Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Event-Driven

The Korea Exchange (KRX) will announce the results of the December 2021 review of the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kosdaq-150-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31077:1" rel="noopener">KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX)</a> in November. The constituent changes will be effective after the close of trading on 9 December.At the current time we see 12 potential changes to the index in December.The potential inclusions are <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/eubiologics-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23739:1" rel="noopener">Eubiologics (206650 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nanos-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16796:1" rel="noopener">Nanos Co Ltd (151910 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/huons-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16275:1" rel="noopener">Huons Co Ltd (084110 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/access-bio-inc-kdr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5729:1" rel="noopener">Access Bio Inc (950130 KS)</a>, Cellid (299660 KS), <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kona-i-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19695:1" rel="noopener">Kona I Co Ltd (052400 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wonik-qnc-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6828:1" rel="noopener">Wonik Qnc Corp (074600 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dk-d-i-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9948:1" rel="noopener">Dk D&amp;I Co Ltd (033310 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/komico-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24033:1" rel="noopener">KoMiCo Ltd. (183300 KS)</a>, PSK Inc (319660 KS), <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aptc-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27355:1" rel="noopener">APTC Co Ltd (089970 KS)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tk-chemical-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13428:1" rel="noopener">Tk Chemical (104480 KS)</a>.The potential deletions are <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/daea-ti-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1473:1" rel="noopener">Daea Ti Co Ltd (045390 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/advanced-process-systems-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24087:1" rel="noopener">Advanced Process Systems (265520 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/telcon-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15231:1" rel="noopener">Telcon Inc (200230 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/winix-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19972:1" rel="noopener">Winix Inc (044340 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/icure-pharm-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27142:1" rel="noopener">Icure Pharm Inc (175250 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ubiquoss-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14341:1" rel="noopener">Ubiquoss Holding (078070 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/danawa-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7191:1" rel="noopener">Danawa Co Ltd (119860 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wisol-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14463:1" rel="noopener">Wisol Co Ltd (122990 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/spigen-korea-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9852:1" rel="noopener">Spigen Korea (192440 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dongkuk-structures-constru" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20412:1" rel="noopener">Dongkuk Structures &amp; Constru (100130 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/g-treebnt-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1933:1" rel="noopener">G Treebnt (115450 KS)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lemon-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28841:1" rel="noopener">Lemon Co Ltd (294140 KQ)</a>.There are a few potential inclusions that will have over 2 days of ADV to buy from passive funds, while the impact on the potential deletions is a lot higher.Short interest on the stocks is minimal though it has been increasing on a few of the potential deletions.

The Korea Exchange (KRX) will announce the results of the December 2021 review of the KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX) in November. The constituent changes will be effective after the close of trading on 9 December.At the current time we see 12 potential changes to the index in December.The potential inclusions are Eubiologics (206650 KS), Nanos Co Ltd (151910 KS), Huons Co Ltd (084110 KS), Access Bio Inc (950130 KS), Cellid (299660 KS), Kona I Co Ltd (052400 KS), Wonik Qnc Corp (074600 KS), Dk D&amp;I Co Ltd (033310 KS), KoMiCo Ltd. (183300 KS), PSK Inc (319660 KS), APTC Co Ltd (089970 KS) and Tk Chemical (104480 KS).The potential deletions are Daea Ti Co Ltd (045390 KS), Advanced Process Systems (265520 KS), Telcon Inc (200230 KS), Winix Inc (044340 KS), Icure Pharm Inc (175250 KS), Ubiquoss Holding (078070 KS), Danawa Co Ltd (119860 KS), Wisol Co Ltd (122990 KS), Spigen Korea (192440 KS), Dongkuk Structures &amp; Constru (100130 KS), G Treebnt (115450 KS) and Lemon Co Ltd (294140 KQ).There are a few potential inclusions that will have over 2 days of ADV to buy from passive funds, while the impact on the potential deletions is a lot higher.Short interest on the stocks is minimal though it has been increasing on a few of the potential deletions.

