Japan Specialist

Mark Chadwick

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>OVERSEAS.  SPX  stays positive; Energy leads as Russia cuts oil production; CPI print in focus - as market looks for Fed Pause clues; TEREX - solid print/outlook..what Recession?</li>
<li>JAPAN. NKY Fut -0.3% vs Cash;  USDJPY 131.36; Shock at Professor Ueda as BOJ Gov; Yen rallies then weakens post his Presser;  Govt to guarantee 15% margins for Defense suppliers?</li>
<li>DAILY NUGGET. Fun take - ChatGPT on BOJ Governor to be Kazuo Ueda.</li>
</ul>


OVERSEAS.  SPX  stays positive; Energy leads as Russia cuts oil production; CPI print in focus - as market looks for Fed Pause clues; TEREX - solid print/outlook..what Recession?
JAPAN. NKY Fut -0.3% vs Cash;  USDJPY 131.36; Shock at Professor Ueda as BOJ Gov; Yen rallies then weakens post his Presser;  Govt to guarantee 15% margins for Defense suppliers?
DAILY NUGGET. Fun take - ChatGPT on BOJ Governor to be Kazuo Ueda.


Good Morning Japan |SPX Hangs on Ahead of Key CPI Print; BOJ Gov Candidate Shocker->ChatGPT's View

<ul>
<li>OVERSEAS. SPX makes  up for yesterday's loss and more; Markets look past Fed and focus on earnings recovery;  Its all about the Pause;   GM Beats but CAT misses; Awaiting AAPL</li>
<li>JAPAN.  NKY Futs +0.6% Cash; USDJPY 130.11; Labor Shortages worsening (again), Firms desperate;  BYD seeks to Capture JP EV Market;   Komatsu Beats; Lasertec Misses. </li>
<li>DAILY NUGGETS. 6h 37m: The Average Time Spent Using the Internet.  Japan the outlier..for the better ?</li>
</ul>


OVERSEAS. SPX makes  up for yesterday's loss and more; Markets look past Fed and focus on earnings recovery;  Its all about the Pause;   GM Beats but CAT misses; Awaiting AAPL
JAPAN.  NKY Futs +0.6% Cash; USDJPY 130.11; Labor Shortages worsening (again), Firms desperate;  BYD seeks to Capture JP EV Market;   Komatsu Beats; Lasertec Misses. 
DAILY NUGGETS. 6h 37m: The Average Time Spent Using the Internet.  Japan the outlier..for the better ?


Good Morning Japan |Fed Hike, Powell Speech ? Equities Beyond as Optimism Abounds,from Spotify to GM

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Komatsu Q3 operating profit rose 54% YoY, beating analyst estimates by around 12%</li>
<li>Construction and Mining Equipment sales rose 31% in the quarter, or ~10% on a constant currency basis versus industry volume of -6%</li>
<li>Komatsu shares have sharply lagged the recovery at CAT. We still see significant upside with current P/B of 1.2x</li>
</ul>


Komatsu Q3 operating profit rose 54% YoY, beating analyst estimates by around 12%
Construction and Mining Equipment sales rose 31% in the quarter, or ~10% on a constant currency basis versus industry volume of -6%
Komatsu shares have sharply lagged the recovery at CAT. We still see significant upside with current P/B of 1.2x


Komatsu (6301) | Plenty of Gas in the Tank

<ul>
<li>OVERSEAS.  SPX positive on day, +2.5%WoW; SOX +5.4%WoW;  PCE Inflation sets stage for benign Fed; INTEL, KLC puts damper on tech party; TELSA delivers again; AMEX not seeing consumer weakness; </li>
<li>JAPAN. NKY Futs vs Cash +0.1%; USDJPY 129.88; Tokyo Dec CPI highest since 1981; GS sees highest base pay hike in decades.;  Fanuc 3Q beats on Robots; Sagawa hikes prices</li>
<li>DAILY. NUGGETS. Stealth Immigration - Foreigner workers in Japan hit all time high 1.82 million/2.7% of labour force. Clear policy on Immigration needed to help secure Japan's  future. </li>
</ul>


