Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/k-bank-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36073:1" rel="noopener">K Bank (279570 KS)</a> is looking to raise up to KRW 984bn (US$738m), valuing the company at KRW 5tn (US$3.75bn) at the top end of the IPO price range.</li>
<li>Close peer <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kakaobank-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33501:1" rel="noopener">KakaoBank (323410 KS)</a> and regional peer <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sbi-sumishin-net-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34572:1" rel="noopener">SBI Sumishin Net Bank (7163 JP)</a> have been trading lower recently and the IPO could price lower than the top end.</li>
<li>The change in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">KOSPI2 INDEX</a> Fast Entry rules will leave the stock out of the index till June 2025. Inclusion in global indices will have to wait a while too.</li>
</ul>



K Bank (279570 KS) is looking to raise up to KRW 984bn (US$738m), valuing the company at KRW 5tn (US$3.75bn) at the top end of the IPO price range.
Close peer KakaoBank (323410 KS) and regional peer SBI Sumishin Net Bank (7163 JP) have been trading lower recently and the IPO could price lower than the top end.
The change in KOSPI2 INDEX Fast Entry rules will leave the stock out of the index till June 2025. Inclusion in global indices will have to wait a while too.


K Bank IPO (279570 KS): Index Inclusion Timeline

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Douglas Research Advisory

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>K Bank is the biggest IPO in Korea in 2024. The IPO price range is from 9,500 won to 12,000 won. It is offering 82 million shares in this IPO.</li>
<li>According to the bankers' valuation, the expected market cap of the company is from 4.0 trillion won to 5.0 trillion won.</li>
<li>The IPO deal size is 779 billion (US$579 million) to 984 billion won (US$732 million). </li>
</ul>


K Bank is the biggest IPO in Korea in 2024. The IPO price range is from 9,500 won to 12,000 won. It is offering 82 million shares in this IPO.
According to the bankers' valuation, the expected market cap of the company is from 4.0 trillion won to 5.0 trillion won.
The IPO deal size is 779 billion (US$579 million) to 984 billion won (US$732 million). 


K Bank IPO - The Biggest IPO in Korea in 2024

<ul>
<li>Foreign investors have continued buying <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kt-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1112:1" rel="noopener">KT Corp (030200 KS)</a> and the stock has outperformed <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sk-telecom-co-ltd-bbccd86c-474d-4a4d-946d-10e911a225a2" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:395:1" rel="noopener">SK Telecom (017670 KS)</a>, though not by a lot. </li>
<li>Foreign buying has pushed foreign room in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kt-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1112:1" rel="noopener">KT Corp (030200 KS)</a> below 3.75% and the stock could be deleted from a global index at the next rebalance.</li>
<li>There will be some interesting trading dynamics in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kt-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1112:1" rel="noopener">KT Corp (030200 KS)</a> over the next couple of months and there will be trading opportunities versus its peers.</li>
</ul>


Foreign investors have continued buying KT Corp (030200 KS) and the stock has outperformed SK Telecom (017670 KS), though not by a lot. 
Foreign buying has pushed foreign room in KT Corp (030200 KS) below 3.75% and the stock could be deleted from a global index at the next rebalance.
There will be some interesting trading dynamics in KT Corp (030200 KS) over the next couple of months and there will be trading opportunities versus its peers.


KT Corp (030200 KS): Foreign Room Drops Below Critical Level; Passive Selling to Come

<ul>
<li>The review period for the September rebalance of the KOSPI Size Indices commenced on 1 June and will end on 31 August. Only 4 trading days to go.</li>
<li>We see 7 migrations from MidCap to LargeCap, 1 new addition to LargeCap, 12 stocks moving from SmallCap to MidCap and 3 new additions to MidCap.</li>
<li>The upward migrations have underperformed the downward migrations over the last month as a few stocks have sold off hard. Some despite being included in global indices.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the September rebalance of the KOSPI Size Indices commenced on 1 June and will end on 31 August. Only 4 trading days to go.
We see 7 migrations from MidCap to LargeCap, 1 new addition to LargeCap, 12 stocks moving from SmallCap to MidCap and 3 new additions to MidCap.
The upward migrations have underperformed the downward migrations over the last month as a few stocks have sold off hard. Some despite being included in global indices.


KOSPI Size Indices: Momentum Stalls; (Some) Upward Migrations Sell-Off

<ul>
<li>With the start of the review period around the corner, there could be two changes for the FnGuide Semiconductor Top10 Index at the October rebalance.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wonik-ips-co-ltd-5d7417b7-5438-41d4-a6e4-8016d24d818a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26912:1" rel="noopener">Wonik Ips (240810 KS)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/techwing-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5735:1" rel="noopener">Techwing Inc (089030 KS)</a> are potential adds while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/isc-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13560:1" rel="noopener">ISC Co Ltd (095340 KS)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dongjin-semichem-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19607:1" rel="noopener">Dongjin Semichem (005290 KS)</a> are potential deletes.</li>
<li>Passives will need to trade more than 2x ADV on two potential changes and more than 1x ADV on another potential change.</li>
</ul>


With the start of the review period around the corner, there could be two changes for the FnGuide Semiconductor Top10 Index at the October rebalance.

Wonik Ips (240810 KS) and Techwing Inc (089030 KS) are potential adds while ISC Co Ltd (095340 KS) and Dongjin Semichem (005290 KS) are potential deletes.
Passives will need to trade more than 2x ADV on two potential changes and more than 1x ADV on another potential change.


FnGuide Semiconductor Top10 Index Rebalance Preview: Two Changes Likely in October

South Korea

The KOSPI 200 Index is a capitalization-weighted index of 200 Korean stocks which make up 93% of the total market value of the Korea Stock Exchange. The index was developed with a base value of 100 as of January 3, 1990.

Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 (KOSPI2 INDEX EQUITY)

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 (KOSPI2 INDEX EQUITY)

K Bank IPO (279570 KS): Index Inclusion Timeline

K Bank is looking to raise up to US$738m, valuing the company at US$3.75bn at the top end of the IPO range. Inclusion in the KOSPI200 and global...

Brian Freitas

K Bank IPO - The Biggest IPO in Korea in 2024

K Bank is the biggest IPO in Korea in 2024. The IPO price range is from 9,500 won to 12,000 won. It is offering 82 million shares in this IPO.

Douglas Kim

KT Corp (030200 KS): Foreign Room Drops Below Critical Level; Passive Selling to Come

KT Corp's foreign room has dropped below 3.75% and that could result in deletion from a global index in November. Foreign buying has been...

Brian Freitas

KOSPI Size Indices: Momentum Stalls; (Some) Upward Migrations Sell-Off

There could be 41 changes to the KOSPI Size Indices in September. The upward migrations have underperformed the downward migrations over the last...

Brian Freitas

FnGuide Semiconductor Top10 Index Rebalance Preview: Two Changes Likely in October

There could be two changes for the FnGuide Semiconductor Top10 Index in October. Some stocks have similar market caps and will need to be...

Brian Freitas

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)