Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>90% of the way through the review period of the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">Kospi 200 Index</a> December rebalance, we see two potential changes to the index. There is another potential inclusion failing liquidity.</li>
<li>This rebalance is expected to have the lowest turnover as compared to any of the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">Kospi 200 Index</a> rebalances over the last few years. Partly lower markets, partly no IPOs.</li>
<li>That said, passive trackers are estimated to need to trade over 10 days of ADV on one of the potential adds and both potential deletes.</li>
</ul>


90% of the way through the review period of the Kospi 200 Index December rebalance, we see two potential changes to the index. There is another potential inclusion failing liquidity.
This rebalance is expected to have the lowest turnover as compared to any of the Kospi 200 Index rebalances over the last few years. Partly lower markets, partly no IPOs.
That said, passive trackers are estimated to need to trade over 10 days of ADV on one of the potential adds and both potential deletes.


KOSPI200 Index Rebalance Preview: Few Changes, Big Impact

Chart based progressive global trading strategies, Chart Partners

Thomas Schroeder

Chart based progressive global trading strategies

Chart Partners

Chart Partners objective is to discover medium-term cycle turns and profit opportunities before they unfold, within structural trends while preserving capital with clear degrees of risk. We have real return ideas. 

Markets are dynamic and trading systems must reflect this. It is crucial to determine underlying correlations and lead-lag relationships within global markets and the impact on linked instruments. Our weekly Chartonics product gives you short-term trading strategies that can be applied within the medium and longer term macro trends that are mapped out in our strategy updates. 

Our methodology fuses global market variables and isolates drivers in trends. We specialize in FX, index trade in NY and Asia with a focus on Asian stocks. 

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Our top short bets in Asia (HSI, Taiwan, Korea) show risk of breaking to new lows. The RTY breaks gives the bear trade another leg down.</li>
<li>Our relative perform longs (STI and SET 50) are due to drift to support but holding up well. USD is breaking to new highs with momentum.</li>
<li>Asian markets that have held up are now at risk of late-stage capitulation - ASX, Nifty and NKY.</li>
</ul>


Our top short bets in Asia (HSI, Taiwan, Korea) show risk of breaking to new lows. The RTY breaks gives the bear trade another leg down.
Our relative perform longs (STI and SET 50) are due to drift to support but holding up well. USD is breaking to new highs with momentum.
Asian markets that have held up are now at risk of late-stage capitulation - ASX, Nifty and NKY.


<ul>
<li>The KRX announced the changes to the KRX New Deal indices post market close on Friday. But the changes were not made public and are only available to subscribers.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/intellian-technologies-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34895:1" rel="noopener">Intellian Technologies (189300)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/seojin-system-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24032:1" rel="noopener">Seojin System (178320)</a> replace <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/danal-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19682:1" rel="noopener">Danal (064260)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kcp-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16045:1" rel="noopener">Kcp (060250)</a> in the Internet Index, while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kmw-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2834:1" rel="noopener">KMW Co Ltd (032500 KS)</a> replaces <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/afreecatv-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20163:1" rel="noopener">AfreecaTV (067160 KS)</a> in BBIG.</li>
<li>Since we published our last forecast on 21 July, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kmw-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2834:1" rel="noopener">KMW Co Ltd (032500 KS)</a> is up 12% while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/afreecatv-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20163:1" rel="noopener">AfreecaTV (067160 KS)</a> has dropped 17%.</li>
</ul>


The KRX announced the changes to the KRX New Deal indices post market close on Friday. But the changes were not made public and are only available to subscribers.

Intellian Technologies (189300) and Seojin System (178320) replace Danal (064260) and Kcp (060250) in the Internet Index, while KMW Co Ltd (032500 KS) replaces AfreecaTV (067160 KS) in BBIG.
Since we published our last forecast on 21 July, KMW Co Ltd (032500 KS) is up 12% while AfreecaTV (067160 KS) has dropped 17%.


