Equity L/S Analyst | Forensic Accounting | India, Yellowstone Equity

Ankit Agrawal, CFA

Equity L/S Analyst | Forensic Accounting | India

Creating Wealth through Alpha and Compounding

Yellowstone Equity

Providing unbiased and independent research on Indian equities to global institutions and individual investors


-------------
Regulatory Disclosure: 
Note that Ankit Agrawal (Proprietor of Yellowstone Equity) is a SEBI registered Research Analyst (Registration No.: INH000007216). Registration granted by SEBI and certification from NISM in no way guarantee performance of the intermediary or provide any assurance of returns to investors. Investment in securities market are subject to market risks. Read all the related documents carefully before investing.

Research Analyst Contact Details:
Address: A-412, Shilp Aaron, Sindhu Bhavan Road, Ahmedabad, Gujarat - 380059
Email: services@yellowstoneequity.com
Mobile: +91-7575817289

Compliance/Grievance Officer:
Name: Ankit Agrawal
Email: services@yellowstoneequity.com
Mobile: +91-7575817289
-------------

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kpit-technologies-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35189:1" rel="noopener">KPIT Technologies ("KPIT")</a> reported constant currency (CC) revenue growth of 24.8% YoY in Q1FY25. Q1FY25 PAT grew 42.2% YoY, excluding one-time gains. Middleware and Architecture Consulting segment led the growth.</li>
<li>EBITDA margin continues to expand led by operating leverage. Q1FY25 EBITDA margin grew to 21.1% vs 20.7% QoQ, despite two months of ESOP costs and quarterly promotions.</li>
<li>New engagements' TCV (Total Contract Value) at $202mm in Q1FY25 significantly exceeded the $150mm+ typical run-rate. KPIT's Qorix venture received all the regulatory approvals and was restructured as 50:50 JV.</li>
</ul>



KPIT Technologies ("KPIT") reported constant currency (CC) revenue growth of 24.8% YoY in Q1FY25. Q1FY25 PAT grew 42.2% YoY, excluding one-time gains. Middleware and Architecture Consulting segment led the growth.
EBITDA margin continues to expand led by operating leverage. Q1FY25 EBITDA margin grew to 21.1% vs 20.7% QoQ, despite two months of ESOP costs and quarterly promotions.
New engagements' TCV (Total Contract Value) at $202mm in Q1FY25 significantly exceeded the $150mm+ typical run-rate. KPIT's Qorix venture received all the regulatory approvals and was restructured as 50:50 JV.


<ul>
<li>KPIT reported a strong Q4FY24 led by 5.1% QoQ revenue growth in constant currency (CC) terms. EBITDA margin came in better than expected at 20.7%.</li>
<li>Overall, in line with our projection, KPIT even beat its upgraded guidance by posting YoY revenue growth of 39%+ in CC terms vs 37%+ guided.</li>
<li>KPIT has guided for a strong FY25 with revenue guidance of 18-22% in CC terms and EBITDA margin of 20.5%+.</li>
</ul>


KPIT reported a strong Q4FY24 led by 5.1% QoQ revenue growth in constant currency (CC) terms. EBITDA margin came in better than expected at 20.7%.
Overall, in line with our projection, KPIT even beat its upgraded guidance by posting YoY revenue growth of 39%+ in CC terms vs 37%+ guided.
KPIT has guided for a strong FY25 with revenue guidance of 18-22% in CC terms and EBITDA margin of 20.5%+.


<ul>
<li>KPIT raised its full-year FY24 revenue growth guidance to 37%+ from 27-30% earlier, led by a strong Q2FY24 performance. EBITDA margin guidance has been also raised to 20%+ from 19-20%.</li>
<li>Despite wage hike impact of 250bp, EBITDA margin came in at 20%, at the upper end of the 19-20% FY24 guidance. Operating leverage and realization improvement helped offset the impact.</li>
<li>With the strong Q2 performance, we are upgrading our FY24 PAT estimate to INR 580cr+ vs INR 550cr+ earlier and FY25 PAT of INR 730cr+ vs INR 700cr+ earlier.</li>
</ul>


KPIT raised its full-year FY24 revenue growth guidance to 37%+ from 27-30% earlier, led by a strong Q2FY24 performance. EBITDA margin guidance has been also raised to 20%+ from 19-20%.
Despite wage hike impact of 250bp, EBITDA margin came in at 20%, at the upper end of the 19-20% FY24 guidance. Operating leverage and realization improvement helped offset the impact.
With the strong Q2 performance, we are upgrading our FY24 PAT estimate to INR 580cr+ vs INR 550cr+ earlier and FY25 PAT of INR 730cr+ vs INR 700cr+ earlier.


