Chart based progressive global trading strategies, Chart Partners

Thomas Schroeder

Chart based progressive global trading strategies

Chart Partners

Chart Partners objective is to discover medium-term cycle turns and profit opportunities before they unfold, within structural trends while preserving capital with clear degrees of risk. We have real return ideas. 

Markets are dynamic and trading systems must reflect this. It is crucial to determine underlying correlations and lead-lag relationships within global markets and the impact on linked instruments. Our weekly Chartonics product gives you short-term trading strategies that can be applied within the medium and longer term macro trends that are mapped out in our strategy updates. 

Our methodology fuses global market variables and isolates drivers in trends. We specialize in FX, index trade in NY and Asia with a focus on Asian stocks. 

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Markets that have held up are now vulnerable in Asia. We expect selling to mount next week. Weakness today/tomorrow to see an uptick to short into for a bigger decline.</li>
<li>SPX big risk break below 4,250 follows previous major support breaks in NDX, RTY and more recently Europe. 4,250 is now resistance to contend with on a bounce.</li>
<li>Australia, Korea and H shares presents places to add to short exposure followed by Taiwan and India (below 16,500). We have been short NKY, HSI and STI.</li>
</ul>


Markets that have held up are now vulnerable in Asia. We expect selling to mount next week. Weakness today/tomorrow to see an uptick to short into for a bigger decline.
SPX big risk break below 4,250 follows previous major support breaks in NDX, RTY and more recently Europe. 4,250 is now resistance to contend with on a bounce.
Australia, Korea and H shares presents places to add to short exposure followed by Taiwan and India (below 16,500). We have been short NKY, HSI and STI.


Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>KRX has announced the Fast Entry inclusion of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lg-energy-solution" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33464:1" rel="noopener">LG Energy Solution (373220 KS)</a> in the KOSPI200 Index at the close on 10 March. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dongwon-f-b-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3274:1" rel="noopener">Dongwon F&amp;B (049770 KS)</a> will be deleted.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lg-energy-solution" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33464:1" rel="noopener">LG Energy Solution (373220 KS)</a>'s inclusion in the KRX Secondary Battery Index and the BBIG Index should be announced in the next few days. That will add to passive buying.</li>
<li>Local institutions have been buyers on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lg-energy-solution" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33464:1" rel="noopener">LG Energy Solution (373220 KS)</a> since listing while retail and foreign investors have been sellers. There is a biggish lock up expiry coming up.</li>
</ul>


KRX has announced the Fast Entry inclusion of LG Energy Solution (373220 KS) in the KOSPI200 Index at the close on 10 March. Dongwon F&amp;B (049770 KS) will be deleted.

LG Energy Solution (373220 KS)'s inclusion in the KRX Secondary Battery Index and the BBIG Index should be announced in the next few days. That will add to passive buying.
Local institutions have been buyers on LG Energy Solution (373220 KS) since listing while retail and foreign investors have been sellers. There is a biggish lock up expiry coming up.


KOSPI200 Index Rebalance (March): LG Energy IN; Dongwon F&B Out

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>
<strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sk-square-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35264:1" rel="noopener">SK Square (402340 KS)</a></strong> was inexpensive after its November listing. Now it's even cheaper. </li>
<li>Preceding my comments on SK Square - and <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lg-chem-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3583:1" rel="noopener">LG Chem Ltd (051910 KS)</a></strong> - are the current setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos. </li>
<li>These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity of US$1mn, and a % market capitalisation &gt;20%.</li>
</ul>



SK Square (402340 KS) was inexpensive after its November listing. Now it's even cheaper. 
Preceding my comments on SK Square - and LG Chem Ltd (051910 KS) - are the current setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos. 
These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity of US$1mn, and a % market capitalisation &gt;20%.