KRX New Deal Index Rebalance: All Forecasts Right as KMW Soars and AfreecaTV Drops

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lx-semicon-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20670:1" rel="noopener">LX Semicon (108320 KS)</a> is looking to transfer from the KOSDAQ market to the KOSPI market. Shareholder meeting is 23 September and the transfer will happen soon after if approved.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lx-semicon-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20670:1" rel="noopener">LX Semicon (108320 KS)</a> will be deleted from the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kosdaq-150-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31077:1" rel="noopener">KOSDAQ 150 Index</a> on the suspension date. There is zero chance of the stock being included in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">Kospi 200 Index</a>.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nextin-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36097:1" rel="noopener">Nextin (348210 KS)</a> is a high probability inclusion to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kosdaq-150-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31077:1" rel="noopener">KOSDAQ 150 Index</a> in December but could be an early inclusion in  September to replace <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lx-semicon-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20670:1" rel="noopener">LX Semicon (108320 KS)</a>.</li>
</ul>



LX Semicon (108320 KS) is looking to transfer from the KOSDAQ market to the KOSPI market. Shareholder meeting is 23 September and the transfer will happen soon after if approved.

LX Semicon (108320 KS) will be deleted from the KOSDAQ 150 Index on the suspension date. There is zero chance of the stock being included in the Kospi 200 Index.

Nextin (348210 KS) is a high probability inclusion to the KOSDAQ 150 Index in December but could be an early inclusion in  September to replace LX Semicon (108320 KS).


LX Semicon (108320 KS) - Section Change, Index Flow and KOSDAQ150 Replacement

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vidente-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10357:1" rel="noopener">Vidente (121800 KS)</a> has not submitted its semiannual reports and has been labeled as an 'Administrative Issue'. This means deletion from the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kosdaq-150-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31077:1" rel="noopener">KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX)</a> on 19 August.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hancom-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13366:1" rel="noopener">Hancom Inc (030520 KS)</a> was the highest ranked stock to not be included in the index at the June rebalance. It will now be included in the index.</li>
<li>Passive funds will need to buy KRW 8.8bn of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hancom-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13366:1" rel="noopener">Hancom Inc (030520 KS)</a> while selling KRW 11.2bn of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vidente-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10357:1" rel="noopener">Vidente (121800 KS)</a>. </li>
</ul>



Vidente (121800 KS) has not submitted its semiannual reports and has been labeled as an 'Administrative Issue'. This means deletion from the KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX) on 19 August.

Hancom Inc (030520 KS) was the highest ranked stock to not be included in the index at the June rebalance. It will now be included in the index.
Passive funds will need to buy KRW 8.8bn of Hancom Inc (030520 KS) while selling KRW 11.2bn of Vidente (121800 KS). 


KOSDAQ150 Ad Hoc Index Rebalance: Hancom (030520) To Replace Vidente (121800)

South Korea

The KOSPI 200 Index is a capitalization-weighted index of 200 Korean stocks which make up 93% of the total market value of the Korea Stock Exchange. The index was developed with a base value of 100 as of January 3, 1990.

Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 (KOSPI2 INDEX EQUITY)

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 (KOSPI2 INDEX EQUITY)

KOSPI200 Index Rebalance Preview: Few Changes, Big Impact

There should be two changes at the December rebalance. There could be a third if the stock passes the liquidity test. Passive trackers are...

Brian Freitas

Asia Top Short Update

Our top short bets in Asia (HSI, Taiwan, Korea) show risk of breaking to new lows. The RTY breaks gives the bear trade another leg down. ASX,...

Thomas Schroeder

KRX New Deal Index Rebalance: All Forecasts Right as KMW Soars and AfreecaTV Drops

There is one change to the Game & BBIG index and two changes to the Internet index. KMW has the largest passive inflow and impact while AfreecaTV...

Brian Freitas

LX Semicon (108320 KS) - Section Change, Index Flow and KOSDAQ150 Replacement

LX Semicon is looking to move from the KOSDAQ to KOSPI market - this will lead to KOSDAQ150 deletion and no chance at KOSPI200 inclusion. Nextin...

Brian Freitas

KOSDAQ150 Ad Hoc Index Rebalance: Hancom (030520) To Replace Vidente (121800)

Vidente has been designated as an 'Administrative Issue' and will be deleted from the KOSDAQ150. Hancom will be added to the index and passive...

Brian Freitas

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)