Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Our bullish outlook (since early-November 2023) remains intact. Continue to ride this trend higher and buy dips as long as ACWI-US and EEM-US remain above supports at $110 and $41-$42.</li>
<li>In our previous Int'l Compass (June 27) we discussed the rotation that we believed was starting, whereby global Technology (IXN-US) would consolidate as investors rotate to laggard areas.</li>
<li>This rotation has continued while Technology goes through a healthy consolidation. Continue to focus on other more value-oriented Sectors while Technology/growth consolidates</li>
</ul>


Our bullish outlook (since early-November 2023) remains intact. Continue to ride this trend higher and buy dips as long as ACWI-US and EEM-US remain above supports at $110 and $41-$42.
In our previous Int'l Compass (June 27) we discussed the rotation that we believed was starting, whereby global Technology (IXN-US) would consolidate as investors rotate to laggard areas.
This rotation has continued while Technology goes through a healthy consolidation. Continue to focus on other more value-oriented Sectors while Technology/growth consolidates


Rotation Continues; Bullish Outlook Intact; Buys in Global Financials, Industrials, Discretionary

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Douglas Research Advisory

Equity Capital Markets

HD Hyundai Marine Solution  / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>HD Hyundai Marine Solution's IPO price has been determined at 83,400 won per share, which is at the high end of the IPO price range. </li>
<li>A total of 2,021 institutional investors participated in this IPO book building. The demand ratio was 201 to 1. HD Hyundai Marine Solution will start trading on 8 May 2024.</li>
<li>Our base case valuation of HD Hyundai Marine Solution is target price of 98,254 won per share, which represents an upside of 18% from the IPO price.</li>
</ul>


HD Hyundai Marine Solution's IPO price has been determined at 83,400 won per share, which is at the high end of the IPO price range. 
A total of 2,021 institutional investors participated in this IPO book building. The demand ratio was 201 to 1. HD Hyundai Marine Solution will start trading on 8 May 2024.
Our base case valuation of HD Hyundai Marine Solution is target price of 98,254 won per share, which represents an upside of 18% from the IPO price.


HD Hyundai Marine Solution: IPO Book Building Results Analysis

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Ethan Aw

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hd-hyundai-marine-solution-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:41002:1" rel="noopener">HD Hyundai Marine Solution (443060 KS)</a> had raised around US$539m in its Korean IPO, after pricing the deal at the top end of KRW83,400/share.</li>
<li>HD Hyundai Marine Solution (HMS from hereon) is a ship aftermarket service provider that provides necessary services throughout a ship's life cycle after the delivery of a new ship.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the demand for the deal and other trading dynamics.</li>
</ul>



HD Hyundai Marine Solution (443060 KS) had raised around US$539m in its Korean IPO, after pricing the deal at the top end of KRW83,400/share.
HD Hyundai Marine Solution (HMS from hereon) is a ship aftermarket service provider that provides necessary services throughout a ship's life cycle after the delivery of a new ship.
In this note, we will talk about the demand for the deal and other trading dynamics.


HD Hyundai Marine Solution IPO Trading - Strong Demand and Peers Continue to Rise

Investment Advisor, Upslope Capital Management

Upslope Capital Management

Investment Advisor

Investment advisor for Upslope Partners Fund, LP, a global long/short equity hedge fund.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>At the end of Q1, the overwhelming consensus – even among typically cautious types – was that investors needed to own stocks through at least the November election.</li><li>After all, markets are strong in election years and financial conditions should continue to improve and/or remain easier than they should be.</li><li>While dented by the recent correction, this narrative doesn’t really seem to have changed much.</li></ul>

At the end of Q1, the overwhelming consensus – even among typically cautious types – was that investors needed to own stocks through at least the November election.After all, markets are strong in election years and financial conditions should continue to improve and/or remain easier than they should be.While dented by the recent correction, this narrative doesn’t really seem to have changed much.

Upslope's Quarterly Investor Letter: Q1 2024

<ul>
<li>Our base case valuation of HD Hyundai Marine Solution is target price of 98,254 won per share, representing an 18% upside from the high end of the IPO price range.</li>
<li>The company's ROE averaged 67% in 2022 and 2023. In comparison, the comps' ROE averaged 10.6% in the same period. [HD Hyundai Marine Solution &gt; Comps]</li>
<li>Our base case valuation is based on 24.7x P/E (comps' average) using our estimated net profit of 178.7 billion won for the company in 2024. </li>
</ul>


Our base case valuation of HD Hyundai Marine Solution is target price of 98,254 won per share, representing an 18% upside from the high end of the IPO price range.
The company's ROE averaged 67% in 2022 and 2023. In comparison, the comps' ROE averaged 10.6% in the same period. [HD Hyundai Marine Solution &gt; Comps]
Our base case valuation is based on 24.7x P/E (comps' average) using our estimated net profit of 178.7 billion won for the company in 2024. 


HD Hyundai Marine Solution IPO Valuation Analysis

Norway

Kongsberg Gruppen ASA develops, manufactures and markets high-technology aerospace and defense products, as well as systems for armed forces in Norway and other countries.  The Company produces anti-ship missiles, launchers, missile control systems, weapon control systems, and maritime and air traffic surveillance systems.

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Kongsberg Gruppen (KOG NO)

Rotation Continues; Bullish Outlook Intact; Buys in Global Financials, Industrials, Discretionary

Rotation Continues; Bullish Outlook Intact as $ACWI and $EEM hold above $110 and $41-42; Buys in global Financials, Industrials, and Consumer...

Vermilion Research

HD Hyundai Marine Solution: IPO Book Building Results Analysis

On the first day of trading for the IPO of HD Hyundai Marine Solution tomorrow, we believe its shares could trade as high as 118,888 won (high end...

Douglas Kim

HD Hyundai Marine Solution IPO Trading - Strong Demand and Peers Continue to Rise

HD Hyundai Marine Solution (443060 KS) had raised around US$539m in its Korean IPO, after pricing the deal at the top end of KRW83,400/share.

Ethan Aw

Upslope's Quarterly Investor Letter: Q1 2024

At the end of Q1, the overwhelming consensus – even among typically cautious types – was that investors needed to own stocks through at least the...

Upslope Capital Management

HD Hyundai Marine Solution IPO Valuation Analysis

Our base case valuation of HD Hyundai Marine Solution is target price of 98,254 won per share, representing an 18% upside from the high end of the...

Douglas Kim

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