KOSDAQ150 Index Rebalance Preview: Lots of Changes Early in the Review Period

The Korea Exchange (KRX) will announce the results of the December 2021 review of the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">Korea Stock Exchange Kospi 200 Index (KOSPI2 INDEX)</a> in November. The constituent changes will be effective after the close of trading on 9 December.There could be a change at the September futures expiry with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sd-biosensor-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33333:1" rel="noopener">SD Biosensor (SDBIOZ KS)</a> getting Fast Entry into the index. We see <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lock-lock-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4739:1" rel="noopener">Lock&amp;Lock (115390 KS)</a> as a potential deletion to make way for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sd-biosensor-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33333:1" rel="noopener">SD Biosensor (SDBIOZ KS)</a>. At the current time, we see 3 potential changes at the regular review in December with F&amp;F Co (383220 KS), <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sl-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20694:1" rel="noopener">Sl Corp (005850 KS)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/seah-besteel-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11760:1" rel="noopener">Seah Besteel (001430 KS)</a> replacing <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/samyang-foods-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9100:1" rel="noopener">Samyang Foods (003230 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/f-f-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15983:1" rel="noopener">F&amp;F Co Ltd (007700 KS)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jw-pharmaceutical-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18784:1" rel="noopener">Jw Pharmaceutical (001060 KS)</a>. These names could change over the next few months and their prices (and the prices of the other stocks) move around.After the 100%+ returns in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">Korea Stock Exchange Kospi 200 Index (KOSPI2 INDEX)</a> June review by buying the inclusions and selling the exclusions (or the KOSPI2 index futures), there will be a lot of interest in the December review.In this Insight we look at the KOSPI 200 index methodology, the historical performance of inclusions vs exclusions, at potential candidates for inclusion/exclusion in this review and some of the details around the names.

The Korea Exchange (KRX) will announce the results of the December 2021 review of the Korea Stock Exchange Kospi 200 Index (KOSPI2 INDEX) in November. The constituent changes will be effective after the close of trading on 9 December.There could be a change at the September futures expiry with SD Biosensor (SDBIOZ KS) getting Fast Entry into the index. We see Lock&amp;Lock (115390 KS) as a potential deletion to make way for SD Biosensor (SDBIOZ KS). At the current time, we see 3 potential changes at the regular review in December with F&amp;F Co (383220 KS), Sl Corp (005850 KS) and Seah Besteel (001430 KS) replacing Samyang Foods (003230 KS), F&amp;F Co Ltd (007700 KS) and Jw Pharmaceutical (001060 KS). These names could change over the next few months and their prices (and the prices of the other stocks) move around.After the 100%+ returns in the Korea Stock Exchange Kospi 200 Index (KOSPI2 INDEX) June review by buying the inclusions and selling the exclusions (or the KOSPI2 index futures), there will be a lot of interest in the December review.In this Insight we look at the KOSPI 200 index methodology, the historical performance of inclusions vs exclusions, at potential candidates for inclusion/exclusion in this review and some of the details around the names.

KOSPI200 Index Rebalance Preview: Focus Shifts to December After a Fantastic June Review

Chart based progressive global trading strategies, Chart Partners

Thomas Schroeder

Chart based progressive global trading strategies

Chart Partners

Chart Partners objective is to discover medium-term cycle turns and profit opportunities before they unfold, within structural trends while preserving capital with clear degrees of risk. We have real return ideas. 

Markets are dynamic and trading systems must reflect this. It is crucial to determine underlying correlations and lead-lag relationships within global markets and the impact on linked instruments. Our weekly Chartonics product gives you short-term trading strategies that can be applied within the medium and longer term macro trends that are mapped out in our strategy updates. 

Our methodology fuses global market variables and isolates drivers in trends. We specialize in FX, index trade in NY and Asia with a focus on Asian stocks. 

