Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/posco-dx-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5198:1" rel="noopener">Posco DX (022100 KS)</a> has applied to the KRX for a transfer from the KOSDAQ market to the KOSPI market.</li>
<li>Based on history, the approval for the transfer and the listing change could take place in the next two months.</li>
<li>That means a deletion from the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kosdaq-150-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31077:1" rel="noopener">KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX)</a> and inclusion in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 (KOSPI2 INDEX)</a>. But the timeline is important. </li>
</ul>



Posco DX (022100 KS) has applied to the KRX for a transfer from the KOSDAQ market to the KOSPI market.
Based on history, the approval for the transfer and the listing change could take place in the next two months.
That means a deletion from the KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX) and inclusion in the Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 (KOSPI2 INDEX). But the timeline is important. 


POSCO DX (022100 KS): Index Impact of KOSDAQ to KOSPI Transfer

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/value-added-technologies" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9946:1" rel="noopener">Value Added Technologies (043150 KS)</a> will replace <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lutronic-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2250:1" rel="noopener">Lutronic Corp (085370 KS)</a> in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kosdaq-150-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31077:1" rel="noopener">KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX)</a> at the close on 14 September.</li>
<li>Passive trackers will need to buy over 1.5x ADV on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/value-added-technologies" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9946:1" rel="noopener">Value Added Technologies (043150 KS)</a>. The impact is higher on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lutronic-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2250:1" rel="noopener">Lutronic Corp (085370 KS)</a> but the arbs will provide liquidity.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/value-added-technologies" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9946:1" rel="noopener">Value Added Technologies (043150 KS)</a> appears to trade cheaper than its peers on all valuation parameters and there could be a re-rating following the index inclusion.</li>
</ul>



Value Added Technologies (043150 KS) will replace Lutronic Corp (085370 KS) in the KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX) at the close on 14 September.
Passive trackers will need to buy over 1.5x ADV on Value Added Technologies (043150 KS). The impact is higher on Lutronic Corp (085370 KS) but the arbs will provide liquidity.

Value Added Technologies (043150 KS) appears to trade cheaper than its peers on all valuation parameters and there could be a re-rating following the index inclusion.


KOSDAQ150 Ad Hoc Index Rebalance: VATECH (043150 KS) Replaces Lutronic (085370 KS)

<ul>
<li>The changes at the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nikkei-225" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22909:1" rel="noopener">Nikkei 225</a> September rebalance were announced on 4 September. The rebalance of the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-hang-seng-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22899:1" rel="noopener">HSI</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-china-enterprises-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22900:1" rel="noopener">HSCEI</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-tech-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31367:1" rel="noopener">HSTECH</a> and HSCI was implemented on the same day.</li>
<li>The changes to the MVIS indices were announced on 8 September and will be implemented at the close on 15 September. The S&amp;P/ASX family will also rebalance on 15 September.</li>
<li>After a month and a half of big inflows to onshore China ETFs, there were small outflows from a lot of ETFs during the week.</li>
</ul>


The changes at the Nikkei 225 September rebalance were announced on 4 September. The rebalance of the HSI, HSCEI, HSTECH and HSCI was implemented on the same day.
The changes to the MVIS indices were announced on 8 September and will be implemented at the close on 15 September. The S&amp;P/ASX family will also rebalance on 15 September.
After a month and a half of big inflows to onshore China ETFs, there were small outflows from a lot of ETFs during the week.


Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: NKY, ASX, CSI300, KOSDAQ150, Yuanta ETFs, MVA, MVW, SMH

<ul>
<li>Over two-thirds of the way through the review period, we see 14 potential changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kosdaq-150-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31077:1" rel="noopener">KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX)</a> at the December rebalance.</li>
<li>There could be index changes even before the December rebalance if there are delistings and stocks migrate from the KOSDAQ Market to the KOSPI Market.</li>
<li>Momentum in Korea has been strong. The potential adds have outperformed the potential deletes over the last few months and there could be further outperformance.</li>
</ul>


Over two-thirds of the way through the review period, we see 14 potential changes for the KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX) at the December rebalance.
There could be index changes even before the December rebalance if there are delistings and stocks migrate from the KOSDAQ Market to the KOSPI Market.
Momentum in Korea has been strong. The potential adds have outperformed the potential deletes over the last few months and there could be further outperformance.


KOSDAQ150 Index Rebalance Preview: Strong Momentum Leads to Outperformance

<ul>
<li>Nearly two-thirds of the way through the review period, we see nine potential changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 (KOSPI2 INDEX)</a> at the December rebalance.</li>
<li>The potential adds are dominated by the Materials sector while the potential deletions are mainly from the Consumer Discretionary sector.</li>
<li>The impact on the potential inclusion ranges from 0.14-12 days of ADV while the impact on the potential deletions varies from 3.1-30 days of ADV.</li>
</ul>


Nearly two-thirds of the way through the review period, we see nine potential changes for the Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 (KOSPI2 INDEX) at the December rebalance.
The potential adds are dominated by the Materials sector while the potential deletions are mainly from the Consumer Discretionary sector.
The impact on the potential inclusion ranges from 0.14-12 days of ADV while the impact on the potential deletions varies from 3.1-30 days of ADV.


KOSPI200 Index Rebalance Preview: Increasing Number of Changes in December

South Korea

KOSDAQ 150 Index is a base index for futures trading to hedge risks in KOSDAQ market. Base period and base index : Jan 4, 2010, 1,000p

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KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX EQUITY)

POSCO DX (022100 KS): Index Impact of KOSDAQ to KOSPI Transfer

Posco DX could move to the KOSPI market in Nov/Dec. This will mean deletion from the KQ150 and inclusion in the KS200. Timing is dependent on KOSPI...

Brian Freitas

KOSDAQ150 Ad Hoc Index Rebalance: VATECH (043150 KS) Replaces Lutronic (085370 KS)

Value Added Tech will replace Lutronic in the KOSDAQ150 at the close on 14 September. VAT has underperformed its peers and trades at cheaper...

Brian Freitas

Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: NKY, ASX, CSI300, KOSDAQ150, Yuanta ETFs, MVA, MVW, SMH

This recap highlights Insights covering Asian index rebalances (announcements/ forecasts/ IPO Fast Entry/ M&A driven changes). We also highlight...

Brian Freitas

KOSDAQ150 Index Rebalance Preview: Strong Momentum Leads to Outperformance

There could be 14 changes for the KOSDAQ150 in Dec. There could be changes even prior to Dec due to delistings/section transfers. Momentum in Korea...

Brian Freitas

KOSPI200 Index Rebalance Preview: Increasing Number of Changes in December

Two-thirds through the review period, there could be 9 changes a side for the KOSPI200 in Dec. Most of the changes are high probability and the...

Brian Freitas

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