OVERSEAS.  SPX positive on day, +2.5%WoW; SOX +5.4%WoW;  PCE Inflation sets stage for benign Fed; INTEL, KLC puts damper on tech party; TELSA delivers again; AMEX not seeing consumer weakness; 
JAPAN. NKY Futs vs Cash +0.1%; USDJPY 129.88; Tokyo Dec CPI highest since 1981; GS sees highest base pay hike in decades.;  Fanuc 3Q beats on Robots; Sagawa hikes prices
DAILY. NUGGETS. Stealth Immigration - Foreigner workers in Japan hit all time high 1.82 million/2.7% of labour force. Clear policy on Immigration needed to help secure Japan's  future. 


Good Morning Japan |SPX Break Out In Sight ! ; PCE Inflation Delivers; Fed +25bps ? ; Awful INTEL

<ul>
<li>OVERSEAS.  SPX +1.9% to close on highs; Beta-driven rally as Tech rebounds;  Dovish talk from 2 Fed Members;  Google joins the fray slashing 12,000 staff; US Banks not far behind.</li>
<li>JAPAN.  NKY Futs +1.3% vs Cash; USDJPY 129.6;  CORE Inflation hits 4%;  Kishida: too early to discuss BOJ 2% policy exit;  Japan courts global elite grads; Population declines in 2022</li>
<li>DAILY NUGGET.  Change of Direction with new BOJ Leadership? Ha, policy direction has already been decided, and whoever the Govt selects will just continue where Kuroda left off. </li>
</ul>


OVERSEAS.  SPX +1.9% to close on highs; Beta-driven rally as Tech rebounds;  Dovish talk from 2 Fed Members;  Google joins the fray slashing 12,000 staff; US Banks not far behind.
JAPAN.  NKY Futs +1.3% vs Cash; USDJPY 129.6;  CORE Inflation hits 4%;  Kishida: too early to discuss BOJ 2% policy exit;  Japan courts global elite grads; Population declines in 2022
DAILY NUGGET.  Change of Direction with new BOJ Leadership? Ha, policy direction has already been decided, and whoever the Govt selects will just continue where Kuroda left off. 


Good Morning Japan | The Doves Strike Back; Google Joins Layoff Parade; "Too Early for BOJ Exit"

Japan

KOMATSU LTD. manufactures and sells construction and mining machinery, including excavators, bulldozers, and wheel loaders.  The Company, operating on a global scale, also produces forklift trucks and engineering equipment such as press system.

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Komatsu Ltd (6301 JP)

Good Morning Japan |SPX Hangs on Ahead of Key CPI Print; BOJ Gov Candidate Shocker->ChatGPT's View

US CPI in focus; BOJ Surprise Nominee - do not expect anything revolutonary. After Gov designate Ueda's news conference on Friday, that market has...

Mark Chadwick

Good Morning Japan |Fed Hike, Powell Speech ? Equities Beyond as Optimism Abounds,from Spotify to GM

JAPAN WRAP. NKY Futs +0.6% Cash; USDJPY 130.11. Set for a decent day after the Beta-driven rally in the US. Still, it won't be all green on the...

Mark Chadwick

Komatsu (6301) | Plenty of Gas in the Tank

We remain bullish on Komatsu. Komatsu shares have sharply lagged the recovery at CAT. We still see significant upside with current P/B of 1.2x

Mark Chadwick

Good Morning Japan |SPX Break Out In Sight ! ; PCE Inflation Delivers; Fed +25bps ? ; Awful INTEL

NKY Futs vs Cash +0.1%; Tokyo Dec CPI highest since 1981; GS sees highest base pay hike in decades.; Fanuc 3Q beats on Robots; Sagawa hikes...

Mark Chadwick

Good Morning Japan | The Doves Strike Back; Google Joins Layoff Parade; "Too Early for BOJ Exit"

SPX +1.9% to close on highs; Beta-driven rally. NKY Futs +1.3% vs Cash; JP CORE Inflation hits 4%; Kishida: too early to discuss BOJ 2% policy...

Mark Chadwick

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