Technical Analysis

FTSE China A50 Index / Technical Analysis

SPX 4,180 is pivot support for the US cycle and risk inflections in Europe and Asia.  Backing off of 4,205 projection with risk of profit taking ahead of the long weekend is the game plan. RTY and DJI favored shorts with NDX the stronger horse to buy a pullback.A 50 long from 16,500 and add call above 17,700 is playing out nicely and we outlined dip support ahead of reaching for the 19,000 target.Asia short conviction in Japan, Taiwan and Korea.Europe is teetering at DAX and SX5E dual highs for a break or harder pullback sequence with the later favored. DAX is already showing signs of a top failure and typically leads the Eurostoxx 50. MIB is our focus short at 25k. European banks are the sleeper short for a crowded positioning shakeout.

SPX 4,180 is pivot support for the US cycle and risk inflections in Europe and Asia.  Backing off of 4,205 projection with risk of profit taking ahead of the long weekend is the game plan. RTY and DJI favored shorts with NDX the stronger horse to buy a pullback.A 50 long from 16,500 and add call above 17,700 is playing out nicely and we outlined dip support ahead of reaching for the 19,000 target.Asia short conviction in Japan, Taiwan and Korea.Europe is teetering at DAX and SX5E dual highs for a break or harder pullback sequence with the later favored. DAX is already showing signs of a top failure and typically leads the Eurostoxx 50. MIB is our focus short at 25k. European banks are the sleeper short for a crowded positioning shakeout.

Trade Levels in Asia and the Risk Pivot in SPX

The KRX has announced the list of inclusions and exclusions to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">Korea Stock Exchange Kospi 200 Index (KOSPI2 INDEX)</a> today. The rebalance is effective after the close of trading on 10 June.There are 5 inclusions and 7 exclusions at the June 2021 review. If <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sk-ie-technology" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29207:1" rel="noopener">SK IE Technology (361610 KS)</a> meets the criteria for index Fast Entry, then <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hdc-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7699:1" rel="noopener">HDC Holdings (012630 KS)</a> will be deleted and the announcement will be made on 2 June.So, there could be a total of 6 inclusions and 8 exclusions at the review with a one-way turnover of 0.77%.The inclusions and exclusions are:<table class="table table-striped">
<colgroup>
<col>
<col>
<col>
<col>
</colgroup>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td colspan="2" style="text-align: center; width: 222pt;"><h3>Inclusions</h3></td>
<td colspan="2" style="text-align: center; width: 273pt;"><h3>Exclusions</h3></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Code</td>
<td>Name</td>
<td>Code</td>
<td>Name</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>302440.KS</td>
<td>SK Bioscience Co Ltd</td>
<td>005180.KS</td>
<td>Binggrae Co Ltd</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>006040.KS</td>
<td>Dongwon Industries Co Ltd</td>
<td>005610.KS</td>
<td>SPC Samlip Co Ltd</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>298050.KS</td>
<td>Hyosung Advanced Materials Corp</td>
<td>006390.KS</td>
<td>Hanil Hyundai Cement Co Ltd</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>298020.KS</td>
<td>Hyosung TNC Corp</td>
<td>008350.KS</td>
<td>Namsun Aluminium Co Ltd</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>361610.KS</td>
<td>SK IE Technology Co Ltd</td>
<td>009410.KS</td>
<td>Taeyoung Engineering &amp; Construction Co Ltd</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>001440.KS</td>
<td>Taihan Electric Wire Co Ltd</td>
<td>018250.KS</td>
<td>Aekyung Industrial Co Ltd</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td>145990.KS</td>
<td>Samyang Corp</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td>012630.KS</td>
<td>HDC Holdings Co Ltd</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>There are 12 trading days to implementation of the changes and there are a lot of deletions that have over 1 day of ADV to trade. The impact on the inclusions is smaller but there will be a lot of active funds looking to buy the stocks so they don't deviate too much from their benchmark.With short selling limited to the constituents of the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">Korea Stock Exchange Kospi 200 Index (KOSPI2 INDEX)</a>, shorting the inclusions will be tough while selling/shorting the deletions is a lot easier since they are current index constituents. The inclusions could outperform the deletions till a couple of days before implementation date, while there could be a high risk/reward reverse trade if the outperformance is significant.

