Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Event-Driven

Metropolis Healthcare Limited / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Several press reports regarding potential takeover speculations related to Indian diagnostics company <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/metropolis-healthcare-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27829:1" rel="noopener">Metropolis Healthcare Limited (METROHL IN)</a> have emerged in the Indian press over the last few days.</li>
<li>Metropolis Healthcare Limited currently has a total market capitalization of US$1bn.</li>
<li>Below is a closer look at the details of the situation.</li>
</ul>


Several press reports regarding potential takeover speculations related to Indian diagnostics company Metropolis Healthcare Limited (METROHL IN) have emerged in the Indian press over the last few days.
Metropolis Healthcare Limited currently has a total market capitalization of US$1bn.
Below is a closer look at the details of the situation.


Metropolis Healthcare (METROHL IN): Adani & Apollo Eyeing Majority Stake? Could Outperform Dr Lal

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<ul>
<li>Sixth Street and BGH Capital entered into a cooperation agreement with the aim to acquire <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pushpay-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13737:1" rel="noopener">Pushpay Holdings (PPH NZ)</a> through a scheme of arrangement. They have a combined 20.3% stake. </li>
<li>In addition to Sixth Street/BGH, Pushpay also noted expressions of interest from multiple parties. The high recurring revenue, profitability and cash generation make it a target. </li>
<li>As the Australian takeover premium ranges from 20% to 40%, we think that a bid of at least A$1.46 (30% takeover premium) will be necessary for due diligence access. </li>
</ul>


Sixth Street and BGH Capital entered into a cooperation agreement with the aim to acquire Pushpay Holdings (PPH NZ) through a scheme of arrangement. They have a combined 20.3% stake. 
In addition to Sixth Street/BGH, Pushpay also noted expressions of interest from multiple parties. The high recurring revenue, profitability and cash generation make it a target. 
As the Australian takeover premium ranges from 20% to 40%, we think that a bid of at least A$1.46 (30% takeover premium) will be necessary for due diligence access. 


BGH and Sixth Street to Lob an Offer for Pushpay?

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-05-18/hong-kong-telco-hkbn-said-to-draw-interest-from-stonepeak-pag" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Bloomberg reported</a><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kkr-co-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27333:1" rel="noopener">KKR &amp; Co Inc (KKR US)</a> and PAG are carrying out due diligence on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hkbn-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:289:1" rel="noopener">HKBN Ltd (1310 HK)</a>, with a view to launching a privatisation bid.</li>
<li>HKBN has a relatively concentrated shareholder register which suggests a requirement for a high takeover premium.</li>
<li>Precedent transactions suggest a privatisation forward EV/EBITDA multiple of at least 10x, implying a minimum offer price of HK$11.80 per share, a 23% premium to the last close. </li>
</ul>



Bloomberg reportedKKR &amp; Co Inc (KKR US) and PAG are carrying out due diligence on HKBN Ltd (1310 HK), with a view to launching a privatisation bid.
HKBN has a relatively concentrated shareholder register which suggests a requirement for a high takeover premium.
Precedent transactions suggest a privatisation forward EV/EBITDA multiple of at least 10x, implying a minimum offer price of HK$11.80 per share, a 23% premium to the last close. 


Writing about High Quality Companies, Enlightened Capital

Enlightened Capital

Writing about High Quality Companies

I have more than 8 years of investing experience across Equities and Fixed Income (Investment Grade/High Yield). I have largely focused on Financials, Energy, and Utilities professionally, but I am interested in exploring new sectors to find attractive opportunities. Right now, the Payments sector is occupying much of my time.

Equity Bottom-Up

Apollo Global Management  / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>APO is a top 5 alternative asset manager globally with $513bn of AUM as of 1Q22.</li><li>APO’s AUM is diversified across 73% of AUM in Yield strategies, 17% in Equity strategies, and 10% in Hybrid strategies.</li><li>APO recently acquired the remaining 65% of Athene (ATH), for $10.4bn (6x ’22 EPS), adding ~$200bn of insurance liabilities to APO’s balance sheet including fixed indexed annuities, fixed annuities, group annuities, and funding agreements.</li></ul>

APO is a top 5 alternative asset manager globally with $513bn of AUM as of 1Q22.APO’s AUM is diversified across 73% of AUM in Yield strategies, 17% in Equity strategies, and 10% in Hybrid strategies.APO recently acquired the remaining 65% of Athene (ATH), for $10.4bn (6x ’22 EPS), adding ~$200bn of insurance liabilities to APO’s balance sheet including fixed indexed annuities, fixed annuities, group annuities, and funding agreements.

<ul>
<li>The KKR consortium will offer A$88.00 per share less any dividends paid after the date of the indicative proposal. The offer less interim dividend of A$0.485 is A$87.52 per share.</li>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ramsay-health-care-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:673:1" rel="noopener">Ramsay Health Care (RHC AU)</a> Board has provided due diligence access. We think the offer is attractive and represents an all-time share price high. </li>
<li>The largest shareholder is said to be supportive. The gross spread of the offer less the interim dividend of A$87.52 to the last close price of A$80.00 is 9.4%. </li>
</ul>


The KKR consortium will offer A$88.00 per share less any dividends paid after the date of the indicative proposal. The offer less interim dividend of A$0.485 is A$87.52 per share.
The Ramsay Health Care (RHC AU) Board has provided due diligence access. We think the offer is attractive and represents an all-time share price high. 
The largest shareholder is said to be supportive. The gross spread of the offer less the interim dividend of A$87.52 to the last close price of A$80.00 is 9.4%. 


Ramsay’s Indicative Bid from the KKR Consortium

United States

KKR & Co. Inc. operates as an investment firm. The Company manages investments such as private equity, energy, infrastructure, real estate, credit strategies, and hedge funds. KKR & Co serves clients worldwide.

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KKR & Co (KKR US)

Metropolis Healthcare (METROHL IN): Adani & Apollo Eyeing Majority Stake? Could Outperform Dr Lal

Metropolis Healthcare has been widely discussed as a potential M&A target and multiple potential suitors seem to be interested. This could act as a...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

BGH and Sixth Street to Lob an Offer for Pushpay?

Sixth Street and BGH entered into a cooperation agreement with the aim to acquire Pushpay. They have a combined 20.3% stake. We think that a bid of...

Arun George

HKBN in the Crosshairs of KKR and PAG

Bloomberg reported that KKR and PAG could launch a privatisation bid. Precedent transactions suggest a privatisation forward EV/EBITDA multiple of...

Arun George

Apollo Global (APO)

APO is a top 5 alternative asset manager globally with $513bn of AUM as of 1Q22. APO’s AUM is diversified across 73% of AUM in Yield strategies,...

Enlightened Capital

Ramsay’s Indicative Bid from the KKR Consortium

The KKR consortium will offer A$88.00 less an interim dividend of A$0.485 for a total of A$87.52 per share. The offer is attractive. The gross...

Arun George

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