between US$57m to US$230m of the stocks. Impact will vary between 3x-14.5x of ADV to trade.</li>
</ul>


There are a few stocks in Korea that have outperformed/ underperformed their peers and could be added to or deleted from global passive portfolios next month.
There could be buying in Hyundai Rotem, while there could be selling in KT Corp, Celltrion Pharm, Kum Yang, Hyundai Engineering &amp; Construction, Hyundai Steel, CosmoAM&amp;T and L&amp;F.
Based on our estimate of passive assets, trackers will need to trade between US$57m to US$230m of the stocks. Impact will vary between 3x-14.5x of ADV to trade.


Korea: Stocks with Potential Passive Flows in November

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/k-bank-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36073:1" rel="noopener">K Bank (279570 KS)</a> plans to raise up to US$740m in its upcoming South Korean IPO. </li>
<li>K Bank is one of three Internet-only banks in Korea. It provides a full range of commercial banking products and services.</li>
<li>In our previous note, we have looked at the company’s past performance and undertaken a peer comparison. In this note, we will talk about valuations.</li>
</ul>



K Bank (279570 KS) plans to raise up to US$740m in its upcoming South Korean IPO. 
K Bank is one of three Internet-only banks in Korea. It provides a full range of commercial banking products and services.
In our previous note, we have looked at the company’s past performance and undertaken a peer comparison. In this note, we will talk about valuations.


K Bank IPO - Should Price Below Its Range

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Douglas Research Advisory

<ul>
<li>On 26 September, the Korea Exchange announced that it is considering a "special rebalancing" of the Korea Value-Up Index in December 2024.</li>
<li>In our view, the probability of this special rebalancing occurring by the end of this year is high at about 85%+.</li>
<li>If there is a special rebalancing, KB Financial, Hana Financial, Samsung Life Insurance, SK Telecom, and KT could be considered the top candidates for inclusion. </li>
</ul>


On 26 September, the Korea Exchange announced that it is considering a "special rebalancing" of the Korea Value-Up Index in December 2024.
In our view, the probability of this special rebalancing occurring by the end of this year is high at about 85%+.
If there is a special rebalancing, KB Financial, Hana Financial, Samsung Life Insurance, SK Telecom, and KT could be considered the top candidates for inclusion. 


A Special Rebalancing Of Korea Value-Up Index Is Likely in December 2024

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/k-bank-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36073:1" rel="noopener">K Bank (279570 KS)</a> plans to raise up to US$740m in its upcoming South Korean IPO.</li>
<li>K Bank is one of three Internet-only banks in Korea. It provides a full range of commercial banking products and services.</li>
<li>In our previous note, we have looked at the company’s past performance. In this note, we will undertake a peer comparison.</li>
</ul>



K Bank (279570 KS) plans to raise up to US$740m in its upcoming South Korean IPO.
K Bank is one of three Internet-only banks in Korea. It provides a full range of commercial banking products and services.
In our previous note, we have looked at the company’s past performance. In this note, we will undertake a peer comparison.


K Bank IPO - Peer Comparison - Lags Its Main Peer on Most Fronts

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/k-bank-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36073:1" rel="noopener">K Bank (279570 KS)</a> is a Korean internet bank. It has launched an IPO to raise up to US$734 million.</li>
<li>In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/k-bank-ipo-the-bull-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:159133" rel="noopener">K Bank IPO: The Bull Case</a>, we highlighted the key elements of the bull case. In this note, we outline the bear case.</li>
<li>The bear case rests on rising competitive intensity, the smallest deposit base among Internet banks, below-peer loan book growth, and a high-risk crypto play due to the Dunamu partnership.</li>
</ul>



K Bank (279570 KS) is a Korean internet bank. It has launched an IPO to raise up to US$734 million.
In K Bank IPO: The Bull Case, we highlighted the key elements of the bull case. In this note, we outline the bear case.
The bear case rests on rising competitive intensity, the smallest deposit base among Internet banks, below-peer loan book growth, and a high-risk crypto play due to the Dunamu partnership.


South Korea

KT Corporation provides telecommunication services including local, long distance, and international calling, satellite communication, data transmission, and wireless telephone services in South Korea.  The Company also offers network portal and high-speed Internet access services using asymmetric digital subscriber lines (ADSLs).

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KT Corp (030200 KS)

Korea: Stocks with Potential Passive Flows in November

There could be 1 add and up to 7 deletes from global passive portfolios in Nov. Trackers will need to trade between US$57m to US$230m of the...

Brian Freitas

K Bank IPO - Should Price Below Its Range

K Bank (279570 KS) plans to raise up to US$740m in its upcoming South Korean IPO. In this note, we talk about the IPO valuations.

Sumeet Singh

A Special Rebalancing Of Korea Value-Up Index Is Likely in December 2024

On 26 September, the Korea Exchange announced that it is considering a "special rebalancing" of the Korea Value-Up Index in December 2024.

Douglas Kim

K Bank IPO - Peer Comparison - Lags Its Main Peer on Most Fronts

K Bank (279570 KS) plans to raise up to US$740m in its upcoming South Korean IPO. We have looked at the past performance in our earlier notes, in...

Sumeet Singh

K Bank IPO: The Bear Case

The bear case rests on rising competitive intensity, the smallest deposit base among Internet banks, below-peer loan book growth, and a high-risk...

Arun George

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)