The KRX has announced the list of inclusions and exclusions to the Korea Stock Exchange Kospi 200 Index (KOSPI2 INDEX) today. The rebalance is effective after the close of trading on 10 June.There are 5 inclusions and 7 exclusions at the June 2021 review. If SK IE Technology (361610 KS) meets the criteria for index Fast Entry, then HDC Holdings (012630 KS) will be deleted and the announcement will be made on 2 June.So, there could be a total of 6 inclusions and 8 exclusions at the review with a one-way turnover of 0.77%.The inclusions and exclusions are:








Inclusions
Exclusions


Code
Name
Code
Name


302440.KS
SK Bioscience Co Ltd
005180.KS
Binggrae Co Ltd


006040.KS
Dongwon Industries Co Ltd
005610.KS
SPC Samlip Co Ltd


298050.KS
Hyosung Advanced Materials Corp
006390.KS
Hanil Hyundai Cement Co Ltd


298020.KS
Hyosung TNC Corp
008350.KS
Namsun Aluminium Co Ltd


361610.KS
SK IE Technology Co Ltd
009410.KS
Taeyoung Engineering &amp; Construction Co Ltd


001440.KS
Taihan Electric Wire Co Ltd
018250.KS
Aekyung Industrial Co Ltd




145990.KS
Samyang Corp




012630.KS
HDC Holdings Co Ltd


There are 12 trading days to implementation of the changes and there are a lot of deletions that have over 1 day of ADV to trade. The impact on the inclusions is smaller but there will be a lot of active funds looking to buy the stocks so they don't deviate too much from their benchmark.With short selling limited to the constituents of the Korea Stock Exchange Kospi 200 Index (KOSPI2 INDEX), shorting the inclusions will be tough while selling/shorting the deletions is a lot easier since they are current index constituents. The inclusions could outperform the deletions till a couple of days before implementation date, while there could be a high risk/reward reverse trade if the outperformance is significant.

Rejection at the underside of the SPX broken wedge trendline will define the speed of the next down leg in Asia. Bear momentum below 4,150/40 would place greater odds of a harder pullback.Long bets: ASX and A50 with HSCEI next in line (for now a relative long)Short bets: Taiwan, Nikkei, Korea with India flirting with the 15k pivot. Taiwan and Nikkei are the conviction short bets to recycle while a weak bounce off of trendline makes Korea the next short target.A more volatile cycle is due in late May.

Rejection at the underside of the SPX broken wedge trendline will define the speed of the next down leg in Asia. Bear momentum below 4,150/40 would place greater odds of a harder pullback.Long bets: ASX and A50 with HSCEI next in line (for now a relative long)Short bets: Taiwan, Nikkei, Korea with India flirting with the 15k pivot. Taiwan and Nikkei are the conviction short bets to recycle while a weak bounce off of trendline makes Korea the next short target.A more volatile cycle is due in late May.

South Korea

The KOSPI 200 Index is a capitalization-weighted index of 200 Korean stocks which make up 93% of the total market value of the Korea Stock Exchange. The index was developed with a base value of 100 as of January 3, 1990.

Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 (KOSPI2 INDEX EQUITY)

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 (KOSPI2 INDEX EQUITY)

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Thomas Schroeder

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Asia Long/Short Trades

Long bets: ASX and A50 with HSCEI next in line (for now a relative long) Short bets: Taiwan, Nikkei, Korea with India flirting with the 15k pivot....

Thomas Schroeder

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

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