StubWorld: SK Square And LG Chem's Unjustified NAV Discounts

<ul>
<li>The review period for the KRX New Deal indices ended on 31 January. The changes will be announced toward the end of February and implemented on 10 March.</li>
<li>We expect <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lg-energy-solution" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33464:1" rel="noopener">LG Energy Solution (373220 KS)</a> to be included in the Battery and BBIG indices, while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kakao-pay-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29675:1" rel="noopener">Kakao Pay (377300 KS)</a> should be added to the Internet Index.</li>
<li>The largest selling is expected to be on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/douzone-bizon-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20161:1" rel="noopener">Douzone Bizon (012510 KS)</a> due to a potential downweight in the Internet index and a deletion from the BBIG index.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the KRX New Deal indices ended on 31 January. The changes will be announced toward the end of February and implemented on 10 March.
We expect LG Energy Solution (373220 KS) to be included in the Battery and BBIG indices, while Kakao Pay (377300 KS) should be added to the Internet Index.
The largest selling is expected to be on Douzone Bizon (012510 KS) due to a potential downweight in the Internet index and a deletion from the BBIG index.


KRX New Deal Index Rebalance Preview (March): More Flow for LG Energy

Founder/CEO of ROK Advisory, ROK Advisory LLC

Ken S. Kim

Founder/CEO of ROK Advisory

ROK Advisory LLC

ROK is an independent research advisory firm. We guide you to minimize the information gap between foreign and local investors in Northeast Asia with a focus in Korea, Taiwan and Japan.

Independent Research Advisory Firm

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/samsung-electronics-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:191:1" rel="noopener">Samsung Electronics (005930 KS)</a> was rather stingy with their capital returns after a stellar 2021</li>
<li>The longer term capital commitment plan of its 2 largest holdings gives a higher indication that M&amp;A should be coming</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lg-energy-solution" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33464:1" rel="noopener">LG Energy Solution (373220 KS)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/samsung-electronics-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:191:1" rel="noopener">Samsung Electronics (005930 KS)</a> account for nearly 30% of KOSPI weight.  Talk about big fish small puddle</li>
</ul>



Samsung Electronics (005930 KS) was rather stingy with their capital returns after a stellar 2021
The longer term capital commitment plan of its 2 largest holdings gives a higher indication that M&amp;A should be coming

LG Energy Solution (373220 KS) and Samsung Electronics (005930 KS) account for nearly 30% of KOSPI weight.  Talk about big fish small puddle


Will Samsung Get EV Envy from LG Energy Solution Listing?

South Korea

The KOSPI 200 Index is a capitalization-weighted index of 200 Korean stocks which make up 93% of the total market value of the Korea Stock Exchange. The index was developed with a base value of 100 as of January 3, 1990.

Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 (KOSPI2 INDEX EQUITY)

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Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 (KOSPI2 INDEX EQUITY)

Where to Add to Shorts in Asia

Markets that have held up are now vulnerable in Asia. We expect selling to mount next week. Weakness today/tomorrow to see an uptick to short into...

Thomas Schroeder

KOSPI200 Index Rebalance (March): LG Energy IN; Dongwon F&B Out

LG Energy will be added to the KOSPI200 Index at the close on 10 March, while Dongwon F&B will be deleted. There will be a large KOSPI200 basket...

Brian Freitas

StubWorld: SK Square And LG Chem's Unjustified NAV Discounts

Wide discounts in Korea are not uncommon. But SK Square has a strong parent/sub relationship. The holding in Hynix is worth 243% and 72% of SK...

David Blennerhassett

KRX New Deal Index Rebalance Preview (March): More Flow for LG Energy

There are many changes to the KRX New Deal indices at the March rebal. The largest inflow is on LG Energy. The largest buying impact is on...

Brian Freitas

Will Samsung Get EV Envy from LG Energy Solution Listing?

Does LG Energy Solution listing force Samsung Electronics to make a M&A decision sooner versus later? Lot of ego at stake and Samsung did say at...

Ken S. Kim

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)