Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We are seeing snap-back rallies in the largest global economies -- notably the U.S. and Japan, and also Europe to a lesser extent. However...</li>
<li>We're expecting to see lower highs develop at prior breakdown levels at 2690-2700 on the TOPIX and 4884 on the EURO STOXX 50, which are significant resistance levels.</li>
<li>Watching SPX resistance at 5585, or possible test of YTD highs/marginal new high, all fitting with our ongoing belief (since July 25) that ACWI-US going through 1-to 4-month pullback/consolidation.</li>
</ul>


We are seeing snap-back rallies in the largest global economies -- notably the U.S. and Japan, and also Europe to a lesser extent. However...
We're expecting to see lower highs develop at prior breakdown levels at 2690-2700 on the TOPIX and 4884 on the EURO STOXX 50, which are significant resistance levels.
Watching SPX resistance at 5585, or possible test of YTD highs/marginal new high, all fitting with our ongoing belief (since July 25) that ACWI-US going through 1-to 4-month pullback/consolidation.


MSCI ACWI Consolidation Continues; Outlook Remains Neutral; Buys Across Defensives & Other Sectors

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Douglas Research Advisory

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Our NAV analysis of SK Square suggests NAV of 15.6 trillion won or 115,605 won per share, representing 48% higher than current share price.</li>
<li>SK Square's market cap is only 39% of SK Square's stake in SK Hynix. SK Square's share price has declined by 27% since reaching its recent peak on 11 July. </li>
<li>SK Square had excellent results in 2Q 2024, driven by improving results of its affiliates including SK Hynix. </li>
</ul>


Our NAV analysis of SK Square suggests NAV of 15.6 trillion won or 115,605 won per share, representing 48% higher than current share price.
SK Square's market cap is only 39% of SK Square's stake in SK Hynix. SK Square's share price has declined by 27% since reaching its recent peak on 11 July. 
SK Square had excellent results in 2Q 2024, driven by improving results of its affiliates including SK Hynix. 


SK Square: Updated NAV Valuation Post Recent Share Price Decline

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of KRX stocks as of Aug 9th which has an aggregated holding worth USD518.5bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD1,842mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight foreign changes in Samsung Electronics (005930 KS), Sk Hynix (000660 KS).</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of KRX stocks as of Aug 9th which has an aggregated holding worth USD518.5bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD1,842mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight foreign changes in Samsung Electronics (005930 KS), Sk Hynix (000660 KS).


KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Aug 9th): Samsung Electronics, Sk Hynix

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The review period for the September rebalance ends today, the changes will be announced in the first week of September and implemented at the close of trading on 12 September.</li>
<li>There is at least one change expected for each of the Secondary Battery, Bio, Internet, Game and BBIG indices. </li>
<li>The largest flows will be in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/posco-future-m-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12421:1" rel="noopener">Posco Future M</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ecopro-bm-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27873:1" rel="noopener">Ecopro BM</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sk-biopharmaceuticals-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28966:1" rel="noopener">SK Biopharmaceuticals</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alteogen-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15886:1" rel="noopener">Alteogen</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/celltrion-inc-38a560c3-749f-4bd5-8671-c0df9cb659d7" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26893:1" rel="noopener">Celltrion</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/skc-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3970:1" rel="noopener">SKC Co</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kakao-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15002:1" rel="noopener">Kakao Corp</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/douzone-bizon-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20161:1" rel="noopener">Douzone Bizon</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/krafton-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28956:1" rel="noopener">Krafton</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/samsung-biologics-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22932:1" rel="noopener">Samsung Biologics</a>.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the September rebalance ends today, the changes will be announced in the first week of September and implemented at the close of trading on 12 September.
There is at least one change expected for each of the Secondary Battery, Bio, Internet, Game and BBIG indices. 
The largest flows will be in Posco Future M, Ecopro BM, SK Biopharmaceuticals, Alteogen, Celltrion, SKC Co, Kakao Corp, Douzone Bizon, Krafton and Samsung Biologics.


KRX New Deal Index Rebalance Preview: Potential Changes as Review Period Ends Today

<ul>
<li>Com2Us's net cash (including long-term financial investments) is 151% of its market cap. It is trading at P/B ratio of only 0.45x. </li>
<li>The company paid out 2,600 won in DPS in FY23. If we assume the same DPS, this would suggest a dividend yield of 6.7% at current price of 38,900 won. </li>
<li>Com2Us is a turnaround story. It had an operating profit of 1.2 billion won in 1Q 2024, improving from an operating loss of 13.3 billion won in 1Q 2023. </li>
</ul>


Com2Us's net cash (including long-term financial investments) is 151% of its market cap. It is trading at P/B ratio of only 0.45x. 
The company paid out 2,600 won in DPS in FY23. If we assume the same DPS, this would suggest a dividend yield of 6.7% at current price of 38,900 won. 
Com2Us is a turnaround story. It had an operating profit of 1.2 billion won in 1Q 2024, improving from an operating loss of 13.3 billion won in 1Q 2023. 


South Korea

Krafton, Inc. operates as a game development company. The Company develops console games, mobile games, computer games, and other related products. Krafton markets its products throughout South Korea.

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Krafton (259960 KS)

MSCI ACWI Consolidation Continues; Outlook Remains Neutral; Buys Across Defensives & Other Sectors

MSCI $ACWI Consolidation Continues; Outlook Remains Neutral; Snap-Back Rallies in Japan $Nikkei $TOPIX, U.S. $SPX, Europe $STOXX fits with our view...

Vermilion Research

KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Aug 9th): Samsung Electronics, Sk Hynix

We analyzed KRX foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in Samsung Electronics, Sk Hynix.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

KRX New Deal Index Rebalance Preview: Potential Changes as Review Period Ends Today

We expect at least 1 change for each of the Secondary Battery, Bio, Internet, Game and BBIG indices. Flows are pretty big on some of the stocks and...

Brian Freitas

Korea Small Cap Gem #29: Com2Us

Com2Us's net cash (including long-term financial investments) is 151% of its market cap. Com2Us is a turnaround story. It had an operating profit...

Douglas Kim

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MSCI ACWI Consolidation Continues; Outlook Remains Neutral; Buys Across Defensives & Other Sectors

MSCI $ACWI Consolidation Continues; Outlook Remains Neutral; Snap-Back Rallies in Japan $Nikkei $TOPIX, U.S. $SPX, Europe $STOXX fits with our view...

Vermilion Research

SK Square: Updated NAV Valuation Post Recent Share Price Decline

Our NAV analysis of SK Square suggests NAV of 15.6 trillion won or 115,605 won per share, representing 48% higher than current share price. The...

Douglas Kim

KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Aug 9th): Samsung Electronics, Sk Hynix

We analyzed KRX foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in Samsung Electronics, Sk Hynix.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

KRX New Deal Index Rebalance Preview: Potential Changes as Review Period Ends Today

We expect at least 1 change for each of the Secondary Battery, Bio, Internet, Game and BBIG indices. Flows are pretty big on some of the stocks and...

Brian Freitas

Korea Small Cap Gem #29: Com2Us

Com2Us's net cash (including long-term financial investments) is 151% of its market cap. Com2Us is a turnaround story. It had an operating profit...

Douglas Kim