<ul>
<li>Despite upping the FY24 guidance in the prior quarter (Q2FY24), KPIT is confident of beating even the raised guidance, led by strong Q3FY24 performance and an upbeat outlook.</li>
<li>Despite accelerated revenue in H1FY24 from the Honda engagement, Q3FY24 saw robust revenue growth of 4.3% QoQ in CC terms. EBITDA margin expanded to 20.6% vs 20% QoQ. </li>
<li>KPIT's new venture, Qorix, is coming along well and could prove to be transformative. This could enable KPIT to become a product company, alongside being a high-growth service company.</li>
</ul>


Despite upping the FY24 guidance in the prior quarter (Q2FY24), KPIT is confident of beating even the raised guidance, led by strong Q3FY24 performance and an upbeat outlook.
Despite accelerated revenue in H1FY24 from the Honda engagement, Q3FY24 saw robust revenue growth of 4.3% QoQ in CC terms. EBITDA margin expanded to 20.6% vs 20% QoQ. 
KPIT's new venture, Qorix, is coming along well and could prove to be transformative. This could enable KPIT to become a product company, alongside being a high-growth service company.


KPIT: On Track to Beat the FY24 Raised Guidance

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/national-stock-exchange" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23751:1" rel="noopener">National Stock Exchange (NSEIN IN)</a> has announced a list of 45 stocks that will be added to the Futures &amp; Options (F&amp;O) segment of the market from 29 November.</li>
<li>There will be changes to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23617:1" rel="noopener">NIFTY Index</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nse-nifty-next-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36053:1" rel="noopener">NSE Nifty Next 50 Index</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-bse-sensex-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31494:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P BSE SENSEX Index</a> and the CNXIT Index over the next couple of rebalances.</li>
<li>There are some interesting situations out there, including a change to the universe for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nse-nifty-next-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36053:1" rel="noopener">NSE Nifty Next 50 Index (NIFTYJR INDEX)</a> that could lead to more changes. </li>
</ul>


The National Stock Exchange (NSEIN IN) has announced a list of 45 stocks that will be added to the Futures &amp; Options (F&amp;O) segment of the market from 29 November.
There will be changes to the NIFTY Index, NSE Nifty Next 50 Index, S&amp;P BSE SENSEX Index and the CNXIT Index over the next couple of rebalances.
There are some interesting situations out there, including a change to the universe for the NSE Nifty Next 50 Index (NIFTYJR INDEX) that could lead to more changes. 


INDIA: Index Changes Due to the 45 New Additions to the F&O Segment

India

KPIT Technologies Limited operates as a technology company. The Company specializes in embedded software, artificial intelligence, and digital solutions. KPIT Technologies serves automobile industry worldwide.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

KPIT Technologies (KPITTECH IN)

KPIT: Stellar Performance Yet Again

KPIT has been consistently reporting strong growth. Q1FY25 was no exception. With KPIT at the heart of the technology disruption in the automotive...

Ankit Agrawal, CFA

KPIT: Stellar Growth Continues

KPIT continues to post stellar growth on the back of robust demand environment led by big shift in technology upgradation in the automotive...

Ankit Agrawal, CFA

KPIT: Raises Its Full-Year FY24 Guidance

Post the strong Q2FY24 performance, KPIT has upgraded its FY24 revenue growth guidance to 37%+ YoY vs 27-30% earlier. EBITDA margin guidance has...

Ankit Agrawal, CFA

KPIT: On Track to Beat the FY24 Raised Guidance

KPIT reported a strong Q3FY24 and is on track to beat even its upgraded FY24 guidance. Its new initiative, Qorix, is progressing well and holds...

Ankit Agrawal, CFA

INDIA: Index Changes Due to the 45 New Additions to the F&O Segment

NSE has announced 45 new stocks will be added to F&O on 29 November. That leads to a lot of change for indices that have F&O membership as a...

Brian Freitas

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)